Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.786644+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 22.2 | 13.04 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.42 | 26.27 | 10.87 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.39 | 14 | 14.63 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.24 | 15.2 | 13.36 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.97 | 21.7 | 10.52 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.97 | 26.3 | 9.74 | 9.66 | -0.66 |
| 7 | Houston | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.93 | 14.33 | 13.22 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 8 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 15.36 | 9.81 | 10.28 | -0.28 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.35 | 10.5 | 11.23 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 10 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 21.96 | 14 | 6.73 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.61 | 21.36 | 12.77 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 12 | Maryland | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.97 | 12.36 | 11.44 | 9.36 | -0.36 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.9 | 9.7 | 15.55 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 14 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.73 | 11.55 | 10.84 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 15 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.55 | 19.27 | 7.58 | 10.11 | -1.11 |
| 16 | Texas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.42 | 13.11 | 14.1 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 17 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.35 | 7.82 | 10.12 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.01 | 9.6 | 10.08 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 19 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 14.89 | 10.48 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 20 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.66 | 13.6 | 9.15 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 21 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.55 | 9.8 | 9.23 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 22 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.38 | 6.09 | 8.08 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 23 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.54 | 20.6 | 11.71 | 8.74 | -1.74 |
| 24 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.45 | 11.73 | 9.39 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.39 | 8.09 | 10.06 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 26 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 8.7 | 12.37 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 9.4 | 10.88 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 28 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 10.6 | 9.6 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 29 | Yale | Ivy | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 17.83 | 8.67 | 9.76 | 6.97 | -1.97 |
| 30 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.77 | 4.27 | 9.45 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 31 | NC State | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.66 | 5.6 | 12.24 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 32 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 8.9 | 7.78 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 33 | Furman | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.45 | 11.55 | 2.71 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 34 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.39 | 3.8 | 11.34 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 35 | LSU | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 7.22 | 11.21 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 11 | 9.01 | 7 | -1 |
| 37 | Chattanooga | Southern | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.01 | 10.36 | 3.87 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 38 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.86 | 11.55 | 12.89 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 39 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.78 | 9.27 | 13.43 | 8 | -1 |
| 40 | Utah State | PCAA | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.76 | 5.8 | 5.41 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 41 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.73 | 7.3 | 9.28 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 42 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.67 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 43 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 11.56 | 5.97 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.32 | 2.11 | 12.04 | 4.99 | 1.01 |
| 45 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.29 | 7.45 | 11.01 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 46 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 10.64 | 8.01 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 47 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.17 | 3.11 | 9.22 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 48 | Brown | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.08 | 2.67 | 9.24 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 49 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.98 | 6.18 | 8.74 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.81 | 2.55 | 13.12 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 51 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.73 | 8.5 | 12.72 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 52 | UNLV | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.7 | 6 | 2.71 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 53 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.65 | 6.4 | 13.07 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 54 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.6 | 0.56 | 10.9 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 55 | Arkansas State | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.48 | 1.73 | 11.57 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 56 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.44 | 4.7 | 14.04 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 57 | App State | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 3.73 | 5.11 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 58 | McNeese | Southland | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 6.5 | 8.06 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 59 | Cornell | Ivy | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15 | 3.78 | 8.07 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 60 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.7 | 1.45 | 5.89 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 61 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.54 | 4.18 | 7.25 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 62 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.51 | 7.5 | 11.45 | 7.34 | -2.34 |
| 63 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.64 | 5.78 | 4.41 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 64 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.41 | 2.18 | 9.64 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 65 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.85 | 1.33 | 6.13 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 66 | Western Carolina | Southern | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.81 | 2.27 | 3.83 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 4.1 | 10.88 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 68 | SMU | Southwest | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 11.97 | 6.2 | 13.93 | 6.41 | -2.41 |
