Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:24.312280+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.87 | 16.86 | 12.56 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 2 | Maryland | ACC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.85 | 27.33 | 10.68 | 8.95 | 0.05 |
| 3 | Texas Tech | Border | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.2 | 24.44 | 10.63 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 4 | UCLA | Pacific | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.64 | 17.88 | 10.24 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 5 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 22.59 | 8.75 | 14.34 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 7 | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 22.55 | 17.25 | 12.6 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 7 | West Virginia | Southern | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.41 | 14.62 | 8.9 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 8 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.34 | 14.5 | 9.53 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 9 | Duke | ACC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 22.13 | 15.5 | 10.39 | 7.63 | -1.63 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.86 | 12 | 10.23 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 11 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.77 | 14.5 | 8.84 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 12 | USC | Pacific | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.67 | 10.62 | 9.39 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-3 | 0.56 | 20.4 | 7.33 | 7.81 | 6.98 | -1.98 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 13.67 | 9.63 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 15 | Rice | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.03 | 16.62 | 13.27 | 7.36 | -1.36 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.9 | 15 | 11.66 | 8.35 | -2.35 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.9 | 8.62 | 15.79 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 18 | Utah | Skyline | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 12.56 | 8.97 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | Missouri Valley | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.85 | 7.11 | 11.62 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 20 | Yale | FBS Independents | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 19.71 | 5.88 | 4.59 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 21 | Utah State | Skyline | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.59 | 6.89 | 10.04 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 22 | South Carolina | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.44 | 7.25 | 13.5 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 23 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.2 | 8.78 | 10.84 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 24 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 8.62 | 8.69 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 25 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 4.75 | 12.73 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 26 | Marquette | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.62 | 10.44 | 6.4 | 7.65 | -1.65 |
| 27 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.58 | 12.38 | 11.39 | 6.89 | -1.89 |
| 28 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 18.5 | 8.56 | 12.75 | 6.98 | -1.98 |
| 29 | SMU | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.36 | 6.29 | 13.18 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 30 | UTEP | Border | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 8.75 | 5.4 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.21 | 10 | 9.9 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 32 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 17.91 | 12.5 | 13.32 | 6.99 | -2.99 |
| 33 | Stanford | Pacific | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 10.89 | 13.13 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 34 | New Mexico | Skyline | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.59 | 7.12 | 7.34 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 35 | Kansas State | Big 7 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 9.11 | 10.7 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 36 | Furman | Southern | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.44 | 8.25 | -0.28 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 37 | Texas | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 6.22 | 13.45 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 38 | Richmond | Southern | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.35 | 4.62 | 6.14 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 39 | Harvard | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.28 | 7.86 | 4.73 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.59 | 12 | 12.53 | 6.98 | -1.98 |
| 41 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 5.25 | 13.46 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 42 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.06 | 5.25 | 13.18 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 43 | William & Mary | Southern | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 15.26 | -2 | 8.91 | 3.31 | 1.69 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Skyline | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15.2 | 9.44 | 12.84 | 7.35 | -2.35 |
| 45 | Fordham | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.76 | 9.71 | 8.47 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 46 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.71 | 10.25 | 7.77 | 6.67 | -2.67 |
| 47 | Virginia Tech | Southern | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 3.67 | 7.35 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 48 | Missouri | Big 7 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.65 | 1.11 | 12.43 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 49 | California | Pacific | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 13.47 | 5.56 | 14.22 | 5.99 | -1.99 |
| 50 | Hardin-Simmons | Border | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.19 | 2 | 6.36 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 51 | Colorado | Big 7 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.12 | 0.11 | 12.22 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 52 | LSU | SEC | 3-3-3 | 0.33 | 13.07 | 1.67 | 16.05 | 5.05 | -2.05 |
| 53 | Princeton | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 12.94 | -4.75 | 9.64 | 2.84 | 2.16 |
| 54 | Detroit Mercy | Missouri Valley | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 6.75 | 6.76 | 5.68 | -1.68 |
