Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:29.260054+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.58 | 15.88 | 12.79 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.15 | 15.38 | 10.63 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.82 | 17.89 | 8.58 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 4 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.9 | 26.3 | 14.19 | 9.75 | -0.75 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.35 | 35 | 11.33 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.09 | 19.89 | 12.24 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 7 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.02 | 12.56 | 13.75 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.96 | 24.11 | 10.76 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 9 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.88 | 12.44 | 13.01 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 10 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.78 | 26.78 | 9.33 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 11 | Baylor | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.66 | 17.78 | 10.36 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.61 | 21.11 | 9.26 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 13 | Furman | Southern | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.44 | 10.44 | 5.65 | 6.86 | 1.14 |
| 14 | McNeese | Southland | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.19 | 13.33 | 3.5 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 15 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.71 | 21.78 | 12.97 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 16 | SMU | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 13.67 | 11.22 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 17 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.01 | 9.67 | 11.52 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 18 | UNLV | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 19.11 | 9.14 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 19 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.9 | 16 | 9.43 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 20 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.9 | 16.11 | 9.43 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 21 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.73 | 13 | 9.38 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 22 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.7 | 16 | 11.59 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 23 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.6 | 15 | 7.95 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 24 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.55 | 4.33 | 12.89 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 15.38 | 11.69 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 26 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.32 | 7.9 | 6.22 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 27 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.31 | 14.5 | 3.4 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 10.12 | 11.32 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 29 | Texas | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.19 | 7.88 | 12.69 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 30 | Chattanooga | Southern | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.98 | 10.78 | 5.52 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 31 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 18.23 | 6.22 | 13.74 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 32 | Yale | Ivy | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.95 | 7.38 | 3.7 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 33 | Harvard | Ivy | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.64 | 3 | 6.54 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 34 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.44 | 11.5 | 5.93 | 8.55 | -1.55 |
| 35 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.27 | 6.6 | 7.32 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 36 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 8.56 | 10.36 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 37 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 12.22 | 8.4 | 7.43 | -1.43 |
| 38 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 7.44 | 8.97 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 39 | LSU | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 3 | 11.41 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 40 | App State | Southern | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.64 | 9.9 | 6.22 | 7.6 | -1.6 |
| 41 | The Citadel | Southern | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 9.56 | 5.07 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 42 | Louisiana | Southland | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.29 | 5.11 | 7.37 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 43 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.17 | 6 | 14.35 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 44 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.07 | 3.89 | 7.08 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 45 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 7.75 | 11.86 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 46 | San José State | PCAA | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.02 | 3.22 | 7.43 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 47 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.82 | 0.33 | 12.63 | 4.63 | 1.37 |
| 48 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.8 | 1.33 | 9.71 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 49 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.69 | 1.56 | 8.11 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 50 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.65 | 4.2 | 14.87 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 51 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.33 | 3.56 | 1.83 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.9 | 10.44 | 11.27 | 7.08 | -2.08 |
| 53 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.79 | 1.89 | 9.54 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 54 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.34 | 0.9 | 10.59 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 55 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.34 | 5.11 | 10.71 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 56 | Houston | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.18 | 2.33 | 13.59 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 57 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.08 | 4.89 | 9.79 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 58 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.9 | 2.56 | 10.58 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 59 | Brown | Ivy | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.9 | 3.57 | 7.39 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 60 | Auburn | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.8 | 2.56 | 11.55 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 61 | Colgate | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 13.7 | 6.88 | 2.19 | 5.36 | -1.36 |
| 62 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 13.52 | -6.7 | 9.35 | 3.46 | 2.54 |
| 63 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.49 | 2.11 | 7.69 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 64 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.4 | 3.33 | 6.48 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 65 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.22 | 0.11 | 12.95 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 66 | Princeton | Ivy | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 12.96 | -1.75 | 7.17 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 67 | Arkansas | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 4 | 11.25 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 68 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.77 | -0.44 | 14.05 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 69 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 2 | 13.42 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 70 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.37 | -0.11 | 5.9 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 1.12 | 10.51 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Southland | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.09 | -0.44 | 5.09 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 73 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.79 | 0 | 14.37 | 4 | 0 |
