Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:29.886445+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 39.18 | 9.59 | 10.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Texas | Southwest | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.78 | 14.4 | 10.07 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.51 | 12 | 16.27 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 4 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.29 | 23.09 | 11.19 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 5 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.05 | 16 | 11.26 | 10.01 | -0.01 |
| 6 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.86 | 15.45 | 10.43 | 9.24 | 0.76 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.64 | 11.2 | 13.05 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.54 | 12.55 | 10.78 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 9 | SMU | Southwest | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 21.8 | 13.6 | 6.39 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.18 | 17.91 | 12.05 | 9.66 | -0.66 |
| 11 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.01 | 18.09 | 10.96 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 12 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 20.78 | 18.36 | -1.61 | 9.64 | 0.36 |
| 13 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.43 | 19.09 | 7.32 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.42 | 9.45 | 10.26 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.36 | 11.64 | 11.65 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.23 | 10.1 | 14.41 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 17 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.16 | 10.82 | 7.55 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 18 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.97 | 10.9 | 9.62 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 19 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.83 | 14 | 10.36 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 20 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 5.16 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 21 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.1 | 11.73 | 13.45 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.08 | 18.09 | 11.26 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 23 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.71 | 13.27 | 10.85 | 8.76 | -0.76 |
| 24 | Maryland | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.62 | 6.36 | 13.88 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 25 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.28 | 11 | 9.01 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.28 | 10 | 8.74 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 27 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.12 | 8.36 | 9.19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 9.3 | 12.11 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 29 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.89 | 10.18 | 6.49 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 30 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.82 | 3.18 | 11.73 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.78 | 10 | 10.59 | 8.11 | -1.11 |
| 32 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.69 | 7.55 | 10.75 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 33 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.38 | 15.3 | 10.23 | 8.18 | -2.18 |
| 34 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.2 | 8.64 | 2.59 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 35 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.06 | 12.2 | 9.44 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 36 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.78 | 8.55 | 13.57 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.74 | 10.64 | 12.87 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.32 | 9 | 10.52 | 8.48 | -1.48 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.29 | 9.73 | 9.22 | 8.89 | -1.89 |
| 40 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.83 | 8.3 | 14.07 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 41 | UNLV | PCAA | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.81 | 5.73 | 8.33 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 42 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.54 | 2.36 | 11.29 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 43 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.33 | 6.36 | 4.7 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 44 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.26 | 4.11 | 9.93 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.17 | 0.42 | 13.55 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 46 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.66 | 12.55 | 11.05 | 8.96 | -2.96 |
| 47 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.53 | 0.73 | 15.15 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 48 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.18 | 7.45 | 1.28 | 7.43 | -1.43 |
| 49 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.14 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 7.5 | -2.5 |
| 50 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.79 | 3.1 | 10.06 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 51 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.64 | -0.45 | 12.49 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 52 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.83 | -4.09 | 6.54 | 4.12 | 2.88 |
| 53 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.79 | 2.55 | 4.44 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 54 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 2.9 | 12.27 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 55 | San José State | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 0.7 | 10.52 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 56 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.73 | -2 | 12.28 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| 57 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.53 | -1.27 | 7.92 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 58 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.45 | 0.5 | 8.92 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 59 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.35 | -2.55 | 7.8 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.33 | -2.64 | 9.5 | 4.53 | 1.47 |
| 61 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11 | -5 | 9.58 | 4.21 | 1.79 |
| 62 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.9 | -7.18 | 11.75 | 3.23 | 2.77 |
| 63 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.8 | 0.64 | 11.72 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 64 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -1.8 | 11.96 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 65 | California | Pac-10 | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 10.41 | 0.6 | 11.01 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 66 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.08 | -5.55 | 0.48 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 67 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.05 | -0.55 | 11.96 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 68 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.22 | -2.55 | 11.91 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 69 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.19 | -2.18 | 11.76 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 70 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.14 | -2.36 | 10.05 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 71 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.14 | -0.18 | 13.04 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 72 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 7.95 | -7.36 | 2.49 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 73 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.63 | -6.45 | 11.9 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 74 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 7.62 | -9.83 | 9.34 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 75 | Houston | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -4.7 | 9.98 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 76 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.52 | -6.55 | 11.1 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -2.18 | 8.6 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 78 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.04 | -3.36 | 12.09 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.96 | -4.45 | 11.92 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 80 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -6.45 | 12.31 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 81 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -8.18 | 11.96 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 82 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.4 | -9.73 | 11.69 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.24 | -12.45 | 12.07 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 84 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -2.44 | -0.82 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 85 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.85 | -9 | 13.25 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.62 | -0.91 | 9 | 5.23 | -2.23 |
| 87 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -8.8 | 12.5 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 88 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -10.45 | 14.08 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 89 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.67 | -15.6 | 12.53 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 90 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.63 | -7.55 | 15.29 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 91 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -5.73 | 8.05 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -9.45 | 13.79 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -7.64 | 6.76 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 94 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -14.27 | 12.52 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 95 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -14.45 | 12.29 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 96 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -10.73 | 3.01 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 97 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -11.33 | 7.75 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.91 | -8.1 | 15.57 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 99 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.79 | -9.09 | 12.54 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 100 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.64 | -9.9 | 9.71 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 101 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.36 | -14.64 | 9.78 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.32 | -13.5 | 4.53 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 103 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.72 | -12.42 | 8.93 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 104 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.51 | -27 | 13.38 | 0.41 | 1.59 |
| 105 | TCU | Southwest | 1-8-2 | 0.09 | 0.87 | -7.09 | 11.52 | 3.23 | -2.23 |
| 106 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.22 | -12.5 | 14.02 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 107 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.22 | -9.36 | 10.01 | 2.56 | -1.56 |
| 108 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.07 | -13.82 | 8.22 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 109 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.29 | -18.73 | 3.59 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 110 | Rice | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -20.73 | 10.65 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 111 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.68 | -30.64 | 13.14 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 112 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 0-10-1 | 0 | -1.89 | -12.27 | 0.93 | 2.11 | -2.11 |