Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:27.437179+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-8 | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 27.75 | 12.41 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.78 | 27.08 | 13.22 | 11.78 | -0.78 |
| 3 | Texas | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.22 | 13.64 | 14.37 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 4 | North Carolina | ACC | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.8 | 9.5 | 12.18 | 8.84 | 2.16 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.77 | 6.18 | 14.96 | 7.89 | 2.11 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 18.82 | 10.31 | 10.72 | -0.72 |
| 7 | San Diego State | PCAA | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.4 | 11.18 | 10.56 | 8.95 | 1.05 |
| 8 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.28 | 21.8 | 8.45 | 9.48 | -0.48 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.62 | 21.33 | 13.47 | 10.96 | -0.96 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.48 | 33.67 | 12.34 | 11.76 | -2.76 |
| 11 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 21.45 | 10.22 | 9.31 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 16.42 | 12.02 | 11.15 | -1.15 |
| 13 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 14.08 | 11.36 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 14 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.73 | 22.17 | 8.35 | 9.85 | 0.15 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.63 | 8.92 | 13.09 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.4 | 9.91 | 10.9 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 17 | East Carolina | Southern | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.99 | 8.45 | 9.36 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 18 | Tampa | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 19.93 | 13.92 | 5.57 | 10.49 | -0.49 |
| 19 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.45 | 14 | 9.33 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 20 | NC State | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.79 | 14.08 | 12.35 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 21 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.54 | 10.18 | 12.28 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 22 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.38 | 8.82 | 11.53 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 23 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.72 | 9 | 7.24 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 24 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.39 | 11.6 | 8.32 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 25 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 8.92 | 11.8 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 26 | Pacific | PCAA | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.98 | 5.09 | 4.68 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 27 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 10.5 | 10.32 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 28 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 7.83 | 11.74 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 29 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.85 | 5.7 | 12.9 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.83 | 0.36 | 11.96 | 5.63 | 2.37 |
| 31 | Cornell | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 5 | 12.43 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 32 | SMU | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 10.45 | 10.88 | 8.68 | -1.68 |
| 33 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 2.55 | 7.52 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 34 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.23 | 6.67 | 7.4 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 35 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.94 | 4.83 | 12.02 | 7.59 | -0.59 |
| 36 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.74 | 5.73 | 9.52 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 37 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.42 | 1 | 14.75 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 38 | Houston | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.42 | 11.18 | 10.41 | 8.31 | -2.31 |
| 39 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 12 | 9.34 | 7.68 | -1.68 |
| 40 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.33 | 3 | 9.48 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 41 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.23 | 5.18 | 6 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 42 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.14 | 10.73 | 1.65 | 8.53 | -1.53 |
| 43 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.94 | 2.18 | 7.71 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 44 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.93 | 4.91 | 11.04 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 45 | Richmond | Southern | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.39 | 3.3 | 8.53 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 46 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.37 | 7.18 | 4.33 | 7.96 | -1.96 |
| 47 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 10 | 11.01 | 8.85 | -2.85 |
| 48 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 5.09 | 12.79 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.99 | 7.55 | 10.16 | 7.79 | -1.79 |
| 50 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 4.27 | 11.21 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 51 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 13.55 | 6.58 | 1.47 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 52 | Florida | SEC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 13.36 | 6.73 | 15.73 | 8 | -3 |
| 53 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.12 | 1.64 | 10.61 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 5 | 12.93 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 55 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 0.09 | 12.48 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 56 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 0.5 | 5.99 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 57 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 12.2 | -0.42 | 11.75 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 58 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.14 | 2.36 | 10.08 | 6.23 | -1.23 |
| 59 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-1 | 0.42 | 11.9 | 6.75 | 12.6 | 8 | -3 |
| 60 | Memphis | Missouri Valley | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.8 | 1 | 10.8 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 61 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.68 | 1.9 | 6.57 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 62 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.67 | -1.27 | 10.06 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 63 | Harvard | Ivy | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.65 | 1.33 | 7.91 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 64 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.62 | 4 | 13.31 | 6.96 | -1.96 |
| 65 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.61 | 0.18 | 13.18 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 66 | William & Mary | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.52 | 6.36 | 8.92 | 7.45 | -2.45 |
| 67 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 11.48 | -12.2 | 10.63 | 2.07 | 3.93 |
| 68 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.24 | 2.18 | 13.1 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 69 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.13 | -1.33 | 2.2 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 70 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 10.61 | -5 | 4.15 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 71 | App State | Southern | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.5 | 0.64 | -1.46 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 72 | Rice | Southwest | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.27 | -3.82 | 13.87 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 73 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.25 | 0.82 | 6.7 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 74 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.19 | -6.55 | 3.69 | 3.18 | 2.82 |
| 75 | Missouri | Big 8 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -7.67 | 13.44 | 3.64 | 2.36 |
| 76 | Columbia | Ivy | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 9.46 | 2.11 | 10.95 | 5.25 | -2.25 |
| 77 | Duke | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.4 | -2.18 | 13.2 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 78 | TCU | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.19 | -2.91 | 12.56 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 79 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.55 | -4.36 | 6.95 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 80 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.51 | -6.18 | 9.6 | 3.69 | 1.31 |
| 81 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.42 | -8 | 10.95 | 2.65 | 2.35 |
| 82 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.27 | -0.82 | 6.85 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 83 | Texas-Arlington | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 7.94 | -5.55 | 0.34 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 84 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.42 | -1.64 | 12.06 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 85 | Princeton | Ivy | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.37 | -4.56 | 13.47 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 86 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.23 | -1.64 | 8.82 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 87 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.83 | -4.09 | 10.76 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -5.18 | 11.68 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 89 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.6 | -6.91 | 13.02 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 90 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.27 | 13.04 | 3.15 | 0.85 |
| 91 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -7 | 10.8 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 92 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -7 | 10.62 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 93 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -6.73 | 9.81 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 94 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -8.82 | 13.2 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 95 | Clemson | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -9.27 | 12.65 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 96 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.27 | -7.82 | 8.28 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 97 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -10.82 | 12.49 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 98 | San José State | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.25 | -8.18 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 99 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.41 | -4.45 | 10.33 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 100 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -9 | 11.06 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 101 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.59 | -7.09 | 14.83 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 102 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.55 | -7.27 | 14.19 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 103 | California | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.49 | -7.82 | 13.99 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 104 | Davidson | Southern | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -12.82 | 3.41 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 105 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -9.18 | 13.87 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -10.36 | 12.53 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 107 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -10.82 | 10.59 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 108 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -12.36 | 7.95 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 109 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.76 | -21.64 | 15.12 | 1.22 | 1.78 |
| 110 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.32 | -7 | 5.46 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 111 | Xavier | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -13.8 | 5.08 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 112 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.26 | -16.1 | 9.45 | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| 113 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.17 | -17.3 | 7.43 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 114 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -10.27 | 1.34 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 115 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -13.09 | 11.06 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 116 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -14.91 | 14.94 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 117 | VMI | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -13.55 | 9.86 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 118 | Furman | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -13.73 | 3.01 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 119 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.77 | -16.82 | 8.42 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -18.82 | 8 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 121 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.6 | -22.82 | 12.77 | 0.43 | 1.57 |
| 122 | Southern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.46 | -11.8 | 5.44 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 123 | Brown | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.33 | 11.66 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 124 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.11 | -14.27 | 13.27 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 125 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.31 | -18.73 | 11.2 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 126 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -25.91 | 11.95 | 0.64 | 0.36 |