Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.555500+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Southwest | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.22 | 28.82 | 11.04 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.56 | 16.92 | 14.02 | 10.21 | 0.79 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.33 | 23 | 12.73 | 10.22 | -0.22 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.98 | 19 | 11.61 | 9.42 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.93 | 21.45 | 10.81 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.92 | 19.27 | 11.2 | 9.96 | 0.04 |
| 7 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 23.91 | 9.76 | 10.55 | -0.55 |
| 8 | Kentucky | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.72 | 12.82 | 11.79 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 9 | San Diego State | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.19 | 16.73 | 7.77 | 9.41 | 0.59 |
| 10 | Grambling | SWAC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.03 | 26.09 | 5.17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 9-1-2 | 0.75 | 22.02 | 13.17 | 8.99 | 10.19 | -1.19 |
| 12 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.87 | 14.55 | 6.54 | 9.27 | 0.73 |
| 13 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.55 | 8.09 | 7.02 | 8.01 | 1.99 |
| 14 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.49 | 24.5 | 13.83 | 11.28 | -2.28 |
| 15 | Tennessee State | FBS Independents | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 20.84 | 15.4 | 2.97 | 9.13 | -1.13 |
| 16 | Chattanooga | Southern | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 8.91 | 3.81 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.79 | 22.91 | 9.88 | 10.6 | -1.6 |
| 18 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.78 | 12 | 11.33 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 19 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 20.51 | 14.82 | -1.01 | 8.7 | 1.3 |
| 20 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.51 | 12.82 | 10.73 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 21 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.47 | 24.36 | 7.66 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 22 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.14 | 18.91 | 6.82 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 23 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 19.83 | 7.92 | 8.65 | 8.53 | 0.47 |
| 24 | Fresno State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.3 | 17.36 | 2.09 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 25 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.23 | 11.56 | 8.78 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 9.58 | 12.97 | 8.95 | 0.05 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 16.92 | 8.81 | 10.12 | -1.12 |
| 28 | Brown | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.69 | 8.56 | 6.65 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 29 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.52 | 12.42 | 11.13 | 10.73 | -2.73 |
| 30 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 5.42 | 12.01 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 31 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.09 | 10.36 | 9.14 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 32 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.68 | 8.36 | 11.99 | 8.05 | -1.05 |
| 33 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.56 | 8.91 | 10.8 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 12.08 | 13.09 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 35 | Jackson State | SWAC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.34 | 10.82 | 3.79 | 9.32 | -1.32 |
| 36 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.24 | 10 | 3.49 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 37 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.22 | 0.5 | 11.14 | 6.15 | 2.85 |
| 38 | LSU | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 14.08 | 10.14 | 9.53 | -1.53 |
| 39 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17 | 4 | 5.85 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 40 | NC State | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 6.5 | 13.04 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 41 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 6.25 | 11.21 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 42 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 3.83 | 12.05 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.52 | 13 | 11.16 | 8.86 | -1.86 |
| 44 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 5.92 | 9.33 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 45 | California | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 8.09 | 9.89 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 46 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 6.64 | 10.97 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 47 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.98 | 5 | 6.95 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 48 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.84 | 8.08 | 8.48 | 8.68 | -1.68 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.32 | 3.82 | 8.2 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 50 | VMI | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.09 | 6.18 | 4.06 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 51 | Louisiana | Southland | 6-4-2 | 0.5 | 14.96 | 4.83 | 11.39 | 7.91 | -1.91 |
| 52 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.9 | 7.27 | 8.62 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 53 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.5 | 9.18 | 4.05 | 8.05 | -2.05 |
| 54 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 14.43 | 11.73 | 9.36 | 9.33 | -4.33 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.34 | 2.75 | 12.98 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 56 | Florida | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.29 | 1.45 | 11.51 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 57 | Western Carolina | Southern | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.85 | 7.36 | -0.11 | 7.55 | -1.55 |
| 58 | Pacific | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.67 | 6.27 | 8.41 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 59 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.52 | 3.09 | 11.09 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 60 | Houston | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.5 | 2.09 | 12.97 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 61 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 2.45 | 10.63 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 62 | Arkansas State | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.01 | -2.73 | 7.37 | 4.53 | 2.47 |
| 63 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.95 | 2 | 5.97 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.79 | -0.75 | 12.45 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.51 | 0.27 | 10.17 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 66 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.47 | 0.18 | 10.32 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 67 | Northwestern State | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.44 | 1.18 | 5.43 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 68 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.78 | -1.45 | 11.91 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 69 | Mississippi Valley State | SWAC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 2.68 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 70 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.24 | -3.73 | 11.61 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 71 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.23 | -2.45 | 8.82 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 72 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.85 | 1.09 | 12.43 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 73 | Duke | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.84 | 0.91 | 13.2 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 74 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.77 | 0.73 | 13.27 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 75 | McNeese | Southland | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.67 | -0.82 | 9.45 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 76 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.58 | 1.55 | 7.51 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.53 | -2.09 | 12.64 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 78 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.4 | 0.18 | 12.46 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 79 | Furman | Southern | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 10.33 | 3 | 3.31 | 6.5 | -2.5 |
