Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.246330+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.24 | 28.3 | 8.95 | 9.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.8 | 8.44 | 11.16 | 6.83 | 2.17 |
| 3 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.59 | 14.89 | 8.08 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 4 | Fresno State | PCAA | 8-0-1 | 0.89 | 24.12 | 20.56 | 4.61 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.25 | 27.22 | 11.8 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 23.25 | 21 | 14.28 | 8.78 | -1.78 |
| 7 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.18 | 18.56 | 13.03 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 23.15 | 10.89 | 15.66 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.94 | 13.89 | 12.86 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.92 | 25.78 | 10.28 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.92 | 16 | 13.65 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 12 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.52 | 10.56 | 13.11 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 13 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.48 | 19.33 | 9.07 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.35 | 23.86 | 11.29 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.15 | 11.75 | 10.58 | 6.53 | 0.47 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 21.49 | 8.12 | 15.07 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 17 | LSU | SEC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.36 | 10 | 13.27 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 18 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.83 | 16 | 15.14 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 19 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.32 | 13 | 13.01 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 20 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 22.2 | 7.57 | 9.22 | -1.22 |
| 21 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 12.22 | 12.39 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.09 | 12.67 | 11.77 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 23 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.99 | 11.44 | 15.9 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 24 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.34 | 7.4 | 6.52 | 6.34 | 1.66 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 9.5 | 9.27 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 26 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.63 | 14.44 | 1.32 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 27 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.58 | 9.11 | 7.98 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 28 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.28 | 3.78 | 10.22 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 29 | Texas | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.18 | 3 | 10.26 | 4.58 | 1.42 |
| 30 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.72 | 11.33 | 12.69 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 31 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 6.44 | 13.86 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 12.11 | 10.32 | 7.08 | -1.08 |
| 33 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 10.11 | 9.13 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 34 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.67 | 10 | 15.51 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 35 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 9.89 | 4.38 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 36 | SMU | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.35 | 11.88 | 11.9 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 37 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 9 | 11.56 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 38 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 3.5 | 9.93 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 39 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.89 | 1.67 | 10.8 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.13 | 4.6 | 10.57 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 41 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.12 | 6.11 | 7.73 | 6 | -1 |
| 42 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.09 | 2.78 | 11.97 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 43 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.06 | 3 | 11.1 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 44 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 5-3-2 | 0.5 | 13.91 | 4.7 | -2.29 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 45 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.89 | 2.6 | 3.73 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 46 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.65 | 0.89 | 12.68 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 47 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.2 | 0.56 | 11.42 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 5.25 | 11.41 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 49 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 4.9 | 10.16 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 50 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.55 | 3.78 | 10.07 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 51 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 4.1 | 8.48 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 52 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.35 | -1.22 | 12.2 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 53 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 12.26 | -1.89 | 0.43 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 54 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.14 | -2.67 | 15.28 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.6 | 1.33 | 10.66 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 56 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -2.75 | 10.07 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 57 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.34 | -7.78 | 16.99 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 58 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -2.1 | 5.47 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 59 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.08 | -5.5 | 13.21 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.06 | -0.33 | 12.2 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.01 | 7.8 | -0.16 | 6.6 | -2.6 |
| 62 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.91 | -5.6 | 9.32 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 63 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.91 | 2.3 | 7.49 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.33 | -3.22 | 14.07 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 65 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.16 | -1.89 | 7.66 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 66 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.81 | -0.5 | 9.46 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 67 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.61 | -6.56 | 11.57 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 68 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.53 | -3.56 | 5.05 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 69 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -0.6 | 6.09 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 70 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.21 | -3.89 | 1.3 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -3 | 11.6 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 72 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.02 | 0.78 | 9.62 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -6 | 12.46 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -6.6 | 9.5 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 75 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.13 | -7.11 | 11.13 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 76 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.9 | -13.3 | 7.19 | 1.91 | 2.09 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.64 | -10.89 | 10.75 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 78 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -5.36 | 5.4 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 79 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -4.22 | 13.29 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 80 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -3.44 | 9.01 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 81 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.28 | -10.25 | 3.06 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 82 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -3.78 | 9.33 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -7 | 13 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 84 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -11.67 | 11.8 | 1.99 | 1.01 |
| 85 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -11.56 | 12.01 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| 86 | Rice | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -15.89 | 13.95 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 87 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.31 | -19.44 | 12.76 | 0.94 | 2.06 |
| 88 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.25 | -15.56 | 7.61 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| 89 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.2 | -9.6 | 15.72 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 90 | TCU | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.12 | -18.44 | 7.33 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| 91 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-6-2 | 0.2 | 4.88 | -2.1 | 10.67 | 4.33 | -2.33 |
| 92 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -10.1 | 7.15 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 93 | NC State | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -10.7 | 10.62 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 94 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 4.28 | -2.22 | 15.63 | 4.05 | -2.05 |
| 95 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.99 | -8.67 | 11.6 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 96 | Duke | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -8.11 | 11.93 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 97 | Houston | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.24 | -10.11 | 14.35 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 98 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.14 | -11 | 12.34 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.05 | -8.33 | 6.87 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 100 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -12.89 | 12.42 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 101 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -15.33 | 14.21 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 102 | San José State | PCAA | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.7 | 9.46 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 103 | Utah State | PCAA | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -15.9 | 13.26 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 104 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.12 | -20.6 | 8.54 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 105 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.71 | -12.67 | 13.83 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 106 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.42 | -13.33 | 12.1 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.67 | 10.42 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 108 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.25 | -16.56 | 12.06 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 109 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.44 | 8.21 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 110 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.18 | -15.33 | 11.54 | 1.49 | -0.49 |