Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:26.857612+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.54 | 22.22 | 11.29 | 8.57 | 0.43 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-8 | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 25.31 | 12.6 | 12.36 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 3 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 20.2 | 9.89 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 4 | San Diego State | PCAA | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 30.33 | 8.28 | 8.26 | 0.74 |
| 5 | Texas | Southwest | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.87 | 34.25 | 6.43 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 6 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.12 | 27.88 | 3.47 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 7 | Missouri | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.21 | 18.1 | 12.02 | 8.38 | 0.62 |
| 8 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.87 | 22.6 | 9.95 | 9.4 | -1.4 |
| 9 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.85 | 15.22 | 11.96 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.84 | 25.8 | 8.58 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.81 | 22.1 | 10.29 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.63 | 32.22 | 7.16 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Florida | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.6 | 13.67 | 12.35 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 14 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.57 | 17.8 | 8.64 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 15 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.83 | 20.33 | 4.65 | 8.31 | -0.31 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.73 | 22.56 | 12.71 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.6 | 21.1 | 9.7 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 | Memphis | Missouri Valley | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 13.7 | 11.45 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 9.6 | 12.69 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 20 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.44 | 17.7 | 12.32 | 8.43 | -1.43 |
| 21 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.38 | 9 | 12.15 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.32 | 21.11 | 10.86 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 23 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.25 | 12.4 | 9.88 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 24 | Houston | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.21 | 17.44 | 11.03 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 25 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.32 | 9.78 | 8.1 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.78 | 7.33 | 10.32 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 27 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.94 | 15.67 | 13.19 | 7.79 | -1.79 |
| 28 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 17.86 | 13.4 | -4.99 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 29 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.68 | 9.2 | 9.47 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 30 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 12.87 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 31 | Alabama | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 9.22 | 12.16 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 32 | Pacific | PCAA | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.39 | 13.8 | 4.64 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 33 | Princeton | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 12.22 | 11.04 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 34 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.37 | 14.2 | 4.47 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 35 | Davidson | Southern | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.85 | 11.5 | 1.71 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 36 | Georgia | SEC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 16.72 | 13 | 13.82 | 7.83 | -2.83 |
| 37 | South Carolina | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.4 | 0.5 | 11.47 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 38 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 10.56 | 3.3 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 39 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 5.89 | 6.19 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 40 | The Citadel | Southern | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.27 | 6.8 | 0.06 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 41 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.03 | 9.44 | 2.51 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 42 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 16 | 9 | 13.41 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 43 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.42 | 6.89 | -0.33 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 4.5 | 12.19 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 45 | Richmond | Southern | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.16 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 46 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 2.7 | 13.89 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 47 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.92 | 3.3 | 11.15 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 48 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.75 | 2.8 | 9.51 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 49 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.36 | 7.56 | 8.68 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 50 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.13 | 3.4 | 12.32 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 51 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.47 | 8.3 | 12.23 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 52 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.04 | -0.22 | 15.41 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 53 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.02 | 1 | -0.07 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 54 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.88 | -0.56 | 13.41 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.74 | 0.56 | 6.51 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 56 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 3.6 | 9.48 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 57 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 12.41 | -2.78 | 2.24 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 58 | California | Pac-8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | -0.2 | 12.14 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 59 | California-Santa Barbara | PCAA | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 11.27 | -4.6 | -0.07 | 3.56 | 2.44 |
| 60 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 10.47 | 8 | 10.87 | 6.91 | -3.91 |
| 61 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.46 | 0.44 | 13.35 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -3.2 | 11.66 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 63 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -2 | 8.74 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 64 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.9 | 1.3 | 11.62 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 65 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.67 | -1 | 14.08 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 66 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.59 | 1 | 8.21 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 67 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.52 | -6.5 | 7.41 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 68 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.41 | -1.2 | 9.19 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 69 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 9.38 | -8.11 | 5.43 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 70 | Cornell | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.35 | -1.56 | 11.98 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 71 | NC State | ACC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 9.22 | 0.78 | 10.32 | 4.72 | -1.72 |
| 72 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.76 | -5 | 13.36 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.43 | -7.67 | 9.59 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 74 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.43 | -4.11 | 4.64 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 75 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.08 | -2.9 | 12.06 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 76 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.02 | -9 | 6.3 | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| 77 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.58 | -2.89 | 9.93 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 78 | Clemson | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -7.2 | 10.93 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 79 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.43 | -16.22 | 5.47 | 1.52 | 2.48 |
| 80 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.37 | -12.1 | 14.46 | 2.15 | 1.85 |
| 81 | Harvard | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.29 | -0.11 | 6.35 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 82 | TCU | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.18 | -11.6 | 12.54 | 2.32 | 1.68 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.09 | -11 | 10.35 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 84 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.08 | -13.7 | 10.9 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| 85 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -4.33 | 10.86 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 86 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -5 | 12.37 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 87 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -5.78 | 13.73 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 88 | Duke | ACC | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.8 | -6.3 | 8.81 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 89 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -10.11 | 13.91 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 90 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.58 | -4.1 | 10.63 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -18.44 | 17.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 92 | SMU | Southwest | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.44 | -4.4 | 10.51 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 93 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.29 | -7.9 | 13.12 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 94 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -8.3 | 14.3 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 95 | Virginia | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.2 | -5.5 | 5.52 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 96 | Marshall | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.17 | -7.4 | 9.96 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 97 | William & Mary | Southern | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.96 | -10.4 | 10.37 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 98 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -11.6 | 11.66 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 99 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -9.3 | 3.68 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 100 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -15.3 | 13.02 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.75 | -16.9 | 14.44 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 102 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.68 | -14.9 | 13.07 | 1.03 | 1.97 |
| 103 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.67 | -15.4 | 10.07 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 104 | Rice | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.24 | -9.44 | 12.25 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 105 | Brown | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -10.56 | 9.76 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 106 | East Carolina | Southern | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.95 | -10.67 | 3.8 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 107 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -19.1 | 17.55 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 108 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -15.2 | 12.16 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 109 | San José State | PCAA | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.18 | -19.4 | 16.64 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 110 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.32 | -11.4 | 14.12 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 111 | Furman | Southern | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -20.11 | 0.6 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 112 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.67 | 11.31 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 113 | Columbia | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -17 | 10.26 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 114 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.22 | 14.71 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 115 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.08 | -20.89 | 12.86 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 116 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.11 | -19.6 | 13.02 | 1.14 | -0.14 |
| 117 | Washington | Pac-8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.21 | -18.8 | 15.89 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 118 | Cal State Los Angeles | PCAA | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.51 | -27.62 | 3.12 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| 119 | Baylor | Southwest | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.67 | -25.44 | 13.52 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| 120 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.75 | -29.1 | 12.51 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 121 | VMI | Southern | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.8 | -31 | 12.41 | 0.24 | -0.24 |