| 69 | Florida | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.95 | 4.89 | 16.81 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 70 | Harvard | Ivy | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.69 | 0.78 | 8.08 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 71 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.68 | 0.82 | 7.65 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 72 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.49 | -4.82 | 13.72 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 73 | San José State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.4 | -0.64 | 3.59 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 74 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.32 | 2.73 | 11.34 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 75 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 11.16 | 1.9 | 13.16 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 76 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.55 | 3.5 | 12.92 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 77 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -2.4 | 11.32 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -1.9 | 9.56 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 79 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4-2 | 0.4 | 9.53 | -9.2 | 9.21 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 80 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.52 | -1.33 | 13.48 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 81 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 8.87 | 0.11 | 14.29 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 82 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -3.27 | 5.29 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 83 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.75 | -4.09 | 6.87 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 84 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.72 | 0.91 | 9.88 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 85 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.61 | -1.36 | -1.39 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 86 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.6 | -0.9 | 10.31 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 87 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.54 | -1.5 | 11.97 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 88 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.45 | -4.3 | 5.99 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 89 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.39 | -2 | 13.89 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.27 | -1.6 | 10.65 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 91 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 8.09 | 1 | 9.93 | 5.23 | -2.23 |
| 92 | Northwestern State | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 7.94 | -11.27 | 6.09 | 2.22 | 2.78 |
| 93 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.8 | -4.9 | 11.33 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 94 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.61 | -7.7 | 13.36 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 95 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.55 | -6.1 | 9.54 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 96 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.51 | -7.9 | 11.94 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.25 | -13.8 | 14.63 | 1.04 | 2.96 |
| 98 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.93 | -4.82 | 11.76 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 99 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.85 | -4.36 | 8.95 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 100 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -5.73 | 12.46 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 101 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -1.78 | 9.03 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 102 | Columbia | Ivy | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.63 | -13 | 10.78 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 103 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -7 | 9.49 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -8.18 | 9.84 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.23 | -12.82 | 13.95 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 106 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.74 | -11.7 | 14.73 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| 107 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.37 | -5.8 | 11.6 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 108 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.31 | -1.73 | 11.28 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 109 | Louisiana | Southland | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.23 | -7.6 | 12.4 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 110 | Princeton | Ivy | 2-5-2 | 0.22 | 5.15 | -6.33 | 12.43 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 111 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -9.1 | 14.01 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 112 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -11.7 | 12.58 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| 113 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.68 | -11.6 | 5.81 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 114 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.53 | -9 | 14.91 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 115 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.35 | -7.18 | 8.68 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 116 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -10.27 | 8.85 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 117 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.18 | -5.33 | 7.53 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 118 | VMI | Southern | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -10.27 | 7.58 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 119 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -7.45 | 3.35 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 120 | Baylor | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 3.41 | -4.1 | 14.63 | 3.85 | -1.85 |
| 121 | Virginia | ACC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.72 | -9.4 | 10.21 | 2 | 0 |
| 122 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.65 | -8.2 | 2.8 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 123 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.42 | -13.1 | 13.31 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 124 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.21 | -10.18 | 10.92 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 125 | TCU | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.07 | -24 | 13 | 0.54 | 1.46 |
| 126 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.04 | -22.5 | 15.29 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 127 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.02 | -22.8 | 14.18 | 1 | 1 |
| 128 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -17.91 | 12.32 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 129 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -17.18 | 5.98 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 130 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.76 | -6 | 14.08 | 3.1 | -2.1 |
| 131 | Lamar | Southland | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.54 | -11.1 | 9.47 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 132 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-8-2 | 0.09 | 0.13 | -19.45 | 12.92 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 133 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -15.45 | 14.19 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 134 | Marshall | Southern | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -16.27 | 13.57 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 135 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.09 | 15.26 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 136 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.43 | -22.09 | 13.29 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 137 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.15 | -13.62 | 11.81 | 1.19 | -1.19 |
| 138 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.81 | -31.64 | 12.97 | 0.26 | -0.26 |