Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.073535+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkansas State | Southland | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.23 | 24.91 | 6.64 | 10.68 | 0.32 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 12-0-0 | 1 | 24.21 | 18.33 | 7.66 | 10.99 | 1.01 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.55 | 23.5 | 12.3 | 11.5 | -0.5 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.45 | 15.83 | 13.74 | 10.45 | 0.55 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.29 | 25.17 | 10.97 | 11.76 | -0.76 |
| 6 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.79 | 13.75 | 10.66 | 10.35 | 0.65 |
| 7 | Texas | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.22 | 18.33 | 12.06 | 10.42 | -0.42 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 19.17 | 11.22 | 10.94 | -0.94 |
| 9 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.08 | 17.75 | 11.44 | 10.99 | -0.99 |
| 10 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.56 | 11.75 | 10.05 | 10.3 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.47 | 14.64 | 9.94 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 12 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2-2 | 0.67 | 20.47 | 16.17 | 11.91 | 10.76 | -2.76 |
| 13 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.44 | 8.83 | 12.09 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 14 | Maryland | ACC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.4 | 13.5 | 9.98 | 10.2 | -1.2 |
| 15 | San José State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.31 | 12.64 | 9.6 | 9.06 | -0.06 |
| 16 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.24 | 6.64 | 11.98 | 7.69 | 1.31 |
| 17 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.69 | 9.55 | 6.98 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 18 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.42 | 11.2 | 7.35 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 19 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 9.75 | 14.34 | 9.96 | -0.96 |
| 20 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.28 | 18.82 | 4.24 | 10.26 | -2.26 |
| 21 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.16 | 23.27 | 0.05 | 10.56 | -1.56 |
| 22 | Florida | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 15.42 | 10.35 | 10.85 | -1.85 |
| 23 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.98 | 7.83 | 13.5 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 8.5 | 12.44 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 25 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.89 | 8.11 | 8.23 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 26 | Harvard | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.77 | 9.22 | 6.88 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 27 | Colorado | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 6.67 | 12.51 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 28 | San Diego State | PCAA | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.5 | 15.91 | 9.8 | 9.54 | -1.54 |
| 29 | California | Pac-8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 8.82 | 12.05 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 30 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.29 | 10.18 | 10.54 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.25 | 9.09 | 10.86 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 32 | Brown | Ivy | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.19 | 10 | 6.95 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 33 | East Carolina | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.84 | 12.91 | 6.37 | 9.07 | -1.07 |
| 34 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 13.42 | 14.26 | 10.05 | -2.05 |
| 35 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.41 | 7.91 | 5.71 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 36 | App State | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.98 | 9.45 | 1.93 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 8.92 | 11.05 | 9.52 | -1.52 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.69 | 9.73 | 14.06 | 8.28 | -1.28 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 13.64 | 10.36 | 9.48 | -2.48 |
| 40 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 17 | 8.49 | 9.27 | -2.27 |
| 41 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.13 | 5 | 13.29 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 42 | NC State | ACC | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.97 | 4.17 | 12.66 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.87 | 9.27 | 8 | 8.85 | -1.85 |
| 44 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.82 | 6.36 | 9.61 | 7.38 | -0.38 |
| 45 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.68 | 7.36 | 7.78 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 46 | McNeese | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.27 | 3.36 | 8.46 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 47 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.99 | 3.91 | 12.83 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 48 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.96 | 1.09 | 10.56 | 5.95 | 1.05 |
| 49 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.84 | 4.33 | 7.32 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 50 | Kansas | Big 8 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.75 | 6.83 | 11.47 | 8.51 | -1.51 |
| 51 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.56 | 5 | 11.7 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 52 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.45 | 4.5 | 11.28 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 53 | Missouri | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.08 | 3.73 | 15.21 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 54 | Akron | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.03 | 2.09 | 0.43 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 55 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.82 | 5.36 | 10.68 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 56 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.73 | -0.91 | 9.21 | 5.18 | 1.82 |
| 57 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 5.82 | 9.05 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 58 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.65 | 2.45 | 13.59 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 59 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.63 | -0.09 | 12.55 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 60 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.53 | 4 | 9.75 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.36 | 1.91 | 12.14 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 62 | Louisiana | Southland | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.21 | 2.36 | 9.65 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.16 | 0.73 | 14.17 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 64 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.1 | 1.45 | 10.93 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 65 | The Citadel | Southern | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.05 | 4.27 | 4.96 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.72 | -7.36 | 10.48 | 2.49 | 4.51 |
| 67 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.17 | -0.73 | 13.09 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 68 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.17 | 1.91 | 11.56 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 69 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.1 | -1.3 | 3.4 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 70 | Furman | Southern | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.79 | 5 | 2.17 | 7.4 | -2.4 |
| 71 | Washington | Pac-8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.35 | -4.91 | 14.88 | 3.96 | 2.04 |
