Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:27.235018+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 33.11 | 11.85 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-0-0 | 1 | 26.11 | 26.62 | 11.9 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 25.11 | 12.21 | 8.69 | 0.31 |
| 4 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 34.25 | 9.69 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 5 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 20.44 | 11.29 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 28 | 8.85 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.97 | 37 | 5.27 | 8.94 | 0.06 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.95 | 22.5 | 7.03 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 9 | Cornell | Ivy | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 12.29 | 7.79 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.98 | 18.12 | 12.05 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 11 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.79 | 18.38 | 10.97 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 12 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.07 | 9.29 | 5.49 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 13 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.51 | 7.56 | 15.34 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 14 | Washington | Pac-8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.1 | 18 | 8.87 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 15 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.04 | 12.44 | 10.13 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 16 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.8 | 10 | 9.69 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 17 | Houston | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.79 | 9.75 | 14.37 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 3.44 | 14.28 | 5.28 | 1.72 |
| 19 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.62 | 12.75 | 11.98 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 20 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.58 | 18.67 | 9.37 | 7.78 | -1.78 |
| 21 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 13.88 | 8.54 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 22 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 10.38 | 11.09 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 23 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 10.12 | 10.87 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 24 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.3 | 11.88 | 9.74 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 25 | Texas | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.29 | 10.75 | 10.57 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 26 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.01 | 9 | 9.16 | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 27 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 4.33 | 14.55 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 28 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 11.11 | 7.91 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 29 | Duke | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 8.33 | 9.72 | 7.31 | -1.31 |
| 30 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.98 | 15.43 | -0.52 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 31 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.86 | 10.86 | -0.98 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.77 | 13.5 | 11.71 | 6.57 | -1.57 |
| 33 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 3 | 9.4 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 34 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.42 | 8.89 | 4.48 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 35 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 3.25 | 10.55 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 36 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 7.75 | 6.79 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 37 | The Citadel | Southern | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.44 | 5.78 | -0.65 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 38 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 3 | 10.66 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 39 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.13 | 0.75 | 11.84 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15.11 | 7.11 | 15.28 | 6.34 | -1.34 |
| 41 | Fresno State | PCAA | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.02 | 4.75 | 3.91 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 42 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.88 | 6.43 | 9.92 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 43 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.8 | 9.29 | 9.23 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.76 | 6.89 | 12.55 | 6.61 | -1.61 |
| 45 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 14.69 | -1.88 | 11.86 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 46 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 4.78 | 10.3 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 47 | William & Mary | Southern | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.41 | 4.78 | 10.07 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.11 | 2.33 | 13.12 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.09 | 4.56 | 9.08 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 50 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.73 | 4.44 | 6.91 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 7.33 | -0.56 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 52 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.42 | 0 | 3.5 | 4 | 1 |
| 53 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 5.62 | 12.61 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 54 | Tampa | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 11.5 | 6.18 | 6.23 | -2.23 |
| 55 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.02 | 0.33 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 56 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.89 | -0.75 | 10.19 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 57 | Columbia | Ivy | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.87 | -0.29 | 10.44 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 58 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.64 | -1.33 | 12.51 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 59 | San Diego State | PCAA | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.64 | -1.14 | 8.66 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 60 | TCU | Southwest | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 11.95 | -4.12 | 12.52 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 61 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.9 | -4.78 | 15.37 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 62 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.87 | -2.11 | 9.65 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 63 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.73 | 0.75 | 8.89 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 64 | California | Pac-8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.61 | -7.67 | 13.73 | 2.77 | 2.23 |
| 65 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.46 | 0.56 | 7.31 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 66 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.42 | -4.14 | 4.27 | 2.78 | 1.22 |
| 67 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.15 | -0.5 | 9.37 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 68 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.02 | -0.89 | 11.15 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 69 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.54 | -2.78 | 9.88 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 70 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 10.41 | 0.38 | 11.62 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 71 | Yale | Ivy | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.36 | 1.29 | 9.41 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 72 | Furman | Southern | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.33 | 0.33 | -3.54 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 73 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -8 | 12.45 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 74 | Harvard | Ivy | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.42 | -1.57 | 11.92 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 75 | Memphis | Missouri Valley | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.34 | 0.25 | 14.07 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.18 | -2.78 | 10.23 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 77 | San José State | PCAA | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.1 | -1.88 | 13.18 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 78 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -6.33 | 14.68 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 79 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -5.89 | 12.53 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 80 | East Carolina | Southern | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.37 | -9.22 | 12.62 | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.35 | -1 | 10.9 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 82 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.12 | -8.11 | 7.6 | 2.34 | 1.66 |
| 83 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -2.62 | 11.43 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 84 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -4.75 | 16.04 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 85 | Richmond | Southern | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.5 | -5 | 11.69 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 86 | Clemson | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.44 | -6.88 | 14.78 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 87 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.27 | -7 | 12.07 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 88 | SMU | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.98 | -10.38 | 11.63 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 89 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.95 | -2.22 | 12.75 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 90 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -12.12 | 12.72 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 91 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.9 | -14.25 | 14.67 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 92 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.84 | -2.11 | 11 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 93 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.47 | -7 | 1.3 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 94 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -6.33 | 14.2 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 95 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -6.44 | 14.23 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 96 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -5.89 | 12.61 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 97 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7.78 | 10.74 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 98 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -12.67 | 14.92 | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| 99 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -12.78 | 13.71 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| 100 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -6.43 | 4.97 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 101 | Rice | Southwest | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.82 | -11.38 | 14.51 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 102 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.37 | -5.38 | 10.65 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 103 | Pacific | PCAA | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.91 | -2.11 | 7.14 | 3.83 | -1.83 |
| 104 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -9.62 | 3.25 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 105 | Maryland | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.66 | -5.67 | 11.48 | 3.22 | -1.22 |
| 106 | California-Santa Barbara | PCAA | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -11.88 | 10.6 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -16.5 | 8.9 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| 108 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.43 | -8.56 | 14.73 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 109 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.27 | -21.12 | 7.88 | 0.29 | 1.71 |
| 110 | Cal State Los Angeles | PCAA | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.23 | -17.5 | 1.55 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 111 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -13.11 | 14.81 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 112 | NC State | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.94 | -11.44 | 11.16 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 113 | Florida | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.92 | -18.22 | 17.6 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| 114 | Virginia | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.92 | -14.22 | 10.2 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -20.78 | 16.72 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 116 | Baylor | Southwest | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.12 | -14 | 11.69 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 117 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.8 | -10.25 | 2.21 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 118 | VMI | Southern | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -12.12 | 8.58 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 119 | Davidson | Southern | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.53 | -15 | 1.94 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 120 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.44 | -12.44 | 1.38 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 121 | Texas-Arlington | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.4 | -18.62 | 7.48 | 0.31 | 0.69 |
| 122 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.4 | -13.56 | 10.77 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 123 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.35 | -14.89 | 16.77 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 124 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.05 | -24.44 | 14.71 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 125 | Brown | Ivy | 0-7-0 | 0 | -1.99 | -10.86 | 11.08 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 126 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.17 | -14.75 | 7.59 | 0.88 | -0.88 |
| 127 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.43 | -19.38 | 10.69 | 0.57 | -0.57 |