Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:28.787069+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 20.82 | 13.55 | 10.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.57 | 12.91 | 15.07 | 9.27 | 0.73 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.37 | 26.27 | 11.01 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.27 | 24.91 | 10.75 | 10.63 | -0.63 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.27 | 15.2 | 13.97 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.15 | 21.36 | 10.72 | 10.26 | -0.26 |
| 7 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 15.36 | 9.74 | 10.28 | -0.28 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.26 | 10.5 | 11.15 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 9 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.46 | 21.36 | 12.73 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 10 | Maryland | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 12.36 | 11.43 | 9.36 | -0.36 |
| 11 | Houston | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 12.8 | 13.34 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 12 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.7 | 11.55 | 10.98 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 13 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.52 | 19.27 | 7.65 | 10.11 | -1.11 |
| 14 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.35 | 14.7 | 10.68 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 15 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.26 | 7.82 | 10.01 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 16 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.01 | 12.27 | 6.11 | 9.27 | -0.27 |
| 17 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.88 | 10.09 | 9.44 | 9.25 | -1.25 |
| 18 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.35 | 6.09 | 8.2 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.28 | 8.64 | 16.25 | 8.23 | -0.23 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.08 | 21.91 | 10.85 | 9.79 | -1.79 |
| 21 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.73 | 9.45 | 12.73 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 8.09 | 11.73 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 23 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.49 | 11.27 | 10.24 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 24 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.47 | 11.73 | 9.75 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 25 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 8.64 | 10.46 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 26 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.3 | 8.09 | 10.32 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 27 | Texas | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.21 | 9.4 | 13.14 | 7.85 | -0.85 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.18 | 5.36 | 11.62 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 29 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.9 | 11.36 | 10.11 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 30 | Yale | Ivy | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 17.79 | 8.67 | 9.65 | 6.97 | -1.97 |
| 31 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.74 | 4.27 | 9.43 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.71 | 8.4 | 10.99 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.52 | 10.7 | 8.38 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 34 | Furman | Southern | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.42 | 11.55 | 2.73 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 35 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.34 | 10.7 | 7.26 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 36 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.32 | 8.9 | 7.77 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 37 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.26 | 3.8 | 11.38 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.1 | 2 | 13.23 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 39 | Chattanooga | Southern | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.86 | 10.36 | 3.74 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 40 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.81 | 11.55 | 12.58 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 41 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.74 | 6.5 | 10.03 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 42 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.72 | 9.27 | 13.11 | 8 | -1 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 10.45 | 12.21 | 8.67 | -1.67 |
| 44 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.65 | 7.3 | 8.75 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 45 | UNLV | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.53 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 46 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 3.11 | 8.91 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 47 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.12 | 10.64 | 7.83 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 48 | Brown | Ivy | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.04 | 2.67 | 8.92 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 49 | McNeese | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.92 | 8.27 | 7.93 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 50 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.9 | 6.18 | 8.96 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.85 | 2.55 | 13.09 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 52 | Utah State | PCAA | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.53 | 5 | 6.88 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 53 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 6.4 | 13.06 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 54 | Arkansas State | Southland | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 1.73 | 11.64 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 55 | App State | Southern | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.05 | 3.73 | 4.89 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 56 | Cornell | Ivy | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.99 | 3.78 | 7.82 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 57 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.86 | 6.58 | 10.75 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 58 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.68 | 1.45 | 5.84 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 59 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.52 | 4.18 | 7.08 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 60 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.18 | 5.6 | 2.95 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 61 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.9 | 2.45 | 13.89 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 62 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 2.18 | 9.9 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 63 | Hawai'i | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.19 | -1.3 | 11.66 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 64 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 13.05 | 5.18 | 12.44 | 7.22 | -2.22 |
| 65 | Western Carolina | Southern | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.7 | 2.27 | 3.7 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 66 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.82 | 5 | 13.09 | 6.9 | -1.9 |
| 67 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.63 | -2 | 11.1 | 5 | 1 |
| 68 | Harvard | Ivy | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.59 | 0.78 | 8.19 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 69 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.56 | 3.64 | 11.45 | 6.64 | -1.64 |
| 70 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.55 | 0.82 | 7.51 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 71 | San José State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.45 | -0.64 | 3.81 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 72 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.44 | 0 | 12.31 | 5 | 0 |
