Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:22.891868+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.87 | 52.11 | 12.21 | 8.98 | 0.02 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Western | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 23.11 | 12.2 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 3 | Norman Naval Air Station | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.81 | 17.33 | 11.07 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 24.31 | 15.62 | 8.94 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 5 | Yale | FBS Independents | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 23.71 | 11 | 7.14 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 6 | USC | Pacific | 7-0-2 | 0.78 | 23.21 | 15.78 | 3.31 | 8.35 | -1.35 |
| 7 | Randolph Field | FBS Independents | 12-0-0 | 1 | 23.11 | 40.75 | -0.45 | 12 | 0 |
| 8 | Oklahoma State | Missouri Valley | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.44 | 11.38 | 14.75 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 9 | Iowa Pre-Flight | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.8 | 19.73 | 5.17 | 10.37 | -0.37 |
| 10 | Wake Forest | Southern | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.49 | 11.44 | 8.04 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 11 | Iowa State | Big 6 | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 20.62 | 20.5 | 4.43 | 7.84 | -1.84 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 20.54 | 24 | 7.08 | 7.79 | -2.79 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.53 | 15.4 | 13.02 | 8.79 | -0.79 |
| 14 | Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-1-2 | 0.67 | 20.49 | 16.11 | 4.62 | 8.63 | -2.63 |
| 15 | Second Air Force | FBS Independents | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 20.34 | 32.62 | 0.95 | 7.98 | -1.98 |
| 16 | Michigan | Western | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.31 | 11.3 | 13.09 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.12 | 16.6 | 10.16 | 9.41 | -1.41 |
| 18 | Great Lakes Navy | FBS Independents | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 17.83 | 5.17 | 10.87 | -1.87 |
| 19 | Michigan State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 19.8 | 19.43 | -0.1 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 20 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.31 | 26.44 | 5.73 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 21 | NC State | Southern | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.77 | 12.22 | 5.76 | 8.25 | -1.25 |
| 22 | TCU | Southwest | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 18.46 | 5.9 | 6.96 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 23 | March Field | FBS Independents | 7-2-3 | 0.58 | 18.31 | 11.75 | 3.03 | 10.99 | -3.99 |
| 24 | Colorado | Mountain State | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.07 | 16.12 | 4.16 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 25 | Indiana | Western | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.92 | 21.3 | 9.13 | 9.57 | -2.57 |
| 26 | Bucknell | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 17.86 | 12.5 | -0.15 | 9.05 | -2.05 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.86 | 17.5 | 2.44 | 7.34 | -1.34 |
| 28 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 14.3 | 10.26 | 8.53 | -1.53 |
| 29 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 16.44 | 14.24 | 8.21 | -2.21 |
| 30 | Utah | Mountain State | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.43 | 9.38 | 8.29 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 31 | Oklahoma | Big 6 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.16 | 7.8 | 13.8 | 7.31 | -1.31 |
| 32 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 17.08 | 18.11 | -6.59 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 33 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 16.9 | 9.22 | 4.59 | 7.42 | -2.42 |
| 34 | William & Mary | Southern | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 16.74 | 15.75 | 0.99 | 7.42 | -2.42 |
| 35 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.26 | 7.33 | 7.37 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.14 | 18.36 | 6.55 | 10.4 | -3.4 |
| 37 | Coast Guard | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.03 | 9.33 | 4.46 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 38 | Minnesota | Western | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.65 | 7 | 11.49 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 39 | Pennsylvania | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.25 | 2 | 14.6 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 40 | Alameda Coast Guard | FBS Independents | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 15.24 | 5.75 | 0.84 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 41 | Washington | Pacific | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.87 | 20.12 | -0.34 | 6.95 | -1.95 |
| 42 | Illinois | Western | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.71 | 12.4 | 11.58 | 8.08 | -3.08 |
| 43 | Duke | Southern | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.69 | 12.11 | 11.61 | 7.78 | -2.78 |
| 44 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.6 | 6.78 | 3.24 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 45 | Denver | Mountain State | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 14.6 | 8.11 | 11.29 | 6.8 | -2.8 |
