Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:26.856370+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.45 | 18.86 | 13.99 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 2 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.29 | 25.83 | 12.11 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-8 | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 26.15 | 13.43 | 13.82 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 4 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 19 | 12.18 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 5 | Texas | Southwest | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 28.33 | 9.31 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 6 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.47 | 28.12 | 7.69 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 7 | San Diego State | PCAA | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.74 | 30 | 4.2 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 8 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.66 | 27.33 | 4.09 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 9 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.48 | 31 | 2.71 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.42 | 36.5 | 1.83 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 11 | Missouri | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.6 | 10.29 | 14.09 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.49 | 14 | 10.8 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 13 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.45 | 15.43 | 10.11 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.34 | 24.43 | 7.64 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.98 | 22 | 11.25 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 16 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.91 | 18.86 | 7.57 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 17 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.89 | 9.57 | 10.41 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 18 | Pacific | PCAA | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.63 | 20.29 | 5.69 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 19 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.61 | 13 | 7.48 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 20 | Davidson | Southern | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.26 | 22.29 | 3.29 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 21 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.26 | 9.5 | 11.15 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 22 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.94 | 16.33 | 0.59 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.7 | 21.57 | 14.94 | 6.34 | -1.34 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.27 | 18.57 | 11.42 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 15.43 | 12 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 26 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.02 | 12.14 | 13.43 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 27 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.54 | 21.29 | 14.04 | 6.25 | -2.25 |
| 28 | Memphis | Missouri Valley | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.44 | 7.86 | 11.83 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 29 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.34 | 9.43 | 8.67 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.32 | 13.86 | 8.13 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.31 | 7 | 11.53 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 32 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.15 | 7.43 | 10.1 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 33 | Houston | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.87 | 12.67 | 12.16 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 34 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 7.17 | 14.98 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 35 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 10.67 | 11.42 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 36 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.57 | 12.43 | 3.69 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 37 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.3 | 6.43 | 3.36 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 38 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 9 | 7.89 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 39 | Yale | Ivy | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 10 | 5.09 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 40 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.37 | 4.57 | -1.81 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 41 | South Carolina | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16 | -1.71 | 10.56 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 42 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.87 | 11.71 | 15.65 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 43 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 15.12 | 3 | -7.2 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 44 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.03 | 2.29 | 15.76 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 45 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.72 | 3.86 | 10.28 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 46 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 6.71 | 7.4 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 47 | Richmond | Southern | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 5 | 8.38 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 48 | California | Pac-8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.31 | 1 | 13.35 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 49 | West Texas A&M | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.79 | 4.14 | 5.16 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 50 | Fresno State | PCAA | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.49 | 3.57 | 0.52 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 51 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.42 | 0.29 | 11.43 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 52 | Buffalo | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.42 | 8.71 | -2.73 | 6 | -2 |
| 53 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 5.5 | 9.92 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 54 | NC State | ACC | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.96 | 5.57 | 8.46 | 4.79 | -1.79 |
| 55 | Harvard | Ivy | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 7.33 | 2.89 | 4.38 | -1.38 |
| 56 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.27 | -2.33 | 3.47 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 57 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.22 | -0.86 | 6.72 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 58 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.15 | -3.17 | 0.75 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 59 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.94 | -2.86 | 9.15 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.91 | -4.86 | 12.41 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 61 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.5 | -0.29 | 12.63 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 62 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.48 | 2 | -0.2 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 63 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.48 | -3 | 11.55 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 64 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -7.17 | 15.56 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| 65 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.01 | -0.43 | 11.81 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 66 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.75 | 1.5 | 11.45 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 67 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.65 | -1 | 11.32 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 68 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.49 | -9.83 | 5.49 | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| 69 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.04 | -2.43 | 9.35 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 70 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.04 | -4.14 | 13.42 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 71 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.01 | -6.14 | 16.51 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.95 | -2.86 | 12.96 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 73 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.78 | -2.71 | 6.02 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 74 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.77 | -3.71 | 7.89 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 75 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.76 | -3.86 | 13.49 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 76 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.47 | -10.29 | 15.27 | 2 | 1 |
| 77 | William & Mary | Southern | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.31 | -6.86 | 7.39 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 78 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.22 | -9.29 | 14.17 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| 79 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.07 | -9.71 | 12.36 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 80 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 7.99 | 5.14 | 11.8 | 4.85 | -2.85 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | Missouri Valley | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.92 | -13 | 9.63 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 82 | California-Santa Barbara | PCAA | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.67 | -10.71 | 2.94 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| 83 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -12 | 12.18 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 84 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.27 | -7.86 | -4.27 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 85 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.07 | -17.57 | 3.42 | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| 86 | Miami | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -3.67 | 15.77 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 87 | Cornell | Ivy | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -3 | 12.34 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 88 | SMU | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.67 | -3.86 | 11.05 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 89 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.59 | -4.29 | 13.52 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 90 | East Carolina | Southern | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -7.17 | 0.83 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 91 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.22 | -6.86 | 12.46 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 92 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.91 | -11.86 | 14.42 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 93 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -13 | 12.67 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 94 | TCU | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.75 | -9.57 | 12.88 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 95 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.67 | -17.86 | 16.98 | 0.52 | 1.48 |
| 96 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.67 | -16.29 | 15.14 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 97 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.65 | -19 | 17.58 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 98 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.52 | -13.71 | 8.73 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.51 | -14.29 | 14.46 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 100 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.37 | -3.5 | 8.87 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 101 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.34 | -13.43 | 8.46 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.5 | -5.43 | 9.61 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 103 | Rice | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.16 | -9.67 | 13.97 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 104 | Furman | Southern | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -21 | -2.78 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 105 | Brown | Ivy | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -13.33 | 12.23 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.68 | -6.71 | 12.54 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 107 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.66 | -12.29 | 15.62 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 108 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -18.83 | 13.24 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 109 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.19 | -13.43 | 15.53 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 110 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.98 | -16.43 | 13.46 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 111 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -18.71 | 14.28 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 112 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.84 | -21 | 17.24 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 113 | San José State | PCAA | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.8 | -22.14 | 16.55 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 114 | Marshall | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.76 | -16.14 | 12.87 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 115 | Cal State Los Angeles | PCAA | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.33 | -20.8 | 2.03 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 116 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.47 | -19.29 | 11.76 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 117 | Columbia | Ivy | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.51 | -21.33 | 9.64 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 118 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.61 | -21.86 | 14.47 | 0.63 | -0.63 |
| 119 | Baylor | Southwest | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.71 | -24.5 | 14.41 | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| 120 | Washington | Pac-8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.76 | -24.86 | 16.78 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| 121 | VMI | Southern | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.86 | -30.29 | 14.24 | 0.07 | -0.07 |