Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:29.885362+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 37.11 | 9.74 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Texas | Southwest | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 18.43 | 11.32 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.13 | 14.62 | 10.18 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 4 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.02 | 19.88 | 3.57 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.27 | 12.75 | 15.91 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 6 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.82 | 18.89 | 10.41 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 7 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.81 | 20.75 | 11.24 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 8 | Maryland | ACC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.62 | 10.5 | 13.13 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 9 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.58 | 10.38 | 12.96 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 10 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.54 | 19.38 | 9.25 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 11 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 9-0-0 | 1 | 22.49 | 24.67 | -4.52 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 22.4 | 10.62 | 13.36 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 13 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.84 | 10 | 8.86 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 14 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.42 | 11.38 | 8.59 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 15 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.4 | 15.14 | 7.36 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 16 | SMU | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.04 | 11.29 | 6.41 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 17 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.26 | 11.75 | 16 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 14.25 | 13.54 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 19 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 15.25 | 12.49 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 11.25 | 13.31 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 21 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 14.38 | 11.93 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 11.5 | 12.96 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.29 | 10.38 | 11.47 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 18.5 | 7.56 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 25 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 11.62 | 9.64 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.03 | 12 | 8.03 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 27 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.82 | 9.12 | 9.01 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 28 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.78 | 16.88 | 5.92 | 7.41 | -1.41 |
| 29 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.51 | 12.38 | 5.58 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 30 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.51 | 18.88 | 9.09 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 31 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.28 | 7.38 | 6.34 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 32 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.18 | 15.43 | 8.21 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 33 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.88 | 8.86 | 9.09 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 34 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.86 | 6.12 | 10.6 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 35 | San José State | PCAA | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.78 | 3.57 | 12.2 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 36 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.57 | 1.62 | 13.81 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 37 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.22 | 11.71 | 7.92 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 38 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 9.78 | 9.13 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 39 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 17.05 | -0.56 | 5.23 | 4.34 | 2.66 |
| 40 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.98 | 8.86 | 9.2 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.93 | 12.62 | 14.19 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 42 | Missouri | Big 8 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.63 | 11 | 13.92 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 43 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.55 | 8.62 | 14.76 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 44 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.96 | 5.11 | 4.19 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 45 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 5.88 | 6.04 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 46 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.25 | 6.12 | 5.16 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 47 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.09 | 5 | 6.36 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 48 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.69 | 2.62 | 5.58 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 49 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.38 | 6.33 | -0.48 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 50 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.33 | -1.33 | 7.83 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 51 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.58 | -2.38 | 13.87 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 13.03 | -1.25 | 17.25 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 53 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 4 | 10.28 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 54 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.61 | -1.78 | 15.27 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 55 | Fresno State | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 3.62 | 4.23 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 56 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.48 | 6.62 | 9.33 | 5.91 | -2.91 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.27 | 3.88 | 10.53 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 58 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.09 | -0.75 | 12.12 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 59 | California | Pac-10 | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 10.79 | 1.75 | 10.28 | 4.38 | -1.38 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -1.62 | 11.43 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 61 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.31 | 0.22 | 9.88 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 62 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10 | -4.62 | 10.07 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 63 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.95 | 0 | 11.29 | 4 | -1 |
| 64 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -5.5 | 8.11 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 65 | LSU | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.74 | 1.25 | 14.39 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 66 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.25 | -2.22 | 10.45 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 67 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.08 | -2.12 | 13.69 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 68 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.07 | -7.5 | 0.18 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 69 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.97 | -2.71 | 14.42 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 70 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.46 | -4.88 | 12.19 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.37 | -8.86 | 13.94 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 72 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.31 | -9.22 | 12.56 | 2.23 | 1.77 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.06 | -10.67 | 10.19 | 2.21 | 1.79 |
| 74 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.67 | -3.62 | 12.09 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 75 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.5 | -2.88 | 7.11 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 76 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.28 | -6.38 | 12.09 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 77 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.15 | -8.75 | 13.35 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 78 | Houston | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.05 | -5.38 | 8.84 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 79 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.87 | -10.25 | 10.75 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 80 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -11.38 | 10.84 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 81 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.82 | -11.62 | 11.2 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 82 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.66 | -14.38 | 12.48 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -6.22 | 11.04 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 84 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.19 | -13 | 2.48 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| 85 | NC State | ACC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 5.15 | -1.5 | 11.35 | 3.68 | -1.68 |
| 86 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.73 | -10 | 13.94 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 87 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -6.25 | 14.56 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.24 | -7.62 | 15.34 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.18 | -7.56 | 13.23 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 90 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -10.5 | 18.42 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 91 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -8.88 | 13.17 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 92 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -8.5 | 9.62 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 93 | Colorado | Big 8 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -13.12 | 12.53 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 94 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -14.88 | 15.17 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -10.5 | 1.49 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -13.5 | 8.66 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 97 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -14 | 6.22 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 98 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.21 | -8 | 5.96 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.2 | -26.38 | 12.6 | 0.27 | 1.73 |
| 100 | Pacific | PCAA | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -13.33 | 9.24 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 101 | TCU | Southwest | 1-6-1 | 0.12 | 1.53 | -7.75 | 10.62 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 102 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.38 | -8.29 | 2.36 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 103 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.78 | -11.62 | 16.32 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 104 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.66 | -13.5 | 12.41 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.62 | -14 | 9.57 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 106 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -10.89 | 9.09 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 107 | Duke | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -13.5 | 14.64 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 108 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.14 | -26.38 | 10.55 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 109 | Rice | Southwest | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.11 | -20 | 9.62 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 110 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.05 | -17.67 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 111 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 0-7-1 | 0 | -1.88 | -13.38 | -4.44 | 1.24 | -1.24 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -1.96 | -10.5 | 10.96 | 1.58 | -1.58 |