| 46 | Texas | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.2 | 4.78 | 12.92 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 47 | Amarillo Field | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.39 | 2.33 | 9.52 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 48 | Lubbock Field | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.15 | 5 | 3.26 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 49 | Purdue | Western | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 4.1 | 12.02 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 50 | Cornell | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.52 | 0.11 | 9.31 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 51 | Auburn | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 5.5 | 6.63 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 52 | Tulane | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.2 | -1.71 | 12.48 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 53 | Saint Mary's (CA) Pre-Flight | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 3.12 | 5.42 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 54 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.34 | -0.29 | -1.91 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 55 | Florida | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 10.91 | -4 | 3.81 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 56 | UCLA | Pacific | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 10.84 | 4 | 7.33 | 6.37 | -2.37 |
| 57 | West Texas A&M | Border | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 10.73 | -6.57 | 5.17 | 2.15 | 1.85 |
| 58 | Fort Warren | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 0.09 | 3.86 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 59 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.15 | -3.73 | 12.3 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 60 | South Carolina | Southern | 3-4-2 | 0.33 | 10.06 | 3.22 | 2.35 | 5.76 | -2.76 |
| 61 | SMU | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.48 | -7 | 9.04 | 2.66 | 2.34 |
| 62 | Clemson | Southern | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.42 | -1.56 | 14.42 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 63 | Utah State | Mountain State | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.32 | -3.5 | 1.56 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 64 | Rice | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.16 | -1.82 | 8.82 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 65 | Brown | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.74 | -2.25 | 10.77 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 66 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 8.35 | -15.88 | 1.34 | 0.42 | 3.58 |
| 67 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.79 | -16.22 | 12.82 | 1.47 | 2.53 |
| 68 | Missouri | Big 6 | 3-5-2 | 0.3 | 7.38 | -4.8 | 14.44 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 69 | Idaho State | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.26 | -11.67 | 0.55 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 70 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-4-2 | 0.25 | 7.19 | -0.38 | 11.22 | 3.85 | -1.85 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Border | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.86 | -3.27 | 9.03 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 72 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.72 | -2.44 | 15.91 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 6 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.32 | -2.5 | 8.51 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 74 | LSU | SEC | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 6.24 | -1.12 | 17.3 | 3.56 | -1.56 |
| 75 | Wisconsin | Western | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -7.56 | 12.92 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 76 | California | Pacific | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.66 | -7.1 | 8.02 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 77 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.59 | -7.14 | 6.59 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 78 | Colorado College | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -6.6 | 9.42 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 79 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -6.86 | 7.72 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 80 | Dartmouth | FBS Independents | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.75 | -10.62 | 14.72 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| 81 | Presbyterian | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 4.71 | -18.22 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 82 | New York University | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.07 | -12.71 | -0.51 | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 83 | Kansas State | Big 6 | 2-5-2 | 0.22 | 3.99 | -18.89 | 4.98 | 0.22 | 1.78 |
| 84 | Columbia | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -6.75 | 8.19 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 85 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -12.62 | 12.5 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 86 | Nebraska | Big 6 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -15.88 | 11.18 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 87 | Richmond | Southern | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.16 | -18.12 | 5.12 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 88 | Northwestern | Western | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 1.15 | -6.44 | 13.07 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 89 | Maryland | Southern | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.6 | -13.78 | 12.63 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 90 | Marquette | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -14.75 | 10.04 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 91 | North Carolina | Southern | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.53 | -15.56 | 15.94 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| 92 | New Mexico | Border | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.25 | -21.75 | 6.11 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 93 | Miami | FBS Independents | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.24 | -22.22 | 11.54 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 94 | Iowa | Western | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -23.38 | 14.68 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| 95 | VMI | Southern | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -19.11 | 9.73 | 0.4 | 0.6 |