| 72 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.08 | 3.73 | 7.88 | 6.61 | -1.61 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.94 | -5.64 | 11.23 | 3.58 | 2.42 |
| 74 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.92 | -1.91 | 4.01 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 75 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.8 | -4.27 | 7.58 | 4.11 | 1.89 |
| 76 | Princeton | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.44 | 0.67 | 12.41 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 77 | Indiana State | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -2.3 | 5.68 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 78 | Chattanooga | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.74 | -1.36 | 0.85 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 79 | Eastern Michigan | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.52 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 5.86 | -1.86 |
| 80 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.22 | -2.82 | 12.65 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 81 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 9.22 | -1.36 | 10.56 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 82 | Richmond | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.18 | -3.64 | 14.29 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 83 | Dayton | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.09 | -1.82 | 7.72 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 84 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.98 | -3 | 9.91 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 85 | Pacific | PCAA | 5-6-1 | 0.42 | 8.92 | -3.75 | 10.93 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.08 | -11 | 9.21 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.79 | -1.91 | 4.97 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 88 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.17 | -8.64 | 9.7 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 89 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.04 | -3.91 | 13.97 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 90 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -6.64 | 12.7 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 91 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -8.36 | 13.55 | 2.39 | 1.61 |
| 92 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -6.27 | 9.84 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -7.91 | 12 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 94 | SMU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -8.45 | 11.93 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 95 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -9.27 | 12.77 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 96 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.14 | -4.91 | 12.79 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 97 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -3.67 | 7.2 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 98 | Auburn | SEC | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.03 | -6.27 | 14.11 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 99 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.84 | -10.82 | 4.01 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.26 | -5.91 | 11.13 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 101 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.11 | -2.36 | 10.29 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 102 | VMI | Southern | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.92 | -2.27 | 5.15 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 103 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.92 | -3 | 9.04 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.81 | -3.91 | 10.22 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 105 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.79 | -3.36 | 7.37 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 106 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -5 | 4.26 | 4.07 | -1.07 |
| 107 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -8.82 | 12.22 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 108 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -10.91 | 13.02 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 109 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -14.45 | 14.66 | 0.89 | 2.11 |
| 110 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.01 | -11.27 | 7.67 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 111 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.94 | -13.27 | 8.96 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| 112 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.91 | -15.36 | 11.4 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 113 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 3.25 | -4.64 | 14.65 | 3.47 | -1.47 |
| 114 | Houston | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.95 | -6 | 9.32 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 115 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -12.22 | 10.79 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 116 | Miami | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -8.2 | 15.77 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 117 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.75 | -4.09 | 9.51 | 4.04 | -2.04 |
| 118 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.66 | -9.91 | 12.26 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 119 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.59 | -15.8 | 3.58 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 120 | Rice | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.45 | -6.91 | 11.34 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 121 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.44 | -13.64 | 12.52 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 122 | Marshall | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -13.45 | 8.87 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 123 | William & Mary | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.09 | 12.8 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 124 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -15.64 | 9.6 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 125 | Clemson | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -18.55 | 12.92 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 126 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.52 | -22.45 | 5.4 | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 127 | Cornell | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -10.67 | 10.27 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 128 | Lamar | Southland | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.02 | -12 | 11.39 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 129 | Southern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0 | -16.82 | 10.79 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 130 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -14.09 | 6.29 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 131 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.64 | 11.37 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 132 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -15.27 | 8.59 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 133 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.17 | -15.64 | 11.09 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 134 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.18 | 12 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 135 | Utah | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -18.18 | 10.72 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 136 | TCU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.18 | 15.11 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 137 | Virginia | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.47 | -23 | 12.25 | 1.18 | -0.18 |