Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:26.180424+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 18.9 | 13.63 | 9.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 22 | 10.34 | 9.37 | 0.63 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 24.33 | 8.63 | 8.61 | 0.39 |
| 4 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.81 | 22.22 | 7.77 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 5 | Princeton | Ivy | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.98 | 20.11 | 10.94 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 6 | UCLA | AAWU | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.98 | 10 | 15.98 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.47 | 12.33 | 12 | 8.05 | -1.05 |
| 8 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 21.59 | 10 | 14.8 | 7.15 | -2.15 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.92 | 21.89 | 13.49 | 8.61 | -1.61 |
| 10 | East Carolina | Southern | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 20.91 | 20.56 | 0.16 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 11 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.07 | 12 | 11.79 | 8.93 | -1.93 |
| 12 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.04 | 10 | 12.41 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 13 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.99 | 6.6 | 10.35 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 14 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.83 | 15.89 | 9.03 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 15 | USC | AAWU | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.62 | 13.33 | 11.99 | 7.99 | -1.99 |
| 16 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.47 | 6.2 | 7.35 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 17 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.42 | 13.5 | 4.44 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 18 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.07 | 4.22 | 10.12 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 19 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19 | 9.11 | 10.48 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 20 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.98 | 8.3 | 3.85 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 21 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.44 | 7.44 | 3.46 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.26 | 1.78 | 7.81 | 5.24 | 1.76 |
| 23 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.16 | 11 | 11.95 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 24 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-2-2 | 0.6 | 18.14 | 5.7 | 7.23 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.05 | 9.4 | 12.13 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 26 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.93 | 9.1 | 11.29 | 7.59 | -0.59 |
| 27 | Harvard | Ivy | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 17.53 | 6.44 | 8.65 | 7.44 | -2.44 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 8.78 | 12.44 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 29 | UTEP | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 10.33 | 11.76 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 30 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7.67 | 9.84 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 31 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 0.11 | 6.81 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 32 | Washington State | AAWU | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.62 | 3.6 | 5.36 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 33 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.12 | 6.22 | 4.72 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 34 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.97 | 11.7 | 12.6 | 8.37 | -2.37 |
| 35 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.93 | 2.56 | 7.33 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 36 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.7 | 3.33 | 13.28 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 37 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 4.2 | 14.15 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 38 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.49 | 1.9 | 5.72 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 39 | Davidson | Southern | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.49 | 4.67 | 1.7 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 40 | Stanford | AAWU | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.18 | -0.5 | 12.34 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 41 | Duke | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 5.9 | 9.56 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 42 | William & Mary | Southern | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.89 | 3.4 | 10.78 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 43 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.83 | 5.4 | 6.89 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 44 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 7.56 | 10.9 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 45 | Texas | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.61 | 8.22 | 10.66 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.58 | 2.4 | 9.8 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.56 | 4.11 | 14.48 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 48 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 6.78 | 11.21 | 6.34 | -1.34 |
| 49 | West Virginia | Southern | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.34 | 1.5 | 10 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 50 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.33 | 6.33 | 9.4 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 51 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 5-3-2 | 0.5 | 14.3 | 6.7 | -1.01 | 8.13 | -3.13 |
| 52 | Georgia | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.07 | 2 | 13.94 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 53 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.03 | 3 | 12.11 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 54 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 2.8 | 12.65 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 55 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 1.89 | 10.62 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 56 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.56 | 3.1 | 6.57 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 57 | Quantico Marines | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.44 | 8.11 | 0.19 | 7.33 | -2.33 |
| 58 | TCU | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.32 | 0.33 | 14.39 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 59 | Cornell | Ivy | 3-3-2 | 0.38 | 12.79 | 3.88 | 11.33 | 5.04 | -2.04 |
| 60 | George Washington | Southern | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 3.5 | 10.13 | 6.22 | -1.22 |
| 61 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.46 | 1.67 | 12.82 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 62 | Washington | AAWU | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 2 | 12.46 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 63 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.15 | -2 | 13.48 | 3.75 | 1.25 |
| 64 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 0.8 | 10.98 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 65 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.86 | 4.33 | 14.76 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 66 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.76 | 5.67 | 12.44 | 5.99 | -1.99 |
| 67 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.64 | -0.11 | 13.56 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 68 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 11.55 | -4 | 8.31 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 69 | Furman | Southern | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.05 | 0.8 | 0.55 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 70 | Colorado State | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11 | 3.11 | 8.31 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -0.9 | 7.94 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 72 | South Carolina | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.76 | -1.6 | 12.13 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 73 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -2 | 11.11 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 74 | San José State | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.46 | -0.8 | 3.7 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 75 | SMU | Southwest | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.46 | -4.56 | 14.17 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 76 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.44 | 2.4 | 13.78 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 77 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.37 | -1.8 | 8.42 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 78 | California | AAWU | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -6.9 | 14.09 | 2.61 | 2.39 |
| 79 | Oregon State | AAWU | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -3.7 | 10.23 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 80 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.64 | -1.44 | 14.37 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 81 | Houston | FBS Independents | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.44 | -1.5 | 11.9 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 82 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.38 | -2.11 | 14.44 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 83 | Oregon | AAWU | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.11 | -2.1 | 8.65 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 84 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -2.22 | 9.05 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 85 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 8.38 | 1 | 13.7 | 5.37 | -2.37 |
| 86 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.35 | -1.9 | 12.36 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 87 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.95 | -4.9 | 12.75 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 88 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.68 | -6.7 | 12.26 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 89 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.53 | 1.3 | 9.76 | 5.45 | -2.45 |
| 90 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.43 | -3.88 | 10.26 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 91 | Yale | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -6 | 11.12 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 92 | VMI | Southern | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -5.33 | 10.12 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 93 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -7.22 | 13.1 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 94 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -9.56 | 14.17 | 1.04 | 1.96 |
| 95 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -9.67 | 11.53 | 1.18 | 1.82 |
| 96 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -7.56 | 2.45 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 97 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -11.6 | 11.85 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 98 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -13.1 | 10.9 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 99 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -13.8 | 14.61 | 1.99 | 1.01 |
| 100 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.03 | -8.56 | 13.73 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 101 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.79 | -7.44 | 6.94 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 102 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.67 | -4.78 | 16.02 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 103 | Brown | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.58 | -4.56 | 11.85 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 104 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.53 | -5.56 | 9.17 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 105 | Rice | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3 | -13.44 | 12.44 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 106 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.82 | -16.22 | 10.66 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 107 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.82 | -9.1 | 13.09 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -9.6 | 12.33 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 109 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.71 | -21 | 15.01 | 0.46 | 1.54 |
| 110 | The Citadel | Southern | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -8.1 | 9.27 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 111 | Tulane | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -19.7 | 15.08 | 0.41 | 1.59 |
| 112 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.52 | -11.56 | 10.02 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 113 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.42 | -9.8 | 13.22 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 114 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.41 | -13.5 | 13.54 | 0.13 | 0.87 |
| 115 | Lehigh | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -15.44 | 2.07 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 116 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -18.78 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 117 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.16 | -13.3 | 13.29 | 0.85 | -0.85 |
| 118 | Richmond | Southern | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.6 | -23.7 | 13.07 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| 119 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.63 | -25.3 | 11.71 | 0.1 | -0.1 |