Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:25.680710+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | AAWU | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 16 | 10.48 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 20.83 | 8.82 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 3 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 20.57 | 8.42 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 4 | Missouri | Big 8 | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.21 | 13.43 | 9.35 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 5 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 18.67 | 7.93 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 6 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 19.83 | 7.47 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 7 | Texas | Southwest | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.01 | 12.29 | 8.56 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 23.29 | 6.19 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 9 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.44 | 19.71 | 10.29 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 10 | Miami | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.2 | 3.86 | 15.8 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 11 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.2 | 10.71 | 11.84 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 12 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.04 | 22.75 | 5.19 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 13 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.88 | 6.25 | 12.06 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.76 | 8.57 | 12.56 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 15 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.69 | 13 | 10.38 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 16 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.64 | 18.29 | 10.22 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 17 | Oregon | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.56 | 11 | 11.91 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 18 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.48 | 10.57 | 7.64 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 19 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.42 | 22 | 7.85 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 20 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.34 | 17.14 | 3.7 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 21 | West Virginia | Southern | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.25 | 6 | 8.6 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.23 | 10.67 | 14.74 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 23 | Washington | AAWU | 4-1-2 | 0.57 | 21.17 | 9 | 12.83 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 24 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.08 | 14 | 4.18 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 25 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 12 | 7.46 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 26 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.62 | 7.67 | 6.29 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 27 | Oregon State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.31 | 11.29 | 15.83 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 28 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 13.38 | 5.47 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.98 | 12.29 | 13.25 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 30 | Duke | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 5.57 | 10.35 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 31 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.19 | 15.71 | 6.71 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 32 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.07 | 16.29 | 10.1 | 6.92 | -2.92 |
| 33 | Washington State | AAWU | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18 | 8.71 | 12.85 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 34 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 6.71 | 9.13 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 35 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.7 | 3.71 | 8.6 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 36 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 18.33 | 9.12 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 13 | 8.1 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 38 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 8 | 10.9 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 39 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 11.33 | 8.98 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 40 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.24 | 1.12 | 9.46 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 41 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 4 | 7.79 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 42 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.35 | 2.43 | 9.79 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 43 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.21 | 11.83 | 9.69 | 5.51 | -2.51 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 5.38 | 10.31 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 45 | TCU | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.04 | 0.67 | 11.41 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 46 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16 | 9.83 | 0.39 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 47 | Florida | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.48 | 7.57 | 15.24 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 48 | UCLA | AAWU | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.03 | 5.6 | 7.57 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 49 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.99 | 3.57 | 13.1 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 50 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.84 | 4.29 | 12.95 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 51 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.8 | 7.71 | 9.52 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 52 | VMI | Southern | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.79 | 0.12 | 13.62 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 53 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.75 | 3.86 | 13.42 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 54 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.41 | 1.5 | 2.91 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 55 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.89 | 9.5 | 11.93 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 56 | Columbia | Ivy | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 13.54 | -6.33 | 7.33 | 1.88 | 2.12 |
| 57 | Harvard | Ivy | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 7.33 | 9.82 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 58 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.84 | -1 | 12.93 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 59 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.8 | -1.14 | 12.86 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 60 | Yale | Ivy | 2-2-2 | 0.33 | 12.37 | 1.5 | 7.84 | 3.46 | -1.46 |
| 61 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.3 | -3.14 | 10.78 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 62 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.63 | -5.14 | 9.54 | 2.16 | 1.84 |
| 63 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.14 | -5.57 | 5.01 | 2.28 | 1.72 |
| 64 | Richmond | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.01 | -5.14 | 3.33 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 65 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.96 | -3.33 | 18.32 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 66 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.95 | -2.5 | 11.25 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.95 | 2.57 | 12.16 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -3 | 13.99 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 69 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 10.53 | -1.86 | 9.18 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 70 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -2.75 | 11.12 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 71 | Furman | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -1 | 4.03 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 72 | Georgia | SEC | 2-2-3 | 0.29 | 10.07 | -5 | 8.8 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 73 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.96 | 3.5 | 11.65 | 4.88 | -1.88 |
| 74 | William & Mary | Southern | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.61 | -1.75 | 13.7 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 75 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.24 | -1.29 | 11.3 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 76 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.24 | 1.38 | 5.61 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 77 | Houston | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.79 | -5 | 16.08 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| 78 | Stanford | AAWU | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.79 | -7.71 | 16.79 | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| 79 | South Carolina | ACC | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 8.67 | 2.57 | 14.45 | 4.13 | -2.13 |
| 80 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.57 | 3 | 11.61 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 81 | Davidson | Southern | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.52 | -3.25 | 4.18 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 82 | Montana | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8 | -5.29 | 2.76 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 83 | George Washington | Southern | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.99 | -2.5 | 11.43 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 84 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.57 | -1.33 | 17.1 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 85 | The Citadel | Southern | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -3.12 | 5.36 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 86 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.38 | -7.12 | 13.12 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.04 | -1.33 | 8.7 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 88 | SMU | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.55 | -4.33 | 13.2 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 89 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -10 | 14.59 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 90 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.09 | -2.29 | 14.85 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 91 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -11 | 20.22 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 92 | Cornell | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -11.83 | 13.41 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 93 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -11 | 10.1 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| 94 | UTEP | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -15.83 | 15.49 | 0.34 | 1.66 |
| 95 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.35 | -8.71 | 3.83 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 96 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.34 | -6.86 | 15.41 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 97 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -9.86 | 11.98 | 0.66 | 1.34 |
| 98 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -11.71 | 9.7 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 99 | Rice | Southwest | 1-3-2 | 0.17 | 4.32 | -4 | 16.44 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-4-2 | 0.14 | 3.88 | -2.86 | 18.06 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 101 | Marshall | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -15 | 8.67 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 102 | Brown | Ivy | 1-4-2 | 0.14 | 2.95 | -8.29 | 10.84 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 103 | Baylor | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.83 | -3.17 | 9.61 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 104 | NC State | ACC | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.19 | -8 | 11.16 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 105 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -17.67 | 21.22 | 0.29 | 0.71 |
| 106 | California | AAWU | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.72 | -6.86 | 16.41 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 107 | Boston University | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.59 | -7.43 | 11.07 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 108 | Toledo | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.52 | -8.43 | 12.69 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.3 | -21.17 | 22.19 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 110 | San José State | FBS Independents | 1-6-1 | 0.12 | 0.78 | -16.12 | 15.91 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 111 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.76 | -12 | 13.57 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 112 | Colorado | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.66 | -26 | 12 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 113 | Hardin-Simmons | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.6 | -14 | 3.66 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 114 | Detroit Mercy | FBS Independents | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.08 | -12 | 10.78 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
| 115 | Wake Forest | ACC | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.29 | -15.57 | 11.68 | 0.49 | -0.49 |
| 116 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.31 | -16.14 | 10.9 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 117 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.58 | -19.43 | 17.32 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| 118 | Tulane | SEC | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -21.43 | 18.28 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 119 | Colorado State | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.76 | -25.43 | 15.37 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| 120 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.9 | -29.29 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 |