| 74 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.36 | 3 | 13.22 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 75 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.18 | 2.67 | 12.17 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 76 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.81 | 1.67 | 11.59 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 77 | Villanova | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.34 | 2.33 | 4.12 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 78 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.01 | -6.44 | 12.53 | 2.94 | 1.06 |
| 79 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.66 | 1.12 | 15.35 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 80 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.57 | -1.89 | 14.22 | 4 | 0 |
| 81 | Dartmouth | Ivy | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.47 | 4.5 | 5.53 | 5.21 | -2.21 |
| 82 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.39 | 0.4 | 9.15 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 83 | NC State | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.33 | -3.22 | 15.19 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 84 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.89 | -3.11 | 9.83 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 85 | Rice | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.72 | -6.44 | 13.2 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 86 | Virginia | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -6.78 | 12.48 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 87 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-4-2 | 0.33 | 8.61 | -5.67 | 13.69 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 88 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.51 | -5.89 | 10.08 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 89 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.45 | -3.67 | 4 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 90 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.44 | -9.56 | 13.34 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 91 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.32 | -3.89 | 2.75 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 92 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.94 | 1 | 10.08 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 93 | Fresno State | PCAA | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -6 | 10.06 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 94 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.5 | -3.22 | 9.62 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.39 | -2.89 | 8.62 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.38 | -11.6 | 13.83 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 97 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.22 | -8.5 | 15.11 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 98 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.95 | -1.22 | 12.96 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 99 | Illinois State | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.93 | -8.1 | 3.76 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 100 | Cornell | Ivy | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.93 | -7.38 | 11.05 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 101 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -2.11 | 9.37 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 102 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -7.11 | 12.06 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 103 | Holy Cross | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -3.56 | 2.92 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 104 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.89 | -8.3 | 11.74 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 105 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -8.89 | 15.51 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 106 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -10.11 | 11.2 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 107 | VMI | Southern | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.71 | -8.5 | 9.41 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 108 | Lamar | Southland | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -10.33 | 9.87 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 109 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 5.11 | -5 | 11.93 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 110 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -9.7 | 9.07 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 111 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 4.64 | -1 | 14.7 | 4.29 | -2.29 |
| 112 | Marshall | Southern | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.95 | -8.33 | 9.27 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 113 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.77 | -3.89 | 14.62 | 3.61 | -1.61 |
| 114 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -14.38 | 16.84 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 115 | Duke | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.72 | -4.67 | 11.96 | 3.36 | -1.36 |
| 116 | Western Carolina | Southern | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.42 | -6.6 | 9.03 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 117 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.35 | -8.44 | 12.28 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 118 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -12.33 | 14.46 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 119 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -11.67 | 11.92 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 120 | California | Pac-10 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.02 | -13.89 | 14.66 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 121 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -12.5 | 10.05 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 122 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.66 | -13.11 | 15.05 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 123 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.63 | -13.89 | 12.12 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 124 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -15 | 5.1 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 125 | Columbia | Ivy | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.43 | -18 | 8.31 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 126 | Arkansas State | Southland | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.39 | -13.67 | 9.57 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 127 | Texas-Arlington | Southland | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.35 | -14.67 | 12.31 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 128 | East Tennessee State | Southern | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -12 | 5.62 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 129 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.31 | -21.12 | 13.62 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 130 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.28 | -15.67 | 7.8 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 131 | TCU | Southwest | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.27 | -13.78 | 16.28 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 132 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -17.44 | 12.32 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 133 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -15.44 | 10.89 | 1 | 0 |
| 134 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.01 | -23.22 | 8.21 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 135 | Colorado | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.15 | -27.67 | 17.21 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 136 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.18 | -21.5 | 13.28 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 137 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.7 | -26.38 | 13.58 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 138 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.72 | -27.3 | 13.23 | 0.66 | -0.66 |