Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:26.179289+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.41 | 18.71 | 13.94 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.86 | 25.57 | 10.01 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 3 | Princeton | Ivy | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 27 | 9.14 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 4 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 21.43 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-0-2 | 0.6 | 25.51 | 10.2 | 11.59 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 6 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 19.83 | 4.95 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 7 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 23.68 | 19.57 | 0.63 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.66 | 22.17 | 15.07 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.64 | 9.43 | 13.11 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 10 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.41 | 11.33 | 10.61 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 11 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.28 | 10.43 | 10.59 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 12 | UCLA | AAWU | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.27 | 10.83 | 14.78 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 13 | USC | AAWU | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.15 | 10.17 | 13.79 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 14 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.1 | 9.86 | 5.79 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 15 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.87 | 4.71 | 7.6 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
| 16 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.62 | 11.14 | 2.57 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 17 | Washington State | AAWU | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.36 | 5 | 4.21 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 18 | East Carolina | Southern | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20 | 19.17 | 0.56 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 19 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-1-2 | 0.57 | 19.69 | 7.14 | 6.79 | 5.54 | -1.54 |
| 20 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.76 | 5.86 | 15.57 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 21 | Harvard | Ivy | 3-1-2 | 0.5 | 18.69 | 7.33 | 7.08 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 5.57 | 12.53 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 23 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.2 | 8.86 | 9.81 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 24 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 8.14 | 7.36 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 25 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.04 | 14.29 | 6.15 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 26 | UTEP | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 12.5 | 10.97 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 27 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.93 | 3.43 | 12.14 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 28 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.92 | 7.57 | 13.33 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 29 | Florida | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.87 | 6.67 | 13.36 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 30 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.76 | 10.43 | 5.78 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 31 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.67 | 4.29 | 7.69 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 32 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.48 | 3.14 | 13.89 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.29 | 3.71 | 5.79 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 34 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 12.17 | 5.94 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 35 | Oregon | AAWU | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.44 | 4 | 7.42 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 36 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.07 | 2.71 | 6.57 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 37 | Clemson | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.05 | -1.29 | 12.56 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 38 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16 | -1.14 | 9 | 3.13 | 1.87 |
| 39 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 15.68 | 0.57 | 8.87 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 40 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.6 | 10.29 | 14.45 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 41 | Stanford | AAWU | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 15.55 | -0.86 | 11.38 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 42 | Texas | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.51 | 9.71 | 11.62 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 43 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.36 | 10.71 | 10.03 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 44 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.35 | 6.86 | 14.85 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.3 | 7.14 | 14.44 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 46 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.12 | -1.5 | 13.68 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 47 | Duke | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 2.86 | 12.85 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 48 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 14.81 | -1.86 | 11.96 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 49 | William & Mary | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.43 | 1.71 | 14.61 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 50 | George Washington | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.14 | 4.57 | 6.91 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | West Virginia | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.1 | 2.14 | 8.03 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.62 | 0.71 | 10.68 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 53 | Furman | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.32 | 5.57 | -1.12 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 54 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 5.67 | 13.17 | 3.91 | -0.91 |
| 55 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.19 | 3.29 | 12.52 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 56 | Auburn | SEC | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.14 | 3 | 15.75 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 57 | Marshall | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.12 | 0.14 | 6.52 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 58 | SMU | Southwest | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 13.08 | -3.33 | 15 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 59 | Cornell | Ivy | 2-2-2 | 0.33 | 13.08 | 5.17 | 12.32 | 4.09 | -2.09 |
| 60 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.04 | 3.43 | 10.61 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 61 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 1.5 | 11.56 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 62 | Quantico Marines | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 7.83 | 4.3 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 63 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.31 | -6.67 | 10.25 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 64 | Davidson | Southern | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 2.83 | 4.44 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 65 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 0.67 | 10.71 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 66 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.93 | -0.71 | 15.64 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 67 | California | AAWU | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.38 | -8 | 10.38 | 1.74 | 2.26 |
| 68 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.25 | 2.57 | 15.83 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 69 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.01 | 1.14 | 12.91 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 70 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.96 | 3.71 | 8.45 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 71 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -2.83 | 16.29 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.63 | -1.33 | 8.64 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 73 | South Carolina | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.82 | -0.86 | 11.95 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 74 | Washington | AAWU | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.8 | -0.14 | 12.23 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 75 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.58 | -2.14 | 15.58 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.51 | -1.29 | 10.28 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 77 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.44 | 3.17 | 17.52 | 3.6 | -1.6 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.37 | -1.14 | 12.67 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 79 | Miami | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.98 | 3.83 | 10.61 | 3.69 | -1.69 |
| 80 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.91 | -3.29 | 14.09 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 81 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 2-3-2 | 0.29 | 8.79 | 0.57 | -3.19 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 82 | TCU | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.74 | -5.71 | 16.65 | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| 83 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.68 | -3.86 | 7.83 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 84 | Oregon State | AAWU | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.58 | -5.14 | 9.69 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 85 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.51 | -8.57 | 13.32 | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| 86 | San José State | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.1 | -7.29 | 10.04 | 1.78 | 1.22 |
| 87 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.3 | -0.83 | 9.77 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 88 | Yale | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -3 | 8.29 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 89 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.37 | -4.14 | 14.9 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 90 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -5.67 | 9.29 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 91 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -7.5 | 10.17 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 92 | Rice | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -10.17 | 12.99 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| 93 | Colorado State | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.96 | -2.57 | 13.67 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 94 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -8.33 | 11.05 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 95 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.92 | -12.29 | 14.44 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| 96 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -10.5 | 3.93 | 0.61 | 1.39 |
| 97 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.22 | -8.14 | 14.46 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 98 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.16 | -7 | 11.14 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 99 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.11 | -4.14 | 8.44 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 100 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -11 | 15.93 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| 101 | Houston | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.94 | -6.57 | 11.03 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 102 | Tulane | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -11.57 | 14.71 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 103 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -9.29 | 11.18 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 104 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.57 | -10.86 | 10.37 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 105 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 3.23 | -2.14 | 16.61 | 2.98 | -1.98 |
| 106 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.62 | -8 | 12.9 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 107 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 2.36 | -2.43 | 12.48 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 108 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.28 | -6.5 | 5.67 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 109 | Brown | Ivy | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.14 | -9.33 | 12.82 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 110 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -10.5 | 7.89 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 111 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.65 | -11.86 | 11.79 | 0.13 | 0.87 |
| 112 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -16.33 | 1.43 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 113 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.52 | -9 | 17 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 114 | VMI | Southern | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.42 | -9.86 | 14.28 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 115 | The Citadel | Southern | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.97 | -11.57 | 9.07 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 116 | Lehigh | FBS Independents | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.12 | -15 | 3.59 | 0.86 | -0.86 |
| 117 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.23 | -13.86 | 12.69 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 118 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.77 | -27.14 | 13.53 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 119 | Richmond | Southern | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.81 | -27.86 | 14.38 | 0.08 | -0.08 |