Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:24.168773+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan State | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 25.33 | 11.93 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 22.64 | 10.48 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-0-2 | 0.8 | 24.32 | 14.1 | 8.73 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 7 | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 23.12 | 26.6 | 13.05 | 9.25 | -1.25 |
| 5 | UCLA | Pacific | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.81 | 18.33 | 12.9 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 6 | USC | Pacific | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.68 | 20 | 10.53 | 9.81 | -0.81 |
| 7 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.02 | 19.6 | 8.18 | 9.66 | -1.66 |
| 8 | Princeton | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.9 | 24.78 | 6.57 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 9 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 21.63 | 14.5 | 7.26 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 10 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 21.13 | 11.56 | 6.58 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 11 | Duke | Southern | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.7 | 15.5 | 13.42 | 9.38 | -1.38 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.27 | 11.91 | 9.18 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 13 | Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.23 | 20.7 | 9.17 | 9.44 | -1.44 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.15 | 7.5 | 16.26 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 15 | Houston | Missouri Valley | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.09 | 10 | 11.6 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 16 | Maryland | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.08 | 14.78 | 12.64 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 17 | Texas | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 9.8 | 10.53 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 18 | West Virginia | Southern | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.56 | 13.11 | 9.88 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 19 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.53 | 14.9 | 6.34 | 9.28 | -1.28 |
| 20 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.17 | 2.3 | 14.86 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 21 | Colorado | Big 7 | 6-2-2 | 0.6 | 19.15 | 8.8 | 13.52 | 7.41 | -1.41 |
| 22 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.14 | 6.22 | 10.53 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.12 | 8 | 13.82 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 24 | New Mexico | Skyline | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.02 | 8.11 | 8.63 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 25 | Yale | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.84 | 13.33 | 5.22 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | Western | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.68 | 9.44 | 10.06 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 27 | California | Pacific | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.1 | 12 | 12.67 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.93 | 18.1 | 9.36 | 9.1 | -2.1 |
| 29 | Kansas | Big 7 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.68 | 10.4 | 10.46 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 30 | George Washington | Southern | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 4.33 | 6.17 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 31 | Washington | Pacific | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.38 | 4.7 | 12.24 | 6.22 | 0.78 |
| 32 | Arizona State | Border | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 14 | 10.44 | 7.6 | -1.6 |
| 33 | Ohio State | Western | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 8.67 | 10.37 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 34 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 3.44 | 13.5 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 35 | Utah | Skyline | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.55 | 6 | 9.89 | 7.13 | -1.13 |
| 36 | San José State | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 9.67 | 6.33 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 37 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.12 | 12.5 | 3.03 | 7.98 | -1.98 |
| 38 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.11 | 9.78 | 4.21 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 39 | Arizona | Border | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 13 | 10.41 | 8.09 | -2.09 |
| 40 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.43 | 1.64 | 12.51 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 41 | Furman | Southern | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 2.9 | 0.52 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 42 | Colorado State | Skyline | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.68 | 4 | 9.59 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 43 | Purdue | Western | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 14.51 | 4.11 | 13.92 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 44 | Hardin-Simmons | Border | 5-3-2 | 0.5 | 14.44 | 3.2 | 5.02 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 45 | Michigan | Western | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 8.11 | 11.1 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 46 | Nebraska | Big 7 | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.98 | 5 | 10.1 | 6.92 | -1.92 |
| 47 | Pennsylvania | FBS Independents | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 13.9 | 1.67 | 13.12 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 48 | Wake Forest | Southern | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.88 | 2.9 | 12.25 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 49 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.75 | 4.33 | 8.88 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 50 | Wyoming | Skyline | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.25 | 1.33 | 10.11 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 51 | Harvard | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.89 | 1.78 | 5.55 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 52 | Tulane | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 4.2 | 10.06 | 6.45 | -1.45 |
| 53 | TCU | Southwest | 4-4-2 | 0.4 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 10.46 | 6.78 | -2.78 |
| 54 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 12.13 | -1.09 | 11.39 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 55 | Idaho | Pacific | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.98 | 3.67 | 5.5 | 5.59 | -1.59 |
| 56 | South Carolina | Southern | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 1.4 | 10.61 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 57 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.85 | 0.44 | 13.59 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 58 | Minnesota | Western | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 11.73 | -4.44 | 12.8 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 59 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-4-2 | 0.4 | 11.68 | 0.6 | 10.92 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 60 | William & Mary | Southern | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.59 | 6.67 | 11.28 | 6 | -2 |
