Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:29.699897+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMU | Southwest | 11-0-1 | 0.92 | 24.36 | 16.17 | 8.89 | 10.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.85 | 16.58 | 15.69 | 10.08 | 0.92 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 12-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.62 | 26.69 | 12.46 | 12.15 | -0.15 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.26 | 14.83 | 12.63 | 10.26 | 0.74 |
| 5 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-1-1 | 0.83 | 22.96 | 14 | 12.81 | 9.42 | 0.58 |
| 6 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.26 | 13.27 | 9.07 | 8.68 | 1.32 |
| 7 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.14 | 13.55 | 8.32 | 8.46 | 1.54 |
| 8 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.07 | 12.91 | 9.4 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 9 | Fresno State | PCAA | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 21.17 | 12.75 | 2.03 | 9.26 | 1.74 |
| 10 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 12.42 | 11.56 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 11 | Washington | Pac-10 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 13.42 | 10.87 | 9.7 | 0.3 |
| 12 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.7 | 13.67 | 11.69 | 10.37 | -1.37 |
| 13 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.7 | 13.75 | 15.57 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 14 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 14.25 | 14.21 | 10.57 | -1.57 |
| 15 | Texas | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 15.58 | 11.78 | 10.24 | -1.24 |
| 16 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 8.5 | 13.79 | 8.9 | 0.1 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.97 | 14.45 | 13.44 | 9.4 | -1.4 |
| 18 | Auburn | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 6.42 | 13.68 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 19 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 11.67 | 10.83 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 20 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2-2 | 0.64 | 18.7 | 9.82 | 6.1 | 9.76 | -2.76 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.57 | 16.17 | 9.94 | 10.08 | -2.08 |
| 22 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 6.25 | 9.44 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 23 | San José State | PCAA | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.77 | 12 | 6.24 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 24 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 16.58 | 13.36 | 10.58 | -2.58 |
| 25 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 12.75 | 13.58 | 9.33 | -1.33 |
| 26 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 13.42 | 12.25 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 11.75 | 12.38 | 9.32 | -1.32 |
| 28 | Alabama | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 10.17 | 13.3 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 29 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.23 | 7.36 | 4.83 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 30 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 9.5 | 12.58 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 5.67 | 14.61 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 32 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.4 | 8 | 12.9 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 33 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 4.25 | 10.25 | 7.34 | 0.66 |
| 34 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.94 | 11.27 | 7.47 | 8.54 | -1.54 |
| 35 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.82 | 6.73 | 9.29 | 8.32 | -1.32 |
| 36 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.42 | 8.36 | 12.12 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 37 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 15.27 | 4.64 | -2.65 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 38 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.22 | 6.36 | 4.89 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 15.06 | -0.08 | 11.36 | 5.97 | 2.03 |
| 40 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-5-0 | 0.62 | 15.04 | 2.15 | 12.57 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 41 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.92 | 2.82 | 6.48 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 42 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.92 | 9.08 | 10.89 | 8.59 | -1.59 |
| 43 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.92 | 2.91 | 13.76 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 44 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 5.5 | 11.77 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 45 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.47 | 2.64 | 10.41 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 46 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.24 | 2.92 | 11.83 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 47 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.97 | -1.18 | 12.31 | 5.13 | 1.87 |
| 48 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.63 | 6.82 | 7.55 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 49 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 10.81 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 4.17 | 9.86 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 51 | Duke | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.28 | 1.55 | 12.38 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 52 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.22 | 3.09 | 8.34 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 53 | Missouri | Big 8 | 5-4-2 | 0.45 | 13.22 | 1 | 11.46 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 54 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.03 | 2 | 8.82 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 55 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.83 | 0.91 | 10.2 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.71 | -1 | 12.76 | 5.73 | 1.27 |
| 57 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.5 | 2.82 | 14.41 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 58 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.45 | 5.36 | 9.34 | 7.22 | -2.22 |
| 59 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.29 | -0.64 | 3.4 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 60 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.25 | 0.1 | 9.84 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.14 | -4.45 | 11.73 | 4.14 | 1.86 |
| 62 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.12 | -4.64 | 11.8 | 4.28 | 1.72 |
| 63 | Georgia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.01 | -4.27 | 9.92 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 64 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 0.73 | 12.26 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 65 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.45 | -8.64 | 8.89 | 2.78 | 3.22 |
| 66 | Houston | Southwest | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.94 | -4.27 | 10.6 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 67 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.03 | -2.73 | 9.85 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 9.02 | -2.36 | 11.67 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 69 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.94 | -2.55 | 8.04 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 70 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.91 | -1.08 | 11.12 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 71 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.84 | -4.27 | 10.85 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 72 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.81 | 1.64 | 10.07 | 6.05 | -2.05 |
| 73 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.57 | -0.73 | 10.63 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 74 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.29 | -8.91 | 10.11 | 2.89 | 2.11 |
| 75 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.26 | -6.73 | 6.83 | 3.23 | 1.77 |
| 76 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.2 | -6.36 | 5.37 | 3.56 | 1.44 |
| 77 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.02 | -2.55 | 10.84 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 78 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8 | -12.27 | 9.11 | 2.68 | 2.32 |
| 79 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.03 | -3.18 | 11.58 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 80 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.88 | -4.91 | 13.84 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 81 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.82 | -4.27 | 11.16 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 82 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -7 | 13.63 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 83 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.6 | -6.36 | 11.88 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 84 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -3.36 | 3.05 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 85 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.01 | -9.73 | 5.95 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 86 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.99 | -7.73 | 9.02 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 87 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.71 | -4.73 | 10.69 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 88 | TCU | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.57 | -5.73 | 10.28 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 89 | UNLV | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -7.82 | 11.62 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.22 | -10.27 | 11.73 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.1 | -11.09 | 9.93 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -12.45 | 9.08 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.91 | -15.73 | 11.82 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 94 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.87 | -12.82 | 6.13 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 95 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -11.73 | 1.4 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 96 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -10.67 | 3.88 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 97 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.01 | -11.45 | 11.9 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 98 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.89 | -3.64 | 12.3 | 4.34 | -2.34 |
| 99 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.66 | -10.91 | 15.6 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 100 | Colorado | Big 8 | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.49 | -12.82 | 12.76 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 101 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.41 | -7.73 | 13.32 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 102 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.17 | -9.45 | 7.89 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 103 | Virginia | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.08 | -11.09 | 9.59 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 104 | Pacific | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.97 | -11.82 | 5.34 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 105 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -12.73 | 2.85 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 106 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -20 | 13.98 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.31 | -10.91 | 7.77 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 108 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.05 | -15.64 | 12.44 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 109 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.09 | 10.95 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 110 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.11 | -14.18 | 9.68 | 1.26 | -1.26 |
| 111 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.21 | -16.9 | 8.09 | 0.89 | -0.89 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.39 | -17.36 | 17.06 | 0.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | Rice | Southwest | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.44 | -20.27 | 13.09 | 1.02 | -1.02 |