Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.249392+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fresno State | PCAA | 11-0-1 | 0.92 | 24.06 | 22.67 | 6.34 | 10.54 | 0.46 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.73 | 22.33 | 14.01 | 11.45 | -0.45 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-1 | 0.83 | 23.46 | 20.33 | 14.19 | 11.41 | -1.41 |
| 4 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 12-1-0 | 0.92 | 23 | 22.38 | 10.02 | 11.8 | 0.2 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.88 | 11.27 | 14.7 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-1-2 | 0.75 | 22.87 | 15.42 | 13.4 | 10.56 | -1.56 |
| 7 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.85 | 10.17 | 12.11 | 9.61 | 1.39 |
| 8 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.18 | 11 | 8.36 | 9.01 | 1.99 |
| 9 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 21.08 | 12.45 | 10.6 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.23 | 17.58 | 12.26 | 10.21 | -0.21 |
| 11 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.07 | 11.42 | 14.9 | 9.5 | -0.5 |
| 12 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.92 | 12.42 | 13.7 | 9.33 | -0.33 |
| 13 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.89 | 14.92 | 11.29 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 14 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.81 | 14.75 | 10.78 | 10.41 | -0.41 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.06 | 7.75 | 10.39 | 9.33 | -0.33 |
| 16 | BYU | Western Athletic | 11-3-0 | 0.79 | 20.02 | 18.29 | 10.47 | 12.41 | -1.41 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 10 | 9.08 | 9.87 | -0.87 |
| 18 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 21.5 | 12.06 | 10.85 | -1.85 |
| 19 | Maryland | ACC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.22 | 11.17 | 13.48 | 9.34 | -0.34 |
| 20 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.21 | 5 | 9.66 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 21 | Baylor | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 11.75 | 12.51 | 9.91 | -0.91 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 9.42 | 13.34 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 23 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.98 | 12 | 11.63 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 24 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.21 | 8.83 | 10.91 | 9.42 | -1.42 |
| 25 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3-2 | 0.58 | 18.04 | 10.5 | 13.58 | 9.45 | -2.45 |
| 26 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.75 | 13.67 | 2.9 | 9.36 | -0.36 |
| 27 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 11.33 | 15.26 | 9.21 | -1.21 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 9.75 | 12.73 | 9.33 | -1.33 |
| 29 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.91 | 5.1 | 9.07 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 30 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.83 | 2.82 | 11.15 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 5.58 | 10.98 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 32 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 5.17 | 8.33 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 33 | Texas | Southwest | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 15.83 | 0.92 | 12.53 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| 34 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.36 | 8.73 | 4.57 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 35 | Illinois State | Missouri Valley | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 14.76 | 4.55 | -1.75 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 36 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.68 | 7.42 | 10.57 | 8.51 | -1.51 |
| 37 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 4.5 | 12.46 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 38 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.47 | 3.25 | 13.16 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 39 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.46 | 4.42 | 11.66 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 40 | West Texas A&M | Missouri Valley | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.4 | 1.3 | 0.32 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 41 | SMU | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.15 | 6.27 | 12.9 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 42 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 13.75 | 1.08 | 12.21 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 43 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.53 | 4.09 | 9.78 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 44 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.36 | 5 | 7.15 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 45 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3 | 12.5 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 46 | Clemson | ACC | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 1.83 | 12.05 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.95 | 1.36 | 11.23 | 6 | -1 |
| 48 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 11.72 | -2.5 | 14.17 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 49 | Kansas | Big 8 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.71 | 1.08 | 9.68 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 50 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 11.35 | 1.08 | 5.93 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 51 | Tulsa | Missouri Valley | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.08 | -4.91 | 11.92 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 52 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-6-1 | 0.42 | 11.02 | 2.08 | 11.02 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 53 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.35 | -0.36 | 16.85 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 54 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.34 | -4.64 | 3.14 | 4.22 | 1.78 |
| 55 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.19 | 0.09 | 10.85 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 56 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 9.93 | -1.91 | 5.08 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 57 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.53 | -1.73 | 13.43 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 58 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.47 | -1.55 | 11.84 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 59 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-6-2 | 0.33 | 9.43 | 0.58 | 11.85 | 6.19 | -2.19 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.19 | -2.91 | 12.67 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 61 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.19 | 2.82 | 11.51 | 6.18 | -2.18 |
| 62 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.16 | -2.45 | 11 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.1 | -2.82 | 11.25 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 64 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.06 | -1.91 | 7.77 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 65 | Pacific | PCAA | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.74 | -0.75 | 7.15 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 66 | Southern Illinois | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.72 | 6.45 | -1.35 | 7.05 | -3.05 |
| 67 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.59 | 1.27 | 8.78 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 68 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.56 | -5.64 | 9.71 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 69 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.51 | 0.82 | 10.12 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 70 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.4 | 0.91 | 7.95 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 71 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -6.58 | 13.52 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.01 | -14.82 | 11.66 | 1.69 | 3.31 |
| 73 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8 | -2.73 | 11.28 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 74 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.47 | -6 | 10.74 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 75 | Indiana State | Missouri Valley | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.24 | -3.8 | 2.25 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 76 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7 | -2.91 | 10.25 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.74 | -3.36 | 7.09 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 78 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.71 | -4.73 | 10.4 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 79 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.64 | -5.36 | 10.69 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.62 | -6.18 | 12.02 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 81 | Houston | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -7.82 | 12.17 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 82 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.43 | -7.73 | 11.3 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.4 | -7.27 | 9.93 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 84 | Drake | Missouri Valley | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -5.36 | 5.59 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 85 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -5.82 | 6.59 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 86 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -8.09 | 10.76 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 87 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -7.08 | 13.12 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 88 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.71 | -13.09 | 4.26 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 89 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.7 | -12.91 | 11.07 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 90 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -5.91 | 8.41 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -11.45 | 10.99 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 92 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -10.82 | 9.22 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 93 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.04 | -12.91 | 11.67 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 94 | Rice | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -15.55 | 13.33 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 95 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -14.55 | 11.86 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 96 | Wichita State | Missouri Valley | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -12.91 | 8.74 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 97 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -14.73 | 11.24 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 98 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.71 | -18.36 | 9.12 | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| 99 | TCU | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.6 | -21.18 | 9.14 | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| 100 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.46 | -5.73 | 10.94 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 101 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.59 | -10.64 | 11.38 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 102 | San José State | PCAA | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.5 | -11.55 | 9.95 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.13 | -10.91 | 11.88 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 104 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -11.27 | 8.5 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 105 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.58 | -20.91 | 6.8 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 106 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0 | -12.36 | 12.06 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 107 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -15.27 | 10.52 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.27 | 10.02 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 109 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.36 | 10.4 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 110 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.64 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |