Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:26.519444+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | AAWU | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 20.25 | 9.84 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | UCLA | AAWU | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.32 | 13.43 | 10.75 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 3 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 17.38 | 8.69 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 4 | NC State | ACC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.94 | 15.75 | 8.26 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 5 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 24.12 | 16.83 | 4 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 6 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-0-0 | 1 | 23.58 | 9.86 | 3.14 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 7 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.18 | 12.17 | 15.97 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.14 | 12 | 8.07 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 9 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.03 | 12.57 | 11.02 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 10 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.95 | 14.14 | 10.05 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 11 | East Carolina | Southern | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.79 | 10.38 | 7.71 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 12 | Yale | Ivy | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 20 | 10.05 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.32 | 20.5 | 8.86 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.27 | 7.86 | 12.55 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 15 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.25 | 9 | 7.83 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 16 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 8.83 | 10.18 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 17 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.02 | 7.57 | 7.22 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 18 | Harvard | Ivy | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 23.33 | 6.16 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 19 | UTEP | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.68 | 25 | 8.35 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 20 | Princeton | Ivy | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.39 | 9.5 | 6.65 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 21 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.02 | 29.5 | -0.28 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 22 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 19.78 | 1.62 | 5.2 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 23 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 11.38 | 9.41 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.1 | 20 | 12.44 | 6.23 | -1.23 |
| 25 | Houston | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.07 | 17.29 | 12.94 | 6.34 | -1.34 |
| 26 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.9 | 11.29 | 13.99 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 27 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.78 | 17.43 | 9.68 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 28 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.77 | 11.43 | 13.18 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 29 | Texas | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.55 | 7 | 13.98 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 30 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.48 | 4.38 | 16.1 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 31 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 14.14 | 9.3 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 32 | Oregon State | AAWU | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.38 | 5.38 | 13.85 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 33 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 7.29 | 10.72 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 34 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.09 | 9.14 | 8.11 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 35 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.06 | 6.43 | 11.03 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 36 | LSU | SEC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.94 | 9.43 | 14.41 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 37 | Missouri | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.85 | 6.29 | 9.61 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 38 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.72 | 8 | 6.23 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 39 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.55 | 5 | 2.52 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 40 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.38 | 7 | 12.89 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 41 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.33 | 9 | 4.16 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 42 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.18 | 2.71 | 8.61 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 43 | Florida | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 5.83 | 9.8 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 44 | Cornell | Ivy | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 7.17 | 9.27 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.81 | 1.14 | 15.94 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 46 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 3.5 | 8.78 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 47 | Washington | AAWU | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.17 | 7 | 10.79 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 48 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 6.88 | 10.8 | 6 | -1 |
| 49 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 14.5 | 6.31 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 50 | William & Mary | Southern | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 3.5 | 12.32 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 51 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 4.5 | 10.09 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 52 | South Carolina | ACC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.14 | 2.62 | 7.45 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 53 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 4.5 | 4.84 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 54 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.95 | 4.62 | 4.84 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.85 | 8.86 | 10.02 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 56 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.56 | 1.43 | 14.93 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.18 | 2.43 | 11.31 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.47 | 0.86 | 9.81 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 59 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 5.88 | 12.42 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 4.5 | 10.46 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 61 | Rice | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 3.33 | 12.03 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 62 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.94 | 0 | 8.97 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 63 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 4.38 | 10.47 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 64 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.12 | -4.86 | 12.37 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 65 | Stanford | AAWU | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.71 | -0.25 | 15.3 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 66 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.66 | 2.67 | 3.01 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 67 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.32 | 0.33 | 7.49 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 68 | VMI | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.06 | -0.62 | 10.73 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -2.38 | 9.26 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 70 | Furman | Southern | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -0.88 | 0.56 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 71 | Davidson | Southern | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.95 | 0.43 | 7.17 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 72 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.68 | -0.29 | 11.92 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 73 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.55 | -1.43 | 12.45 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 74 | Richmond | Southern | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.82 | -6 | 15.27 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 75 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.82 | -2.86 | 12.17 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 76 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 8.79 | 3.29 | 8.88 | 4.4 | -2.4 |
| 77 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.76 | 0 | 12.19 | 4 | -1 |
| 78 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.27 | 1.33 | 8.41 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 79 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.12 | -5.5 | 14.58 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 80 | Duke | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.01 | -2.25 | 11.54 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 81 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.72 | -1.5 | 7.5 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 82 | California | AAWU | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.09 | -10.88 | 14.46 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 83 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.59 | -3.83 | 12.3 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 84 | Colorado State | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.49 | -3.14 | 14.2 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 85 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.34 | -4.29 | 15.39 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 86 | Pacific | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.29 | 0 | 1.32 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 87 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-4-2 | 0.25 | 6.18 | -6.25 | 11.8 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 88 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -7.17 | 7.92 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 89 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -10.5 | 13.72 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 90 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.87 | -2.71 | 13.05 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 91 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.63 | -4.14 | 13.88 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 92 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.05 | -10.14 | 16.24 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 93 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -6.43 | 13.06 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.99 | -8.43 | 11.52 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 95 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -10.14 | 16.48 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 96 | Oregon | AAWU | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -10.25 | 10.26 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -17.12 | 12.78 | 0.43 | 1.57 |
| 98 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -13.25 | 13.43 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 99 | Baylor | Southwest | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.71 | -10.67 | 9.08 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 100 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.66 | -4.57 | 13.07 | 2.32 | -1.32 |
| 101 | San José State | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.37 | -7 | 13.18 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 102 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.93 | -12.57 | 13.97 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 103 | Brown | Ivy | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -20.33 | 10.25 | 0.23 | 0.77 |
| 104 | TCU | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -14.17 | 9.49 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 105 | Tampa | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -25.5 | 13.78 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| 106 | SMU | Southwest | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.3 | -11.57 | 16.69 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 107 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.26 | -11.71 | 13.37 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 108 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -9.14 | 6.39 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 109 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.06 | -16 | 17.89 | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| 110 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 1.01 | -8.25 | 8.79 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 111 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.93 | -14 | 19.78 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 112 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.85 | -19.86 | 13.51 | 0.34 | 0.66 |
| 113 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.19 | -24.75 | 8.61 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 114 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0-6-1 | 0 | -2.06 | -11.71 | 11.18 | 1.06 | -1.06 |
| 115 | Washington State | AAWU | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.58 | -20.62 | 15.45 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| 116 | Marshall | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.61 | -23 | 12.9 | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| 117 | Maryland | ACC | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -23.5 | 16.6 | 0.02 | -0.02 |