Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:27.850320+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 34.64 | 11.8 | 10.78 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 21.36 | 12.19 | 10.56 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.74 | 20.6 | 8.87 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.12 | 22.64 | 10.61 | 10.67 | -0.67 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.08 | 28.09 | 9.54 | 10.55 | -0.55 |
| 6 | USC | Pac-8 | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.88 | 20 | 11.03 | 10.09 | -1.09 |
| 7 | Yale | Ivy | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.05 | 18 | 8.17 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.1 | 12.82 | 13.31 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.7 | 15.36 | 10.03 | 9.59 | -0.59 |
| 10 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.57 | 14.45 | 9.56 | 9.66 | -0.66 |
| 11 | San Diego State | PCAA | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.41 | 11 | 12.61 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 12 | NC State | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.39 | 6.91 | 11.69 | 7.43 | 1.57 |
| 13 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.03 | 8.09 | 8.77 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Harvard | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 11.89 | 11.67 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 15 | Temple | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.64 | 19.3 | 5.32 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 16 | Maryland | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.27 | 19.64 | 12.82 | 10.36 | -2.36 |
| 17 | Texas | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.16 | 17.64 | 12.67 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 18 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.94 | 21.64 | 10.16 | 10.21 | -2.21 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.83 | 9.18 | 13.73 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 20 | Florida | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 6.09 | 14.57 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 21 | Lamar | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.59 | 4.4 | 5 | 6.84 | 1.16 |
| 22 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.55 | 19.18 | 8.21 | 9.74 | -1.74 |
| 23 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.44 | 8.27 | 11.57 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 24 | Houston | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.28 | 8.64 | 10.22 | 8.33 | -0.33 |
| 25 | Baylor | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.18 | 4.55 | 12.57 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 26 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 7.36 | 10.09 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 27 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 18.02 | 10.36 | 12.26 | 8.25 | -1.25 |
| 28 | San José State | PCAA | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.95 | 10.33 | 7.17 | 9.11 | -1.11 |
| 29 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.68 | 6.73 | 12.03 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 30 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.55 | 10.27 | 9.01 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 31 | California | Pac-8 | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.47 | 5.73 | 11.33 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 32 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 0.89 | 6.86 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 33 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 16.75 | 2.36 | 15.28 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 34 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 16.63 | 6 | 9.92 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 35 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 8.91 | 11.63 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 36 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.35 | 7.91 | 11.56 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 37 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.32 | 8.91 | 1.05 | 8.49 | -1.49 |
| 38 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.02 | 9.3 | -1.27 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 39 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.01 | 7 | 9.55 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 40 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.96 | 11 | 13.8 | 8.66 | -2.66 |
| 41 | East Carolina | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.92 | 7.91 | 8.22 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 42 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.8 | 2.27 | 13.54 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 43 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 4.73 | 9.78 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 44 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 8.45 | 5.22 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 45 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 15.56 | -1.64 | 8.81 | 4.88 | 3.12 |
| 46 | VMI | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.36 | 3.36 | 8.18 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 47 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.13 | 4.18 | 12.55 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.95 | 3.18 | 12.45 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 49 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.92 | 8.67 | 10.73 | 9.16 | -2.16 |
| 50 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.56 | -0.36 | 13.17 | 5.39 | 1.61 |
| 51 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.25 | 6.27 | 12.53 | 7.54 | -1.54 |
| 52 | Georgia | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 4.82 | 13.95 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 53 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.22 | 4.91 | 13.83 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 54 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.15 | -1.18 | 12.92 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 55 | Tampa | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.92 | 9.27 | 7.26 | 8.25 | -2.25 |
| 56 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.86 | 0.36 | 10.7 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 57 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.82 | 6.55 | 8.49 | 7.91 | -1.91 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.7 | 2.36 | 13.15 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 59 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.68 | 3.45 | 10.95 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 60 | SMU | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.93 | -1.73 | 11.74 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 61 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.79 | 1.27 | 7.52 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 62 | LSU | SEC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.63 | 3.09 | 12.47 | 6.68 | -1.68 |
