Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:27.233773+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-0-0 | 1 | 27.44 | 23.6 | 15 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-0-0 | 1 | 27.15 | 17.8 | 14.71 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.77 | 34.83 | 10.26 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.64 | 29 | 10.09 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 5 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.53 | 17 | 11.91 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 6 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.49 | 31.6 | 9.32 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 25.33 | 8.42 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 5-0-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 23.2 | 6.89 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 32.5 | 4.55 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 10 | Cornell | Ivy | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.35 | 12 | 7.34 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 11 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 15.5 | 5.24 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 12 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 23.55 | 8.5 | 18.92 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 13 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.88 | 22.83 | 13.43 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 14 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.54 | 15.83 | 12.84 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 15 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.13 | 12.17 | 12.02 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.84 | 19.5 | 8.04 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 17 | Duke | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.6 | 13.5 | 8.24 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 18 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.48 | 11.83 | 5.72 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 19 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 12 | 7.61 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 20 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.35 | 14.8 | 7.9 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 21 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.35 | 8 | 13.37 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 22 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.32 | 7.33 | 9.15 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 23 | Houston | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.25 | 11.4 | 11.87 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 24 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.08 | 9.2 | 11.59 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 25 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.99 | 18.2 | 7.84 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 26 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.94 | 11.6 | 9.4 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 27 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 17.6 | 3.25 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 28 | Tampa | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 19.76 | 25 | -0.04 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 29 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 3.5 | 10.83 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 30 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 18.64 | 5.4 | 6.65 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 31 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.51 | 21.5 | -0.22 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.44 | 17.33 | 8.73 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 33 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 17.75 | -0.76 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 34 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.18 | 9.67 | 10.34 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 35 | San Diego State | PCAA | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.11 | 5.25 | 3.39 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 36 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.85 | 12 | 7.09 | 5 | -1 |
| 37 | William & Mary | Southern | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.7 | 7.67 | 7.68 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 38 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 8.33 | 6.45 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 39 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 8.83 | 5.84 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 40 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 6.57 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 41 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 1.17 | 12.71 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 42 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 5.83 | 2.8 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.65 | 8.8 | 15.73 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 44 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.64 | 7 | 12.86 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 45 | Texas | Southwest | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.64 | 5.8 | 13.62 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 46 | Miami | FBS Independents | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.58 | 8 | 14.99 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 47 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.41 | 8.6 | 13.92 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 48 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.38 | 2.83 | 12.07 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 49 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-1-2 | 0.4 | 15.33 | -1.4 | 10.9 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 50 | California | Pac-8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.88 | -4.17 | 14.11 | 2.39 | 1.61 |
| 51 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 13.57 | 1.6 | -1.89 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 52 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 13.54 | 5.6 | 7.45 | 3.53 | -1.53 |
| 53 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 13.17 | -5.4 | 9.83 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 54 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 5.67 | 9.26 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 55 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 2.5 | 15.2 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 56 | Yale | Ivy | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 5.5 | 1.62 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 57 | Furman | Southern | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 1.33 | -5.35 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 58 | Harvard | Ivy | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 0.5 | 9.92 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 59 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 4.83 | 2.98 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 60 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 1.17 | 9.21 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 61 | TCU | Southwest | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 11.93 | 0.2 | 13.41 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 62 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.7 | -2.33 | 14.23 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 63 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.56 | -0.33 | 11.16 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 64 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | -2.5 | 15.67 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.44 | -0.83 | 13.84 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 66 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 11.12 | -4.4 | 12.08 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 67 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.04 | -0.75 | 1.14 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 68 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.88 | -2.33 | 12.54 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 69 | The Citadel | Southern | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.83 | -0.5 | 0.03 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 70 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -0.5 | 5.07 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 71 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -4.83 | 10.1 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.27 | -4.83 | 11.05 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 73 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -10.33 | 18.04 | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| 74 | USC | Pac-8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.28 | 2 | 14.41 | 3.36 | -1.36 |
| 75 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.87 | -0.2 | 9.92 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 76 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.84 | -2.2 | 8.46 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 77 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.34 | -5 | 11.45 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 78 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.28 | -6.5 | 12.45 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 79 | Clemson | ACC | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.91 | -4.2 | 12.6 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 80 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.91 | -8.4 | 9.42 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 81 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.89 | -14.2 | 16.49 | 0.52 | 1.48 |
| 82 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.78 | -11.4 | 12.53 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 83 | Richmond | Southern | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.51 | -8.6 | 14.46 | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| 84 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.49 | -1.5 | 13.61 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 85 | SMU | Southwest | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.22 | -12.6 | 13.13 | 0.72 | 1.28 |
| 86 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.1 | -3.5 | 15.3 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 87 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.04 | -8.6 | -2.29 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 88 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.93 | -6.33 | 19.53 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 89 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.61 | -5.83 | 11.31 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -4.33 | 9.85 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 91 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -8 | 14.53 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 92 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -11 | 11.68 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.5 | 11.42 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| 94 | Princeton | Ivy | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.74 | -1.25 | 12.14 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 95 | Memphis | Missouri Valley | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 4.22 | -1.8 | 16 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 96 | San José State | PCAA | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 4.15 | -8.6 | 14.35 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 97 | Baylor | Southwest | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -16.5 | 14.44 | 0.26 | 0.74 |
| 98 | VMI | Southern | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.7 | -3.2 | 7.41 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 99 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.94 | -5.8 | 19.62 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 100 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.92 | -13.6 | 22.32 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 101 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.89 | -8.4 | 4.96 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 102 | Rice | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.76 | -12.8 | 13.29 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 103 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.49 | -13.4 | -1.21 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 104 | Maryland | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.41 | -8.17 | 14.22 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 105 | California-Santa Barbara | PCAA | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -18.2 | 9.3 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 106 | Cal State Los Angeles | PCAA | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.34 | -15.4 | -0.71 | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| 107 | Texas-Arlington | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.27 | -19.4 | 7.66 | 0.09 | 0.91 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.26 | -8.83 | 10.98 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 109 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.16 | -22.6 | 4.67 | 0.24 | 0.76 |
| 110 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.03 | -13.5 | 16.93 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 111 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.01 | -13.8 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 112 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2 | -13.17 | 14.9 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.97 | -13.83 | 15.75 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 114 | NC State | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -14.83 | 14.2 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 115 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -15.67 | 14.11 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | East Carolina | Southern | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -18.83 | 17.99 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 117 | Virginia | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -20.17 | 14.43 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 118 | Davidson | Southern | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -19.67 | 5.22 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| 119 | Florida | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -15.5 | 20.05 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 120 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -25.67 | 17.05 | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| 121 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -12.17 | 4.32 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 122 | Brown | Ivy | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.64 | -6 | 12.21 | 1.18 | -1.18 |
| 123 | Pacific | PCAA | 0-6-0 | 0 | -1.82 | -8 | 9.03 | 1.07 | -1.07 |
| 124 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.42 | -18.2 | 10.13 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| 125 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -25.8 | 8.94 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
| 126 | Iowa | Big Ten | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.75 | -22.83 | 15.52 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 127 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.85 | -24.33 | 18.49 | 0.09 | -0.09 |