Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.246711+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.9 | 10.6 | 11.42 | 8.07 | 1.93 |
| 2 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.43 | 15.5 | 7.57 | 8.38 | 1.62 |
| 3 | Fresno State | PCAA | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.09 | 18.7 | 5.23 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 23.33 | 23 | 13.46 | 9.78 | -1.78 |
| 5 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.29 | 25.09 | 9.87 | 10.2 | -0.2 |
| 6 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.2 | 24.8 | 11.11 | 9.24 | -0.24 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.12 | 28.2 | 10.23 | 9.54 | -0.54 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 23.09 | 10 | 15.62 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 9 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.95 | 18.56 | 12.16 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.85 | 24.75 | 11.85 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.71 | 13.6 | 12.26 | 8.02 | -0.02 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.06 | 10.67 | 9.53 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1-2 | 0.67 | 22.03 | 9.44 | 14.02 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.83 | 9 | 13.02 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 15.8 | 15.25 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 16 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.85 | 20.82 | 9.01 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 12 | 12.03 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 18 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.61 | 11.4 | 15.97 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 19 | Baylor | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.59 | 13.4 | 12.09 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 20 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 17 | 9.93 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.49 | 15.7 | 10.73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.46 | 13 | 13.55 | 8.28 | -1.28 |
| 23 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.34 | 12.1 | 11.02 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.62 | 8.89 | 10.95 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 25 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.34 | 11.3 | 8.03 | 8.54 | -1.54 |
| 26 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.11 | 4.9 | 10.32 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 27 | Texas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.09 | 4.89 | 10.22 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 28 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.06 | 17.2 | 1.67 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 29 | Maryland | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.29 | 10.5 | 13.52 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 30 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.76 | 6.55 | 6.79 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 31 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.75 | 10.3 | 9.87 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 32 | SMU | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 10.78 | 11.02 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 33 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 10.22 | 10.6 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 34 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 4.67 | 9.69 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 35 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.26 | 2.8 | 10.45 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.43 | 6.8 | 10.92 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 37 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.26 | 2.7 | 14.41 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 38 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 14.96 | 4.55 | -1.65 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.93 | 5.7 | 8.78 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 40 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.92 | 5.56 | 15.74 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 41 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 7.8 | 5.78 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 42 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.54 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.52 | 1.1 | 13.09 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.42 | 0.8 | 13.85 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.08 | 4.6 | 10.11 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 46 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.6 | 5 | 7.81 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 47 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.92 | 2.18 | 5.23 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 48 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 2.5 | 12.52 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 2.2 | 12.96 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 50 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.61 | 3.78 | 10.3 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 51 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 0.3 | 11.74 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 52 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 11.7 | -5.3 | 15.56 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 53 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.7 | 0.2 | 12.99 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 54 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.52 | 4.33 | 11.62 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 55 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -4.91 | 12.58 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 56 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -1.3 | 12.7 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 57 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -1.4 | 8 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 58 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.39 | -0.09 | 11.64 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 59 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.09 | -1.91 | 5.03 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 60 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.8 | -5.6 | 9.17 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.74 | 1 | 10.99 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 62 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.93 | -5.27 | 13.19 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 63 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.9 | 6.45 | -1.47 | 7.05 | -3.05 |
| 64 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.88 | -3.78 | 10.92 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 65 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.7 | -0.5 | 9.16 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 66 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.63 | -1 | 12.82 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 67 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.6 | 0.91 | 8.11 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 68 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.33 | -3.2 | 15.31 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 69 | California | Pac-10 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -3 | 10.93 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 70 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.93 | 3 | 12.88 | 5.64 | -2.64 |
| 71 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.66 | -7.56 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 72 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.54 | -4.7 | 6.68 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 73 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -7.6 | 11.22 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 74 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.39 | -3.8 | 2.3 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 75 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.37 | -7.6 | 11.1 | 2.78 | 1.22 |
| 76 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 9.72 | 5.1 | -2.1 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.9 | -3.36 | 7.03 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 78 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.82 | -16.8 | 11.5 | 1.34 | 2.66 |
| 79 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -7.27 | 9.95 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 80 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -5.36 | 5.26 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 81 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.11 | -4.7 | 11.76 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 82 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.9 | -8.4 | 12.75 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 83 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.88 | -13.09 | 4.89 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.59 | -11.2 | 10.63 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 85 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -5.5 | 10.88 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.32 | -7 | 12.92 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 87 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.25 | -6.2 | 8.76 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 88 | Duke | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.23 | -6.1 | 11.04 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 89 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -9.1 | 12.2 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 90 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -10.1 | 7.34 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -13.7 | 11.29 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 92 | Rice | Southwest | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.76 | -16.7 | 15.03 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.48 | -18.1 | 8.88 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 94 | TCU | Southwest | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.45 | -18.6 | 8.71 | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| 95 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -10.55 | 15.48 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 96 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.19 | -10.82 | 9.62 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 97 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.59 | -5.73 | 11.45 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 98 | Houston | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.2 | -10.11 | 14.12 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 99 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -10 | 11.22 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 100 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -10 | 11.62 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 101 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.57 | -10.3 | 6.5 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 102 | San José State | PCAA | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.54 | -11.55 | 9.78 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | Utah State | PCAA | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -15.9 | 13.09 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -16.3 | 13.12 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 105 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.63 | -20.91 | 6.81 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 106 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -15.33 | 11.15 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 107 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.25 | -12.2 | 13.07 | 2.32 | -1.32 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.04 | -16.2 | 10.39 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 109 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.02 | -16.4 | 7.6 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -17.7 | 11.76 | 1.6 | -0.6 |