| 61 | Illinois | Western | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.93 | 2.11 | 11.87 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 62 | Missouri | Big 7 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -1.2 | 13.33 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 63 | Boston University | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 10.79 | -7.7 | 8.96 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 64 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.45 | -0.67 | 5.61 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 65 | Rice | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -2.3 | 11.56 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 66 | UTEP | Border | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.3 | -0.64 | 3.75 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pacific | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -3.9 | 12.95 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 68 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 9.74 | -4.11 | 7.27 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 69 | SMU | Southwest | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.13 | -2.7 | 13.79 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 70 | Virginia Tech | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.52 | -6 | 9 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pacific | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.79 | -4.4 | 12.07 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 72 | Fordham | FBS Independents | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 7.58 | 4 | 7.07 | 5.1 | -3.1 |
| 73 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-2 | 0.3 | 7.47 | -4.8 | 15.36 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 74 | Marquette | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.46 | -3.67 | 12.27 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 75 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.44 | -1 | 8.27 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 76 | BYU | Skyline | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.22 | -8.6 | 10.06 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 77 | Northern Arizona | Border | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.16 | -4.14 | -8.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 78 | The Citadel | Southern | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -8 | 7.43 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 79 | Detroit Mercy | Missouri Valley | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -1.89 | 11.26 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 80 | Texas Tech | Border | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.44 | -0.55 | 10.89 | 5.33 | -2.33 |
| 81 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.16 | -5 | 12.99 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 82 | Iowa State | Big 7 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -4.56 | 9.81 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 83 | Oklahoma State | Missouri Valley | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.72 | -3.2 | 12.23 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 84 | LSU | SEC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.45 | -6.6 | 17.13 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 85 | VMI | Southern | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.42 | -11.4 | 9.36 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 86 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.39 | -7.6 | 2.55 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 87 | Denver | Skyline | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -4.7 | 6.13 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 88 | West Texas A&M | Border | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.04 | -11.78 | 1.31 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 89 | Utah State | Skyline | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5 | -8 | 9.34 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 90 | Washington and Lee | Southern | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.49 | -16.2 | 9.14 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| 91 | Clemson | FBS Independents | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.23 | -5 | 10.42 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 92 | NC State | Southern | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.21 | -24.5 | 10 | 0.43 | 2.57 |
| 93 | New York University | FBS Independents | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.11 | -14.62 | 2.69 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 94 | Columbia | FBS Independents | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.01 | -7.44 | 11.96 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 95 | Northwestern | Western | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.84 | -9.56 | 12.15 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 96 | North Carolina | Southern | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -12 | 17.08 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 97 | Santa Clara | FBS Independents | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.8 | -11.33 | 14.92 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Border | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -15.22 | 3.63 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 99 | Indiana | Western | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.22 | -9 | 12.97 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 100 | Dartmouth | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -9.11 | 12.95 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 101 | Iowa | Western | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.07 | -11 | 12.98 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 102 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -9.3 | 7.42 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 103 | Montana | Skyline | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.02 | -10.2 | 8.6 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 104 | Davidson | Southern | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.98 | -10.11 | 6.6 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 105 | Oregon | Pacific | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.98 | -12.2 | 12.46 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 106 | Auburn | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.98 | -6.9 | 14.39 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 107 | Cornell | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.92 | -14.11 | 14.55 | 0.68 | 1.32 |
| 108 | Oregon State | Pacific | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.85 | -16 | 15.35 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 109 | Brown | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -14.56 | 9.33 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 110 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -11.6 | 14.19 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 111 | Drake | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.34 | -20.22 | -0.76 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| 112 | Kansas State | Big 7 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -17.4 | 10.61 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 113 | Richmond | Southern | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.05 | -17.9 | 7.82 | 1.05 | -0.05 |