Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:21.973966+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.48 | 17 | 14.52 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 2 | TCU | Southwest | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.32 | 20.57 | 13.02 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 13.17 | 12.26 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 21.86 | 10.15 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 5 | Duke | Southern | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 13.17 | 11.29 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | Utah | Mountain State | 3-0-2 | 0.6 | 25.25 | 17.6 | 8.34 | 4.99 | -1.99 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 6 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 15.83 | 7.94 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 8 | Georgetown | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.53 | 23 | 4.16 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 9 | Iowa State | Big 6 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.34 | 10.14 | 6.12 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Border | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.32 | 29 | 2.04 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 11 | Dartmouth | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.14 | 28.86 | 1.21 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 12 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 23.7 | 21 | 0.36 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 13 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 23.65 | 19 | 0.29 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 14 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.42 | 16.57 | 15.18 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.36 | 14.57 | 11.33 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 16 | USC | Pacific | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.33 | 8 | 13.77 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 17 | California | Pacific | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.26 | 17 | 6.5 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.09 | 14.43 | 9.76 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 19 | Clemson | Southern | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.97 | 10.29 | 14.79 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 20 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.9 | 21.43 | 7.12 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 21 | Northwestern | Western | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.84 | 10.5 | 15.82 | 5.75 | -1.75 |
| 22 | Michigan | Western | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.66 | 12.17 | 12.11 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 23 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.57 | 8.29 | 9.09 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 24 | Minnesota | Western | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.36 | 9.5 | 11.34 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 25 | New Mexico | Border | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.06 | 19.86 | 2.73 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 26 | Carnegie Mellon | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.95 | 14.33 | 7.5 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Fordham | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.81 | 19.67 | 9.15 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 28 | Cornell | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.75 | 11.6 | 10.79 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 29 | VMI | Southern | 4-1-3 | 0.5 | 20.38 | 6.75 | 10.98 | 6.21 | -2.21 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.34 | 6.5 | 6.93 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 31 | Purdue | Western | 4-1-2 | 0.57 | 20.21 | 5.57 | 11.25 | 6.08 | -2.08 |
| 32 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.51 | 21.5 | -2.77 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 33 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 19.5 | 4.83 | 7.13 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 34 | New Mexico State | Border | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.17 | 14.5 | -3.08 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 35 | Creighton | Missouri Valley | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 18.97 | 11.17 | 0.68 | 5.47 | -1.47 |
| 36 | North Carolina | Southern | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.79 | 8.57 | 13.53 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 37 | LSU | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 10.71 | 12.12 | 6.34 | -1.34 |
| 38 | UCLA | Pacific | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.37 | 11.71 | 9.26 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 39 | Tulane | SEC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.19 | 12 | 12.72 | 6.43 | -2.43 |
| 40 | Saint Mary's (CA) | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.85 | 8.5 | 12.04 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 41 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.61 | 15.43 | 2.68 | 6.33 | -1.33 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Western | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 5.33 | 13.12 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 43 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 9.17 | 9.3 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 44 | Missouri | Big 6 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 3 | 12.57 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 45 | Utah State | Mountain State | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 4.5 | 9.77 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 46 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-2-2 | 0.43 | 16.78 | 9.71 | 15.49 | 6.46 | -3.46 |
| 47 | Ohio State | Western | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.39 | 9 | 13.04 | 5.45 | -2.45 |
| 48 | Brown | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 11.17 | 0.18 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 49 | Idaho | Pacific | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.33 | 3 | 5.9 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 50 | George Washington | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.2 | 2.5 | 5.68 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 51 | Bucknell | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.15 | 2.67 | 5.25 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 52 | SMU | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.07 | 3.17 | 6.15 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 53 | Pennsylvania | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.56 | 5.17 | 9.45 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 54 | BYU | Mountain State | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.55 | 7.33 | 7.48 | 5.39 | -2.39 |
| 55 | Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 15.39 | -1.29 | 11.52 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 56 | Michigan State | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.25 | 8.29 | 10.47 | 6.14 | -2.14 |
| 57 | San Francisco | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.23 | 8.5 | 4.43 | 5.72 | -2.72 |
| 58 | UTEP | Border | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.17 | 9 | 3.11 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 59 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.96 | 7.5 | 8.92 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 60 | South Carolina | Southern | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.9 | 8.38 | 9.71 | 6.7 | -2.7 |
