Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.555975+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.71 | 23.42 | 13.71 | 11.19 | -0.19 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.54 | 16.92 | 14.1 | 10.21 | 0.79 |
| 3 | Texas | Southwest | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.45 | 24.08 | 11.9 | 11.11 | -0.11 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.26 | 20.08 | 11.93 | 10.99 | 0.01 |
| 5 | Arkansas | Southwest | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.17 | 24 | 10.7 | 11.53 | -0.53 |
| 6 | Kentucky | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.66 | 12.82 | 11.65 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 7 | San Diego State | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.15 | 16.73 | 7.75 | 9.41 | 0.59 |
| 8 | Grambling | SWAC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22 | 26.09 | 5.16 | 10 | 0 |
| 9 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 9-1-2 | 0.75 | 21.98 | 13.17 | 8.97 | 10.19 | -1.19 |
| 10 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.83 | 14.55 | 6.52 | 9.27 | 0.73 |
| 11 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.51 | 8.09 | 7 | 8.01 | 1.99 |
| 12 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.44 | 24.5 | 13.65 | 11.28 | -2.28 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 15.33 | 12.4 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 19.08 | 11.13 | 11.07 | -1.07 |
| 15 | Tennessee State | FBS Independents | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 15.4 | 2.96 | 9.13 | -1.13 |
| 16 | Chattanooga | Southern | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 20.79 | 8.91 | 3.8 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 17 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 12 | 11.31 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 18 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 20.48 | 14.82 | -1.02 | 8.7 | 1.3 |
| 19 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.47 | 12.82 | 10.71 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 20 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.43 | 24.36 | 7.63 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 21 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.11 | 18.91 | 6.8 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 22 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 7.92 | 8.63 | 8.53 | 0.47 |
| 23 | Fresno State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.27 | 17.36 | 2.08 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 24 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 18.58 | 10.94 | 11.08 | -2.08 |
| 25 | Yale | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.19 | 11.56 | 8.76 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.01 | 9.58 | 12.83 | 8.95 | 0.05 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.81 | 16.92 | 8.79 | 10.12 | -1.12 |
| 28 | Brown | Ivy | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.66 | 8.56 | 6.64 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 29 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.47 | 12.42 | 11.01 | 10.73 | -2.73 |
| 30 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.07 | 10.36 | 9.19 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 31 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.05 | 5.42 | 12.09 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 32 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.64 | 8.36 | 11.94 | 8.05 | -1.05 |
| 33 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.52 | 8.91 | 10.77 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 12.08 | 13.02 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 35 | Jackson State | SWAC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.31 | 10.82 | 3.78 | 9.32 | -1.32 |
| 36 | Washington | Pac-8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 12.5 | 12.27 | 9.54 | -1.54 |
| 37 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.22 | 10 | 3.48 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 38 | Stanford | Pac-8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.21 | 0.5 | 11.07 | 6.15 | 2.85 |
| 39 | LSU | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 14.08 | 10.21 | 9.53 | -1.53 |
| 40 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.97 | 4 | 5.83 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 41 | NC State | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 12.76 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 42 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 6.25 | 11.09 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 3.83 | 12.08 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 44 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 5.92 | 9.38 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 45 | UCLA | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 6.64 | 11.11 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 46 | California | Pac-8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.01 | 8.09 | 10.04 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 47 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.95 | 5 | 6.94 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 48 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.81 | 8.08 | 8.47 | 8.68 | -1.68 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.3 | 3.82 | 8.24 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 50 | VMI | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 6.18 | 4.05 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 51 | Louisiana | Southland | 6-4-2 | 0.5 | 14.93 | 4.83 | 11.37 | 7.91 | -1.91 |
| 52 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.87 | 7.27 | 8.6 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 53 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.47 | 9.18 | 4.03 | 8.05 | -2.05 |
| 54 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 14.41 | 11.73 | 9.34 | 9.33 | -4.33 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 2.75 | 12.81 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 56 | Florida | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.26 | 1.45 | 11.41 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 57 | Western Carolina | Southern | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 7.36 | -0.12 | 7.55 | -1.55 |
| 58 | Pacific | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.65 | 6.27 | 8.4 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 59 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 3.09 | 11.07 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 60 | Houston | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.46 | 2.09 | 12.79 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 61 | Washington State | Pac-8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.33 | 2.45 | 10.77 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 62 | Arkansas State | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.99 | -2.73 | 7.35 | 4.53 | 2.47 |
| 63 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.93 | 2 | 5.96 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.76 | -0.75 | 12.41 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.47 | 0.27 | 9.99 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 66 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.45 | 0.18 | 10.35 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 67 | Northwestern State | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.42 | 1.18 | 5.42 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 68 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.78 | -1.45 | 12 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 69 | Mississippi Valley State | SWAC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.38 | 2.3 | 2.66 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 70 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.22 | -2.45 | 8.85 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.22 | -3.73 | 11.59 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 72 | Duke | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.82 | 0.91 | 13.08 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.82 | 1.09 | 12.29 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 74 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.74 | 0.73 | 13.09 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 75 | McNeese | Southland | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.66 | -0.82 | 9.43 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 76 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.56 | 1.55 | 7.48 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.5 | -2.09 | 12.48 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 78 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.38 | 0.18 | 12.43 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 79 | Furman | Southern | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 10.32 | 3 | 3.3 | 6.5 | -2.5 |