| 80 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -2.92 | 12.07 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 81 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.17 | 1.08 | 12.53 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 82 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.16 | -0.09 | 11.96 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 83 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.89 | -5.18 | 11.48 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 84 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 9.85 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 85 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.59 | -0.64 | 8.73 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 86 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.42 | -1.82 | 12.18 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.4 | -1.45 | 10.4 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.3 | -3.09 | 14.49 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 89 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -3.55 | 13.14 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 90 | Georgia | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3.09 | 11.86 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 91 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.96 | 2.09 | 10.45 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 92 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.95 | 1.36 | 13.2 | 6.02 | -2.02 |
| 93 | Harvard | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.92 | -2.22 | 9.81 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 94 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -2.64 | 6.64 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 95 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -1.75 | 10.85 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 96 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.55 | -6.09 | 10.06 | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -3.83 | 11.57 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 98 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.23 | -1.8 | 11.23 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 99 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.22 | 0 | 12.51 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 100 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.43 | -0.64 | 6.11 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.26 | -0.45 | 1.99 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.19 | -9.73 | 11.43 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 103 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.14 | -2.91 | 12.56 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 104 | Princeton | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.11 | -0.78 | 13.04 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.8 | -5.27 | 13.3 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.7 | -3.91 | 7.8 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 107 | San José State | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.6 | -6.18 | 11.51 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 108 | SMU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -8.45 | 13.79 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 109 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -6.55 | 7.96 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 110 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.69 | -3.27 | 12.36 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 111 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.45 | -4 | 9.67 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 112 | Southern | SWAC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.88 | -7.09 | 4.92 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 113 | Indiana State | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -9.1 | 8.66 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.81 | -12.55 | 13.23 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| 115 | Miami | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.91 | 14.81 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 116 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -9.82 | 12.51 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 117 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.19 | -10.09 | 10.47 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 118 | Alcorn State | SWAC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -7.91 | 5.08 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 119 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -13.73 | 12.67 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 120 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -12.36 | 8.78 | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| 121 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -14.91 | 12.56 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 122 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -15.18 | 12.85 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 123 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -18.73 | 12.05 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 124 | Prairie View A&M | SWAC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.72 | -13.36 | 2.22 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 125 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.22 | -8.11 | 10.45 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 126 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -16.55 | 12.86 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 127 | Lamar | Southland | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -8.27 | 10.42 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 128 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.11 | -11.82 | 14.19 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 129 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.06 | -12.27 | 12.4 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 130 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2 | -12.09 | 8.48 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 131 | App State | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -12.18 | 8.03 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 132 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -12.73 | 3.57 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 133 | Marshall | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.09 | 6.86 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 134 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -15.91 | 12.17 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 135 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -15.91 | 7.25 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 136 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -19.36 | 12.26 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 137 | TCU | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.59 | -22.73 | 12.15 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 138 | Cornell | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.45 | -12.56 | 13.78 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 139 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.09 | -10.91 | 11.02 | 3.05 | -2.05 |
| 140 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.09 | 14.44 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 141 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.11 | -14.27 | 10.9 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 142 | Virginia | ACC | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -20.36 | 13.6 | 0.24 | 0.76 |
| 143 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -21.36 | 13.75 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 144 | Rice | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -27.91 | 12.37 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 145 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.09 | 13.21 | 0.73 | 0.27 |