| 73 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.35 | -4.82 | 13.21 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 74 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.34 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 75 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.31 | 2.73 | 11.08 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 76 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 11.16 | -4.91 | 9.52 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 77 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 10.92 | 1.6 | 13.47 | 5.47 | -1.47 |
| 78 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.87 | 1.36 | 11.25 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 79 | SMU | Southwest | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 10.82 | 4.45 | 14.69 | 6.65 | -2.65 |
| 80 | Florida | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.63 | 2.7 | 16.18 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 81 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.66 | -0.82 | 10.05 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 82 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.61 | -1.73 | 13.55 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 83 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 9.57 | 0.36 | 12.84 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 84 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.86 | -5.36 | 12.76 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 85 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -5.18 | 9.51 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 86 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.74 | -4.73 | 9.68 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 87 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.7 | -3.27 | 5.26 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 88 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.66 | 0.91 | 10.13 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 89 | The Citadel | Southern | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.65 | -4.09 | 6.49 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 90 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -4.3 | 6 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.34 | -1.3 | 10.13 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 92 | Northwestern State | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 7.93 | -11.27 | 5.82 | 2.22 | 2.78 |
| 93 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 7.86 | -2.67 | 0.52 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 94 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.25 | -2.55 | 10.8 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 95 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.89 | -4.82 | 12.39 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 96 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.8 | -5.64 | 11.99 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 97 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -4.36 | 8.81 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 98 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -5.73 | 12.05 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 99 | Columbia | Ivy | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -13 | 10.9 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 100 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -8.82 | 13.07 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 101 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.39 | -8.18 | 9.79 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -12.64 | 13.98 | 1.36 | 2.64 |
| 103 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -12.82 | 13.74 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 104 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.07 | -1.82 | 10.32 | 5.05 | -2.05 |
| 105 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7 | 9.99 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 106 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.51 | -1.55 | 15.09 | 5.03 | -2.03 |
| 107 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.36 | -1.73 | 11.02 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 108 | Princeton | Ivy | 2-5-2 | 0.22 | 5.1 | -6.33 | 12.47 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 109 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.91 | -12.55 | 13.7 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 110 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.72 | -5.45 | 11.52 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 111 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.65 | -11.6 | 6.11 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 112 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -9 | 14.95 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 113 | Louisiana | Southland | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -9.27 | 12.99 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 114 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -9.36 | 13.43 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 115 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -7.18 | 8.57 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 116 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11.45 | 11.82 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 117 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -7 | 4.06 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 118 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.19 | -7.45 | 3.45 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 119 | Air Force | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -10.27 | 8.92 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 120 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.13 | -5.33 | 7.62 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 121 | VMI | Southern | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.12 | -10.27 | 7.62 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 122 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.86 | -3.55 | 12.58 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 123 | Lamar | Southland | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.58 | -9.64 | 9.83 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 124 | Virginia | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -8.82 | 10.52 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 125 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.19 | -10.18 | 11.01 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 126 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.12 | -22.5 | 14.95 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 127 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.09 | -22.8 | 13.87 | 1 | 1 |
| 128 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.97 | -15.09 | 13.88 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 129 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -17.91 | 13.02 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 130 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.73 | -17.18 | 6.09 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 131 | TCU | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.65 | -22.55 | 13.57 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 132 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-8-2 | 0.09 | 0.12 | -19.45 | 13.12 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 133 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.17 | -15.45 | 14.05 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 134 | Marshall | Southern | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.27 | 13.47 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 135 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.09 | 14.96 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 136 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-11-0 | 0.08 | -0.69 | -22.75 | 13.23 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 137 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.16 | -15.11 | 8.85 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 138 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.8 | -31.64 | 12.93 | 0.26 | -0.26 |