Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.247090+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 12.45 | 11.81 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 2 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.29 | 16 | 7.18 | 9.26 | 1.74 |
| 3 | Fresno State | PCAA | 10-0-1 | 0.91 | 24.06 | 20.73 | 5.11 | 9.43 | 0.57 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 23.58 | 21.82 | 14.23 | 10.65 | -1.65 |
| 5 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.47 | 24.55 | 11.9 | 10.18 | -0.18 |
| 6 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.35 | 23.58 | 10.16 | 10.99 | 0.01 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.13 | 24.22 | 12.59 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 8 | Miami | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.01 | 18.8 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.99 | 10 | 15.46 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1-2 | 0.7 | 22.63 | 12.7 | 13.9 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.12 | 8.33 | 12.72 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 12 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.35 | 23.82 | 11.25 | 10.2 | -1.2 |
| 13 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 19.92 | 9.88 | 10.67 | -0.67 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.07 | 15.8 | 14.57 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 15 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.85 | 16 | 10.54 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 16 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.66 | 12 | 12.86 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 17 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.47 | 11.4 | 15.37 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 18 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 15.7 | 10.5 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.25 | 13 | 13.3 | 8.28 | -1.28 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 12.7 | 10.24 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 21 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.85 | 9.1 | 9.07 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 22 | Texas | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.63 | 5.1 | 10.89 | 6.35 | 1.65 |
| 23 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.54 | 5 | 10.32 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 24 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.28 | 11.3 | 7.89 | 8.54 | -1.54 |
| 25 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.99 | 17.2 | 1.54 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 26 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.91 | 10 | 13.02 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 27 | Baylor | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.88 | 11.55 | 12.09 | 8.98 | -0.98 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.79 | 10.73 | 11.91 | 8.78 | -0.78 |
| 29 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.45 | 9.64 | 10.74 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 30 | Maryland | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.22 | 10.5 | 13.26 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 31 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 10.9 | 9.36 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.13 | 5.1 | 9.3 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 33 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 5.17 | 8.52 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 34 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.32 | 2.8 | 10.87 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 35 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.24 | 5.18 | 12.88 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 3.82 | 13.39 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 37 | SMU | Southwest | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.7 | 9.1 | 11.97 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 38 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.59 | 8.73 | 5.08 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 39 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 14.96 | 4.55 | -1.63 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.91 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 41 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 1.3 | 0.49 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 42 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.01 | 4.18 | 11.96 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 43 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 2.64 | 12.53 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 44 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.59 | 5 | 7.7 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 45 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.35 | 4.7 | 15.97 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 46 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.24 | 0.91 | 12.3 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 47 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.96 | -2.55 | 14.31 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 4.3 | 13.06 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 49 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.19 | 1.36 | 11.37 | 6 | -1 |
| 50 | Kansas | Big 8 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 1.08 | 10.54 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 51 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.53 | 1.08 | 5.67 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 52 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -4.91 | 12.46 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 53 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.16 | 2.27 | 11.64 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 54 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 11.16 | 2.7 | 11.34 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 55 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -1.3 | 10.76 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 56 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.38 | 0.09 | 10.99 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 57 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.06 | -1.91 | 5.08 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 58 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -1.55 | 12.83 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 59 | Pacific | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.74 | -0.27 | 7.41 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 60 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.66 | -1.73 | 14.23 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 61 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.4 | -2.91 | 12.8 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.33 | -2.82 | 11.93 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 63 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.32 | 2.82 | 12.42 | 6.18 | -2.18 |
| 64 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.25 | -1.91 | 8.2 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 65 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.16 | -5.7 | 2.44 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 66 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.84 | 6.45 | -1.33 | 7.05 | -3.05 |
| 67 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.72 | -5.64 | 9.86 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 68 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.69 | 0.82 | 10.52 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 69 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.55 | 0.91 | 8.47 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 70 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -6.58 | 13.78 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 71 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.08 | -14.82 | 11.96 | 1.69 | 3.31 |
| 72 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.04 | -2.73 | 11.65 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.57 | -6 | 11.95 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 74 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.33 | -3.8 | 2.18 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 75 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.14 | -2.91 | 10.57 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 76 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.02 | 0.4 | 9.41 | 5.1 | -2.1 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.83 | -3.36 | 7.13 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 78 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -4.73 | 10.72 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 79 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -5.36 | 11.1 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.68 | -6.18 | 12.59 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 81 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -7.73 | 11.62 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 82 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -5.82 | 6.66 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -8.09 | 10.84 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 84 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -7.27 | 10 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 85 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -5.36 | 5.63 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 86 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -7.08 | 13.75 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 87 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.8 | -13.09 | 4.61 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.51 | -11.2 | 10.25 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 89 | Houston | Southwest | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -9 | 13.87 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 90 | Rice | Southwest | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.7 | -16.7 | 14.75 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 91 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.57 | -5.91 | 8.66 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 92 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11.45 | 11.57 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 93 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -10.82 | 9.66 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 94 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.04 | -12.91 | 11.98 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 95 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -12.91 | 8.81 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 96 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -14.73 | 11.43 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 97 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -18.36 | 9.16 | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| 98 | TCU | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.69 | -21.18 | 9.55 | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| 99 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.52 | -5.73 | 11.25 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 100 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.67 | -10 | 11.43 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 101 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.65 | -10.64 | 11.78 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 102 | San José State | PCAA | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.53 | -11.55 | 9.62 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.35 | -16.3 | 13.7 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 104 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.09 | -11.27 | 8.5 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 105 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.6 | -20.91 | 6.85 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 106 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.06 | -15.6 | 10.49 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 107 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.01 | -12.36 | 12.72 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 108 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.04 | -17.7 | 11.96 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 109 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -16.27 | 9.85 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 110 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.25 | -17.64 | 8.18 | 0.8 | 0.2 |