Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:29.888698+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 36.5 | 10.53 | 11.36 | 0.64 |
| 2 | Texas | Southwest | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 16 | 9.62 | 10.04 | 0.96 |
| 3 | BYU | Western Athletic | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.29 | 21.5 | 11.74 | 10.14 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.27 | 11.18 | 15.6 | 8.53 | 1.47 |
| 5 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.66 | 16 | 10.76 | 10.01 | -0.01 |
| 6 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.49 | 15.45 | 9.95 | 9.24 | 0.76 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.32 | 10.45 | 11.83 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 8 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.12 | 12.55 | 9.98 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.03 | 12.33 | 14.37 | 9.95 | -0.95 |
| 10 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 13-1-0 | 0.93 | 20.96 | 19.29 | -1.57 | 12.59 | 0.41 |
| 11 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.89 | 17.91 | 11.76 | 9.66 | -0.66 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.45 | 9.25 | 10.61 | 8.85 | 1.15 |
| 13 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.35 | 12.17 | 8.82 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.09 | 19.09 | 6.68 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.08 | 11.64 | 11.5 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 16 | SMU | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 19.96 | 11.42 | 6.77 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 17 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.87 | 10.82 | 7.79 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 15.92 | 11.47 | 10.08 | -1.08 |
| 19 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 11.08 | 13.28 | 9.35 | -0.35 |
| 20 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.77 | 18.09 | 11.13 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 9.75 | 10.03 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 22 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 13.42 | 6.89 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 23 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.05 | 11 | 8.71 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 24 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.89 | 8.36 | 8.92 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.8 | 14.09 | 10.39 | 8.87 | -1.87 |
| 26 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.67 | 3.18 | 11.82 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 27 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.62 | 10.18 | 6.18 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 28 | Alabama | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 11.42 | 13.06 | 9.03 | -1.03 |
| 29 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 7.5 | 12.85 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 30 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 10.08 | 10.59 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 31 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 5.25 | 13.65 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 32 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 9.08 | 10.64 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 8.92 | 9.61 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 34 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.51 | 10.64 | 12.36 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 35 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 9.73 | 9.07 | 8.89 | -1.89 |
| 36 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 16.01 | 6.31 | 3.04 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 37 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.97 | 6.08 | 10.89 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 38 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-4-1 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 0.62 | 13.53 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 39 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 15.72 | 6.08 | 4.23 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 40 | UNLV | PCAA | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 5.73 | 7.71 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 41 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.37 | 2.36 | 11.07 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.3 | 10.91 | 9.79 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 43 | Missouri | Big 8 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 7.5 | 14.41 | 8.47 | -1.47 |
| 44 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 15.11 | 11.58 | 11.75 | 9.58 | -2.58 |
| 45 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 5.75 | 14.58 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 46 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.8 | 6.27 | 8.84 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 47 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.38 | 0.73 | 15 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 48 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14 | 7.45 | 1.25 | 7.43 | -1.43 |
| 49 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 2.91 | 11.39 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 50 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.99 | 0.33 | 8.2 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 51 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 2.55 | 3.96 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 52 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.38 | 4 | 9.6 | 6.94 | -1.94 |
| 53 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 12.13 | -0.75 | 12.95 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 54 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.91 | 1.36 | 10.79 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.8 | 1.36 | 9.6 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 56 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.63 | -2 | 12.14 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| 57 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 11.39 | -4.33 | 7.16 | 4.39 | 2.61 |
| 58 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.37 | 0.5 | 8.79 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 59 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.24 | -2.64 | 9.5 | 4.53 | 1.47 |
| 60 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.08 | -2.55 | 7.57 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 61 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.85 | -5 | 9.47 | 4.21 | 1.79 |
| 62 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.59 | 0.64 | 11.83 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 63 | San José State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.24 | 0.27 | 10.03 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 64 | William & Mary | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10 | -5.55 | 0.44 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 65 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.85 | -0.55 | 11.71 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 66 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 9.71 | -7.08 | 12.15 | 3.42 | 2.58 |
| 67 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -1.91 | 11.24 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 68 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.12 | -2.18 | 11.26 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 69 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.07 | -2.55 | 11.85 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 70 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.04 | -0.18 | 11.95 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.97 | -2.36 | 9.7 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 72 | New Mexico State | Missouri Valley | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 7.91 | -7.36 | 2.73 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 7.51 | -9.83 | 9.58 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 74 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.49 | -1.8 | 0.07 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 75 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.48 | -6.45 | 11.83 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 76 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.42 | -6.55 | 10.82 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.02 | -2.18 | 7.89 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 78 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7 | -3.36 | 11.83 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.81 | -4.45 | 11.53 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 80 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.45 | 12.04 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 81 | Houston | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -6.27 | 10.33 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 82 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -8.18 | 11.25 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 83 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.28 | -9.73 | 11.69 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 84 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.12 | -12.45 | 11.89 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 85 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 5.46 | -0.91 | 8.38 | 5.23 | -2.23 |
| 86 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.08 | -8.45 | 13.12 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.95 | -10.45 | 13.54 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.55 | -7.55 | 15.11 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 89 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.49 | -5.73 | 8.25 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 90 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -6.36 | 8.36 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 91 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -8.27 | 12.75 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -9.45 | 12.92 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.25 | -7.64 | 6.8 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 94 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -14.27 | 12.38 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 95 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -14.45 | 11.76 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 96 | Richmond | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -10.73 | 2.67 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 97 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.83 | -17.64 | 12.2 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 98 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -11.33 | 6.96 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.39 | -8.27 | 15.06 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 100 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.33 | -14.64 | 9.62 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 101 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-9-1 | 0.17 | 2.15 | -10.92 | 13.39 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -14.91 | 4.32 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 103 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -12.42 | 8.81 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 104 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.47 | -27 | 13.18 | 0.41 | 1.59 |
| 105 | TCU | Southwest | 1-8-2 | 0.09 | 0.84 | -7.09 | 11 | 3.23 | -2.23 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.2 | -9.36 | 10.29 | 2.56 | -1.56 |
| 107 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.01 | -12.18 | 13.2 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 108 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.08 | -13.82 | 8.35 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 109 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.29 | -18.73 | 3.55 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 110 | Rice | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.73 | 10.48 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 111 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.69 | -30.64 | 12.95 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 112 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 0-10-1 | 0 | -1.86 | -12.27 | 0.87 | 2.11 | -2.11 |