| 61 | Centenary (LA) | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.81 | 3.25 | 3.04 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 62 | Richmond | Southern | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.8 | 3.62 | 2.42 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 63 | Washington University (St. Louis) | Missouri Valley | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.56 | 7.71 | 7.56 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 64 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.47 | 1.71 | 12.26 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 65 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.34 | 4 | 6.89 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 66 | Washburn | Missouri Valley | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.33 | 1.33 | -4.48 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 67 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.82 | 5.71 | 14.77 | 5.32 | -2.32 |
| 68 | Manhattan | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.53 | 4.29 | 2.02 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 69 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.49 | 12.83 | 6.28 | 5.35 | -2.35 |
| 70 | Columbia | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.16 | 4.17 | 15.03 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 71 | Loyola Marymount | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 12.5 | 1.76 | 5.74 | -2.74 |
| 72 | Rice | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 1.83 | 13.57 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 73 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.02 | 1 | 6.68 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 74 | New York University | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 7.17 | -0.29 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 75 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 0.17 | 13.99 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 76 | Wake Forest | Southern | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.89 | 6.12 | 13.3 | 6.08 | -3.08 |
| 77 | Montana | Pacific | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.77 | 1.57 | 5.58 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 78 | Oregon State | Pacific | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.67 | 0.17 | 9.3 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 79 | Saint Louis | Missouri Valley | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.28 | 1.43 | -1.57 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 80 | Washington and Lee | Southern | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11 | -1.57 | 9.48 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 81 | Detroit Mercy | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.97 | 5 | 7.11 | 5.22 | -2.22 |
| 82 | Duquesne | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.73 | 1.14 | 10.11 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 83 | Kansas State | Big 6 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -7.67 | 13.2 | 0.99 | 2.01 |
| 84 | Oregon | Pacific | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -6.33 | 14.94 | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| 85 | Princeton | FBS Independents | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 10.06 | 1.5 | 7.96 | 3.37 | -1.37 |
| 86 | Davidson | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10 | -3.62 | 7.14 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 87 | The Citadel | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -5.12 | 8.26 | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 88 | Colorado | Mountain State | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 9.43 | -0.17 | 14.09 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 89 | Kansas | Big 6 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.07 | -4.14 | 14.17 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 90 | Harvard | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.82 | 2.83 | 16.38 | 3.59 | -1.59 |
| 91 | Virginia Tech | Southern | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.38 | -1.38 | 12.56 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 92 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 8.23 | 3.14 | 14.08 | 4.48 | -2.48 |
| 93 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 8.18 | 7.14 | 5.32 | 5.06 | -3.06 |
| 94 | Illinois | Western | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.16 | 1 | 8.91 | 3.36 | -1.36 |
| 95 | Auburn | SEC | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 7.52 | -1 | 14.11 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 96 | William & Mary | Southern | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.44 | -2.38 | 5.79 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 97 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.01 | -3 | 16.29 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 98 | NC State | Southern | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.77 | -3 | 12.09 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 99 | Stanford | Pacific | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.63 | -3.83 | 12.22 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 100 | Denver | Mountain State | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.62 | -5.14 | 16.27 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| 101 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.44 | -8.29 | 18.91 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 102 | Yale | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -7.67 | 18.91 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 103 | Colorado State | Mountain State | 1-2-2 | 0.2 | 5.99 | -5 | 5.1 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 104 | Arizona | Border | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -10 | 18.27 | 0.63 | 1.37 |
| 105 | Northern Arizona | Border | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.64 | -6 | 4.89 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 106 | Arizona State | Border | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -3.14 | 0.26 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 107 | Florida | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.15 | -6.43 | 8.94 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 108 | Furman | Southern | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.85 | -6.5 | 7.91 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 109 | Hampden-Sydney | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.52 | -11.57 | 4.34 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 110 | Gonzaga | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 4.03 | -1.4 | 8.41 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 111 | Nebraska | Big 6 | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.35 | -3 | 15.72 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 112 | Washington | Pacific | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.87 | -6.5 | 17.26 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 113 | Marquette | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.85 | -10.8 | 18.78 | 0.03 | 0.97 |
| 114 | Iowa | Western | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.76 | -11.83 | 14.3 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 115 | Wyoming | Mountain State | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.75 | -9.5 | 9.65 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 116 | Chicago | Western | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.28 | -16.67 | 4.72 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 117 | Maryland | Southern | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -22.33 | 13.37 | 0.29 | 0.71 |
| 118 | Washington State | Pacific | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.36 | -10.43 | 14.07 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 119 | Oklahoma State | Missouri Valley | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.26 | -11.86 | 11.6 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 120 | Sewanee | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.26 | -11 | 6.59 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 121 | Indiana | Western | 0-5-1 | 0 | -1.73 | -7.17 | 13.24 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| 122 | Texas | Southwest | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.2 | -12.71 | 15.26 | 0.4 | -0.4 |