| 80 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -2.92 | 12.04 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 81 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.14 | -0.09 | 11.98 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 82 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.14 | 1.08 | 12.41 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 83 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.87 | -5.18 | 11.5 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 84 | Arizona | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 9.83 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 85 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.56 | -0.64 | 8.59 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 86 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.41 | -1.82 | 12.21 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.38 | -1.45 | 10.37 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.27 | -3.09 | 14.35 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 89 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.1 | -3.55 | 13.19 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 90 | Georgia | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.08 | -3.09 | 11.68 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 91 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.95 | 2.09 | 10.42 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 92 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.93 | 1.36 | 13.12 | 6.02 | -2.02 |
| 93 | Harvard | Ivy | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.91 | -2.22 | 9.79 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 94 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.8 | -2.64 | 6.62 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 95 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.65 | -1.75 | 10.72 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 96 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.53 | -6.09 | 10.03 | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.26 | -3.83 | 11.53 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 98 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.22 | -1.8 | 11.21 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 99 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.2 | 0 | 12.49 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 100 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.42 | -0.64 | 6.1 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.25 | -0.45 | 1.98 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 102 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.17 | -9.73 | 11.27 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 103 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.12 | -2.91 | 12.42 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 104 | Princeton | Ivy | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.09 | -0.78 | 13.02 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -5.27 | 13.13 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -3.91 | 7.79 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 107 | San José State | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.18 | 11.58 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 108 | SMU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.45 | 13.61 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 109 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -6.55 | 7.94 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 110 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.67 | -3.27 | 12.03 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 111 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.44 | -4 | 9.65 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 112 | Southern | SWAC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.87 | -7.09 | 4.91 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 113 | Indiana State | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.85 | -9.1 | 8.64 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.79 | -12.55 | 12.94 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| 115 | Miami | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.91 | 14.77 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 116 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -9.82 | 12.51 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 117 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -10.09 | 10.45 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 118 | Alcorn State | SWAC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -7.91 | 5.07 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 119 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -13.73 | 12.74 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 120 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -12.36 | 8.76 | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| 121 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -14.91 | 12.54 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 122 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -15.18 | 12.82 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 123 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -18.73 | 12.03 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 124 | Prairie View A&M | SWAC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.71 | -13.36 | 2.21 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 125 | Columbia | Ivy | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -8.11 | 10.43 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 126 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -16.55 | 12.83 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 127 | Lamar | Southland | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -8.27 | 10.4 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 128 | Oregon State | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.11 | -11.82 | 14.32 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 129 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -12.27 | 12.26 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 130 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2 | -12.09 | 8.46 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 131 | App State | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -12.18 | 8.01 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 132 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -12.73 | 3.56 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 133 | Marshall | Southern | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.09 | 6.85 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 134 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -15.91 | 12.15 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 135 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -15.91 | 7.23 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 136 | Oregon | Pac-8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.71 | -19.36 | 12.28 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 137 | TCU | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.59 | -22.73 | 12.04 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 138 | Cornell | Ivy | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.45 | -12.56 | 13.76 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 139 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.09 | -10.91 | 11 | 3.05 | -2.05 |
| 140 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.09 | 14.29 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 141 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.11 | -14.27 | 10.78 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 142 | Virginia | ACC | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -20.36 | 13.47 | 0.24 | 0.76 |
| 143 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -21.36 | 13.7 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 144 | Rice | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -27.91 | 12.06 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 145 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.09 | 13.18 | 0.73 | 0.27 |