Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.071247+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 26.82 | 11.74 | 10.73 | 0.27 |
| 2 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.62 | 18.6 | 8.38 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 3 | Arkansas State | Southland | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.5 | 24.91 | 6.7 | 10.68 | 0.32 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.35 | 19.73 | 6.83 | 10.2 | 0.8 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.52 | 16.55 | 13.68 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.22 | 26.82 | 10.15 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.12 | 21.18 | 10.52 | 10.21 | -0.21 |
| 8 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 13.82 | 10.6 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1-2 | 0.73 | 22.62 | 18.36 | 10.86 | 10.08 | -2.08 |
| 10 | Texas | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.23 | 18.45 | 11.71 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 11 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.14 | 11.27 | 13.75 | 9.42 | -0.42 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 11.18 | 12.04 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 13 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.81 | 14.64 | 10.2 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.79 | 18 | 9.64 | 10.19 | -1.19 |
| 15 | Colorado | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.71 | 8.82 | 12.23 | 7.8 | 1.2 |
| 16 | San José State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 12.64 | 9.62 | 9.06 | -0.06 |
| 17 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.52 | 6.64 | 12.27 | 7.69 | 1.31 |
| 18 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 16.7 | 9.87 | 9.03 | -1.03 |
| 19 | Maryland | ACC | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.11 | 13.55 | 9.44 | 9.21 | -1.21 |
| 20 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.02 | 8.45 | 11.11 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 21 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.93 | 9.55 | 7.13 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 22 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.66 | 11.2 | 7.1 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 23 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.51 | 18.82 | 4.31 | 10.26 | -2.26 |
| 24 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.39 | 23.27 | 0.3 | 10.56 | -1.56 |
| 25 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.13 | 8.11 | 8.37 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 26 | Harvard | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.01 | 9.22 | 7.03 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 27 | San Diego State | PCAA | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.74 | 15.91 | 10.02 | 9.54 | -1.54 |
| 28 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.74 | 8.27 | 13.21 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 29 | California | Pac-8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 8.82 | 12.54 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 30 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 10.18 | 10.57 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 9.09 | 10.99 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 32 | Brown | Ivy | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.41 | 10 | 7.1 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 33 | East Carolina | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.04 | 12.91 | 6.33 | 9.07 | -1.07 |
| 34 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.58 | 7.91 | 5.57 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 35 | NC State | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.55 | 4.82 | 12.4 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 36 | App State | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.2 | 9.45 | 2.16 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 17.15 | 13.36 | 14.34 | 9.28 | -2.28 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.95 | 9.73 | 14.58 | 8.28 | -1.28 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 13.64 | 10.65 | 9.48 | -2.48 |
| 40 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 17 | 8.47 | 9.27 | -2.27 |
| 41 | Kansas | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 8.73 | 11.41 | 8.44 | -1.44 |
| 42 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 5 | 13.45 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 43 | USC | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.28 | 7.91 | 10.29 | 8.35 | -1.35 |
| 44 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 6.36 | 9.76 | 7.38 | -0.38 |
| 45 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 9.27 | 8.35 | 8.85 | -1.85 |
| 46 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.05 | 6.09 | 10.28 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 47 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.86 | 7.36 | 8.03 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 48 | McNeese | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.43 | 3.36 | 8.69 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.21 | 3.91 | 13.22 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 50 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.13 | 1.09 | 10.56 | 5.95 | 1.05 |
| 51 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.03 | 4.33 | 7.48 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 52 | Missouri | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.31 | 3.73 | 15.87 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 53 | Akron | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.17 | 2.09 | 0.36 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 54 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.04 | 5.36 | 11.27 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 55 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.86 | 3.45 | 11.8 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 56 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.84 | -0.91 | 9.15 | 5.18 | 1.82 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.8 | 2.45 | 13.52 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 58 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.79 | -0.09 | 12.61 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 59 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.79 | 5.82 | 9.15 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 60 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 4 | 9.88 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 1.91 | 12.69 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 62 | Louisiana | Southland | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.37 | 2.36 | 9.72 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 63 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 1.45 | 11.24 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 64 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.32 | 0.73 | 14.39 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 65 | The Citadel | Southern | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.19 | 4.27 | 4.93 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.84 | -7.36 | 10.65 | 2.49 | 4.51 |
| 67 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.81 | 0.1 | 3.01 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 68 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.38 | -0.73 | 13.11 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 69 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.33 | 1.91 | 11.83 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 70 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.25 | -1.3 | 3.47 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 71 | Furman | Southern | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.91 | 5 | 2.12 | 7.4 | -2.4 |