| 63 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.6 | 3.11 | 12.16 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 64 | App State | Southern | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.19 | 2.55 | -1.17 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 65 | Duke | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.18 | -0.64 | 11.69 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 66 | Brown | Ivy | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.97 | -1.22 | 9.62 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 11.93 | -2.82 | 13.74 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 68 | Miami | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.86 | -2.09 | 13.55 | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| 69 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.81 | -0.73 | 8.28 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 70 | Pacific | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.73 | -0.91 | 8.26 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 71 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.54 | -3.18 | 12.76 | 4.23 | 1.77 |
| 72 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.13 | 3.45 | 7.85 | 6.62 | -1.62 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.92 | -3.27 | 5.54 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 74 | Fresno State | PCAA | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.08 | 3.67 | 3.04 | 7.35 | -2.35 |
| 75 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 10.01 | 2.64 | 9.64 | 6.17 | -2.17 |
| 76 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -3.36 | 5.63 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 77 | Washington | Pac-8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.74 | -1.18 | 12.63 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 78 | Richmond | Southern | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.31 | -8.7 | 7.59 | 2.85 | 2.15 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -3.45 | 9.55 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 80 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.86 | 1.55 | 10.04 | 5.91 | -1.91 |
| 81 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -7.36 | 13.58 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 82 | Furman | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.44 | -3.36 | 2.36 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 83 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.04 | -3.45 | 13 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 84 | Cornell | Ivy | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.97 | -1.11 | 9.74 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 85 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.74 | -1.09 | 13.2 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 86 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.59 | -1.27 | 11.87 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 87 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.52 | -6.45 | 11.13 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 88 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.17 | -2.91 | 12.15 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 89 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.84 | -9.8 | 4.45 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 90 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -1.33 | 10.2 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 91 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -4.73 | 10.39 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 92 | The Citadel | Southern | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -2.91 | 4.87 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 93 | William & Mary | Southern | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -5.27 | 11.4 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 94 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -8.18 | 13.19 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 95 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -8.09 | 12.28 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 96 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -8.18 | 12.17 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 97 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -8.91 | 12.35 | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| 98 | Louisville | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.3 | -10.73 | 12.16 | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| 99 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.07 | -6.45 | 1.01 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 100 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.96 | -6.82 | -0.51 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 101 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.88 | -15.55 | 9.21 | 1.68 | 2.32 |
| 102 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.79 | -9.27 | 6.17 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.62 | -6.27 | 12.31 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 104 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -9.64 | 14.86 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 105 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -7.45 | 7.22 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 106 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -13.73 | 15.68 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 107 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -13.64 | 11.26 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 108 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.87 | -10.82 | 1.43 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 109 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.72 | -18.27 | 8.29 | 0.61 | 2.39 |
| 110 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.68 | -22.27 | 11.92 | 0.92 | 2.08 |
| 111 | North Texas | Missouri Valley | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.11 | -10.36 | 12.29 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 112 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.88 | -3.36 | 8.82 | 4.29 | -2.29 |
| 113 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.78 | -9.55 | 15.19 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 114 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.2 | -10 | 10.8 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 115 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.08 | -12.73 | 14.45 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 116 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.07 | -12.09 | 11.42 | 2 | 0 |
| 117 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -12.55 | 5.73 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 118 | Southern Illinois | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -14.09 | 4.14 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 119 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.7 | -19.45 | 10.09 | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| 120 | Columbia | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.11 | -19.67 | 8.74 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 121 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.06 | -11.45 | 14.01 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 122 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -19.09 | 10.93 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| 123 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.45 | 15.59 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 124 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.36 | 8.64 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 125 | Texas-Arlington | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.34 | -20 | 5.62 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 126 | Utah | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.36 | 12.1 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 127 | TCU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.51 | -24.18 | 13.46 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 128 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.54 | -24.91 | 14.4 | 0.27 | 0.73 |