Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:25.207486+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.95 | 32.12 | 11.21 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 2 | USC | AAWU | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.9 | 15.25 | 8.87 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 3 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.38 | 17.56 | 13.79 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.86 | 13.11 | 12.15 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 5 | LSU | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.82 | 14.11 | 11.52 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 6 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.75 | 29.56 | 8.23 | 8.98 | -0.98 |
| 7 | Wyoming | Skyline | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.74 | 20 | 9.74 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 8 | Texas | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.66 | 14 | 10.01 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 9 | Oregon | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.65 | 11.56 | 11.45 | 7.63 | 0.37 |
| 10 | Washington | AAWU | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.53 | 13.78 | 10.11 | 8.34 | -0.34 |
| 11 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.84 | 17.78 | 4.54 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 12 | Arizona State | Border | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.5 | 12.62 | 6.04 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 13 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.41 | 13.25 | 7.91 | 7.33 | -1.33 |
| 14 | VMI | Southern | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 21.19 | 13.89 | 4.06 | 8.11 | -1.11 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 20.2 | 3.25 | 10.53 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.88 | 13.12 | 13.05 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 17 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.73 | 4 | 14.03 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 18 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 8.5 | 12.94 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 19 | TCU | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.51 | 7.75 | 14.35 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 20 | Iowa State | Big 7 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.31 | 21.22 | 4.08 | 8.83 | -1.83 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 6 | 11.25 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.96 | 13.88 | 6.79 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 23 | Yale | Ivy | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 11.62 | 6.99 | 7.22 | -1.22 |
| 24 | The Citadel | Southern | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.37 | 6.56 | 2.36 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.13 | 3.5 | 13.66 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 26 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.98 | 1.75 | 8.98 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 27 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.7 | 5.62 | 9.88 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 28 | New Mexico | Skyline | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 13.78 | 9.03 | 7.74 | -1.74 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 3.22 | 14.57 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 30 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 16.72 | 3.12 | 12.45 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.68 | 4.44 | 9.19 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.63 | 16.75 | 11.46 | 7.29 | -2.29 |
| 33 | Virginia Tech | Southern | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.36 | 7.67 | 5.34 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 34 | Oklahoma | Big 7 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.21 | 6.88 | 13.42 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 35 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 16.07 | 2.62 | -4.21 | 4.93 | 1.07 |
| 36 | Washington State | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 7.75 | 9.1 | 6.32 | -1.32 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 4.5 | 12.94 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 38 | New Mexico State | Border | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 13.12 | 4.44 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 39 | Harvard | Ivy | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 5.88 | 5.63 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 40 | South Carolina | ACC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 2.38 | 9.97 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 41 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.26 | 8 | 12.77 | 6.14 | -2.14 |
| 42 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.87 | 2.38 | 6.53 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 43 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.73 | 0.5 | 12.86 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 44 | Colorado State | Skyline | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.59 | -2.56 | 12.83 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 45 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.41 | 5 | 10.21 | 5.58 | -1.58 |
| 46 | Kansas | Big 7 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.4 | 3.67 | 13.79 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 47 | SMU | Southwest | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.31 | 2.12 | 12.13 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 48 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 13.74 | 2.5 | 7.97 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 49 | Missouri | Big 7 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.64 | 1.22 | 13 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 50 | Cornell | Ivy | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.28 | -1.38 | 6.82 | 3.49 | 1.51 |
| 51 | Detroit Mercy | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.16 | 2.89 | 4.08 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 52 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 4 | 11.36 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 53 | Utah | Skyline | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 3.75 | 11.74 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 54 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.88 | 4.22 | 10.19 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 55 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.77 | -1.25 | 14.48 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 56 | UCLA | AAWU | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.56 | 3.57 | 10.26 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 57 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.47 | -1.88 | 13.73 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 58 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.12 | -2.44 | 13.97 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 59 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.86 | -3.44 | 13.33 | 3.35 | 1.65 |
| 60 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 0.62 | 8.74 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 61 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 0.22 | 12.61 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 62 | Florida | SEC | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.4 | 5.38 | 10.76 | 5.8 | -2.8 |
| 63 | Boston University | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.91 | -0.25 | 7.3 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 64 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 65 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-3-2 | 0.38 | 10.65 | -2.12 | 11.3 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 66 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.47 | 0.67 | 11.56 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 67 | Texas Tech | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.96 | 0 | 10.07 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 68 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.84 | -0.56 | 12.7 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 69 | Richmond | Southern | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 9.58 | 3.22 | 9.03 | 5.54 | -2.54 |
| 70 | William & Mary | Southern | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.44 | -0.78 | 8.94 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 71 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.29 | -2.75 | 15.56 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 72 | Nebraska | Big 7 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.91 | -4.11 | 12.92 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 73 | Colorado | Big 7 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.89 | -4.56 | 11.63 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 74 | Utah State | Skyline | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.65 | -3.56 | 8 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 75 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.53 | 1.44 | 16.9 | 5.11 | -2.11 |
| 76 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.45 | -0.75 | 11.44 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 77 | San José State | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.44 | -8.11 | 10.17 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 78 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.96 | -2.5 | 12.47 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 79 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.87 | -4.25 | 17.06 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 80 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.4 | -6 | 13.04 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| 81 | Maryland | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.36 | -6.5 | 16.54 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 82 | Tulane | SEC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.2 | -8.22 | 14.68 | 1.72 | 1.28 |
| 83 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.84 | -7.3 | -1.73 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 84 | Arizona | Border | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.68 | -11.38 | 8.83 | 1.35 | 1.65 |
| 85 | Stanford | AAWU | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -2.89 | 16.09 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 86 | UTEP | Border | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -2.67 | 6.33 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 87 | Houston | Missouri Valley | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -5.67 | 15.26 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 88 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -4.11 | 9.07 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 89 | Hardin-Simmons | Border | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -9.33 | 11.63 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Southern | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -13.78 | 13.38 | 0.59 | 2.41 |
| 91 | Brown | Ivy | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.73 | -8.62 | 11.03 | 0.61 | 1.39 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.21 | -7.12 | 13.03 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 93 | Oregon State | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 4.19 | -2.22 | 10.24 | 3.84 | -1.84 |
| 94 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.17 | -7.5 | 12.52 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 95 | Furman | Southern | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -7.5 | 2.81 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 96 | BYU | Skyline | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -7.56 | 9.63 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 97 | Marquette | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.32 | -6.67 | 11.38 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 98 | Denver | Skyline | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.29 | -9 | 11.83 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 99 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -8.56 | 3.58 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 100 | Rice | Southwest | 1-5-2 | 0.12 | 1.87 | -10 | 16.57 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 101 | Davidson | Southern | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 1.08 | -6.75 | 1.82 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 102 | NC State | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.93 | -9.25 | 11.57 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 103 | Columbia | Ivy | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.61 | -14.62 | 15.01 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| 104 | West Texas A&M | Border | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -10.67 | 5.91 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 105 | California | AAWU | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.5 | -12.33 | 17.18 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 106 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.36 | -14.22 | 8.01 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 107 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.31 | -21.5 | 15.47 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 108 | George Washington | Southern | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -15.33 | 9.83 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 109 | Montana | Skyline | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.22 | -22.75 | 6.31 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 110 | Kansas State | Big 7 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -19.11 | 11.58 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 111 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.64 | -24.11 | 13.71 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 112 | Virginia | ACC | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.83 | -30 | 14.43 | 0.2 | -0.2 |