| 72 | Washington | Pac-8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.49 | -4.91 | 15.06 | 3.96 | 2.04 |
| 73 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.24 | 3.73 | 7.84 | 6.61 | -1.61 |
| 74 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.11 | -5.64 | 11.79 | 3.58 | 2.42 |
| 75 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.95 | -4.27 | 8.01 | 4.11 | 1.89 |
| 76 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.57 | 0.67 | 12.54 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 77 | Indiana State | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -2.3 | 5.94 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 78 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.86 | -1.36 | 0.98 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 79 | Eastern Michigan | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.63 | 2.7 | 4.51 | 5.86 | -1.86 |
| 80 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.36 | -2.82 | 13.15 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 81 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 9.35 | -1.36 | 10.95 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 82 | Richmond | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.29 | -3.64 | 14.29 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 83 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.2 | -1.82 | 7.75 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 84 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3 | 10.27 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 85 | Pacific | PCAA | 5-6-1 | 0.42 | 9.05 | -3.75 | 11.22 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.19 | -11 | 9.38 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.9 | -1.91 | 5.25 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 88 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.27 | -8.64 | 10 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 89 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -3.91 | 14.78 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 90 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.65 | -6.64 | 12.98 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 91 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.27 | 10.09 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 92 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.58 | -8.36 | 13.76 | 2.39 | 1.61 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -7.91 | 12.28 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 94 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -9.27 | 13.37 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 95 | SMU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.45 | 12.1 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 96 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.17 | -4.91 | 13.64 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 97 | Auburn | SEC | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.16 | -6.27 | 14.17 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 98 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -3.67 | 7.35 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 99 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.95 | -10.82 | 4.1 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.32 | -5.91 | 11.3 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 101 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.17 | -2.36 | 10.5 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 102 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.99 | -3 | 9.31 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 103 | VMI | Southern | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.92 | -2.27 | 5.39 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.88 | -3.91 | 10.5 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 105 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.85 | -3.36 | 7.49 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 106 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.49 | -5 | 4.39 | 4.07 | -1.07 |
| 107 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -8.82 | 12.58 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 108 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.91 | 13.38 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 109 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -14.45 | 15.8 | 0.89 | 2.11 |
| 110 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -11.27 | 7.8 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 111 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4 | -13.27 | 9.5 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| 112 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -15.36 | 11.72 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 113 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 3.29 | -4.64 | 14.98 | 3.47 | -1.47 |
| 114 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -12.22 | 10.89 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 115 | Miami | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.93 | -8.2 | 16.04 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 116 | Houston | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -6 | 9.62 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 117 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.79 | -4.09 | 10.07 | 4.04 | -2.04 |
| 118 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.7 | -9.91 | 12.44 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 119 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -15.8 | 3.69 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 120 | Rice | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.5 | -6.91 | 11.37 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 121 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.47 | -13.64 | 12.85 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 122 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -13.45 | 8.96 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 123 | William & Mary | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -15.09 | 12.71 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 124 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -15.64 | 9.56 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 125 | Clemson | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -18.55 | 13.29 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 126 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.47 | -22.45 | 5.63 | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 127 | Cornell | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -10.67 | 10.45 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 128 | Lamar | Southland | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.02 | -12 | 11.26 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 129 | Southern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0 | -16.82 | 11.1 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 130 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -14.09 | 6.49 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 131 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.64 | 11.69 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 132 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -15.27 | 8.96 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 133 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.18 | -15.64 | 11.55 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 134 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.18 | 12.28 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 135 | Utah | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.29 | -18.18 | 11.15 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 136 | TCU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.18 | 15.51 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 137 | Virginia | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.47 | -23 | 12.38 | 1.18 | -0.18 |