| 55 | Boston University | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.63 | 6 | 6.97 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 56 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 4.75 | 6.11 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Border | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 4.88 | 6.5 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 58 | Houston | Missouri Valley | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.48 | 1.43 | 14.99 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 59 | Oregon | Pacific | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.47 | 1.44 | 12.42 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 60 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.34 | -1 | 8.9 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 61 | Cornell | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.28 | -3 | 13.55 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 62 | Florida | SEC | 3-4-2 | 0.33 | 12.17 | 10.11 | 12.6 | 7.42 | -4.42 |
| 63 | George Washington | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.16 | 1.75 | 10.08 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.52 | -1.25 | 15.29 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 65 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.03 | 2.75 | 13.56 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 66 | Colorado State | Skyline | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.95 | 1.14 | 13.66 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 67 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.5 | -5.44 | 14.24 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 68 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 10.41 | 1.62 | 9.48 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 69 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 10.24 | 1.5 | 7.82 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 70 | Arizona | Border | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 10.06 | 2.25 | 13.55 | 4.52 | -1.52 |
| 71 | San José State | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 9.74 | -7.11 | 7.05 | 2.76 | 1.24 |
| 72 | Miami | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.59 | 1.75 | 12.98 | 4.49 | -1.49 |
| 73 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.24 | -0.88 | 9.93 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 74 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.18 | -1.75 | 9.37 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 75 | Drake | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 8.95 | -8 | 0.72 | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| 76 | Brown | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.94 | 0.88 | 4.96 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 77 | VMI | Southern | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.66 | -4.11 | 4.43 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 78 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.25 | -1.75 | 13.07 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 79 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.93 | -3.12 | 13.28 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 80 | Denver | Skyline | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.54 | -4 | 10.16 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 81 | Pennsylvania | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.53 | -7 | 16.33 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 82 | Washington | Pacific | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.53 | -6.44 | 15.25 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 83 | Nebraska | Big 7 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.51 | -4.67 | 11.44 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 84 | Columbia | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.41 | -5.38 | 11.29 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 85 | Montana | Skyline | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -7.5 | 8.84 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 86 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -11 | 11.35 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 87 | Georgia | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -7.22 | 13.96 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 88 | Washington and Lee | Southern | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -8.33 | 10.47 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 89 | Washington State | Pacific | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -12.78 | 11.39 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 5.34 | -4.75 | 11.14 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 91 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.75 | -10.86 | 10 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 92 | TCU | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.59 | -4.25 | 13.03 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 93 | BYU | Skyline | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.31 | -6.11 | 11.72 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 94 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -8 | 16.98 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 95 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -9.75 | 16.51 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 96 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -11.38 | 9.28 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -14.75 | 14.63 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| 98 | Oregon State | Pacific | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.3 | -19.38 | 14.13 | 0.12 | 1.88 |
| 99 | Kansas | Big 7 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.3 | -10.22 | 14.5 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 100 | Iowa State | Big 7 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.19 | -10.11 | 9.44 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 101 | Tulane | SEC | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 1 | -8.89 | 14.8 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 102 | West Texas A&M | Border | 1-6-1 | 0.12 | 0.96 | -15.5 | 4.09 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 103 | Dartmouth | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.82 | -11.12 | 14.79 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 104 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.71 | -13.5 | 20.11 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 105 | NC State | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.63 | -14.25 | 10.81 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 106 | Idaho | Pacific | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.48 | -17 | 8.81 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 107 | Virginia | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.46 | -17.62 | 11.25 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| 108 | The Citadel | Southern | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.14 | -26.38 | 9.46 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| 109 | New Mexico State | Border | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | -0.03 | -33.25 | 9.51 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
| 110 | Davidson | Southern | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.68 | -27.5 | 10.02 | 0.08 | -0.08 |