Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.420209+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 17.25 | 12.82 | 10.83 | 1.17 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.87 | 35.58 | 12.83 | 11.85 | -0.85 |
| 3 | Miami | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.5 | 23.33 | 12.33 | 11.09 | -0.09 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-1-1 | 0.83 | 22.93 | 17.67 | 11.87 | 10.5 | -0.5 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-2-0 | 0.85 | 21.49 | 13.54 | 12.28 | 10.59 | 0.41 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 23.42 | 11.03 | 10.96 | -0.96 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.63 | 22.75 | 7.84 | 11.3 | -1.3 |
| 8 | San José State | PCAA | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.49 | 13.75 | 9.13 | 9.38 | 0.62 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3-0 | 0.77 | 19.92 | 14.46 | 13.8 | 11.18 | -1.18 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2-2 | 0.67 | 19.84 | 9.08 | 11.08 | 8.98 | -0.98 |
| 11 | Fresno State | PCAA | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.64 | 13.82 | 5.3 | 9.24 | -0.24 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-3-0 | 0.77 | 19.63 | 12.92 | 12.56 | 10.76 | -0.76 |
| 13 | LSU | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 10.08 | 15.33 | 9.21 | -0.21 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 6.5 | 6.84 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 15 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 19.04 | 13.58 | 14.52 | 9.44 | -1.44 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 12.33 | 11.38 | 9.42 | -0.42 |
| 17 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 14.75 | 10.56 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 18 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 10.58 | 11.64 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 19 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.94 | 15.08 | 13.18 | 9.89 | -1.89 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.9 | 13.08 | 10.34 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 21 | Baylor | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 9.83 | 9.79 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 22 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 8.75 | 9.6 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 23 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 6.08 | 9.77 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 4.5 | 9.53 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 25 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7.33 | 13.28 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 26 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 16.85 | 14.58 | 13.41 | 9.62 | -2.62 |
| 27 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 9.83 | 10.13 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 28 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 6.33 | 11.82 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 15.87 | 1.08 | 12.38 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 30 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.72 | 9.73 | 6.77 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 31 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-5-0 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 5.69 | 10.97 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 32 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.35 | 2.17 | 11.33 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 33 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.89 | 1.73 | 8.47 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.32 | 2.08 | 14.07 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 35 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.21 | 3.67 | 10.71 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.17 | 8 | 11.57 | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| 37 | Florida | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.05 | 4.55 | 13.92 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 38 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.62 | 3.36 | 11.81 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 39 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 13.32 | 0.25 | 11.79 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 40 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.29 | 2.64 | 9.99 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 41 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 13.28 | 0.25 | 11.46 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 42 | UNLV | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.02 | 4.09 | 5.17 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 43 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.96 | 1.27 | 10.36 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 44 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.84 | 1.18 | 9.49 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 45 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 4.08 | 13.05 | 7.57 | -1.57 |
| 46 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.77 | 4.64 | 12.61 | 6.88 | -1.88 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.73 | 4 | 13.14 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.7 | 6.45 | 9.7 | 7.32 | -2.32 |
| 49 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.6 | 3.45 | 2.2 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 50 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.46 | 2.91 | 12.36 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 51 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 3.83 | 9.79 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 52 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.28 | 1.91 | 12.92 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 53 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 2.25 | 10.92 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 12.16 | 7.27 | 14.97 | 7.44 | -2.44 |
| 55 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.8 | -0.18 | 6.39 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 56 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.69 | -0.91 | 8.99 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 57 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.69 | -0.91 | 9.01 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 58 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.48 | -0.55 | 5.15 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 59 | SMU | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.43 | -3.36 | 13.21 | 4.59 | 1.41 |
| 60 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.16 | -1.45 | 5.36 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 61 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.91 | 2.73 | 8.21 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 62 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.78 | -4.91 | 8.57 | 3.97 | 2.03 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.75 | -7.27 | 11.21 | 3.38 | 2.62 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -4.58 | 13.1 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 65 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.03 | -2.6 | 8.2 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 66 | Texas | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.55 | -1.45 | 12.61 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 67 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2.27 | 12.56 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 68 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.56 | -7.09 | 11.9 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 69 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.54 | -9.36 | 14.58 | 3.27 | 1.73 |
| 70 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 8.54 | 2.45 | 13.06 | 6.09 | -3.09 |
| 71 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.46 | -6.73 | 9.99 | 3.04 | 1.96 |
| 72 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.1 | -9.91 | 8.59 | 2.69 | 2.31 |
| 73 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.97 | 0.18 | 6.91 | 5.55 | -1.55 |
| 74 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.89 | -3.09 | 8.99 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 75 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -1.75 | 10.21 | 5.54 | -1.54 |
| 76 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.91 | 12.97 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 77 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -6.27 | 9.18 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -7.64 | 10.79 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 79 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.34 | -10 | 13.13 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 80 | Rice | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.9 | -13.18 | 8.23 | 2.23 | 1.77 |
| 81 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -6.83 | 9.67 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 82 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.16 | -8.27 | 14.57 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 83 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -6.73 | 11.03 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 84 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -6.18 | 3.29 | 3.91 | -0.91 |
| 85 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 4.23 | -5.42 | 12.79 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 86 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -10.73 | 11.37 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 87 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -11.55 | 12.6 | 2 | 1 |
| 88 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -9.91 | 9.35 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 89 | Virginia | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -10.64 | 10.82 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 90 | TCU | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -10.64 | 8.87 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 91 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -11.27 | 8.11 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 92 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -10.45 | 5.2 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -15.91 | 13.62 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 94 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -7.92 | 6.32 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 95 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.63 | -19.55 | 8.04 | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 96 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.09 | 13.1 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 97 | California | Pac-10 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -16.36 | 15.36 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 98 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.91 | 9.83 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 99 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -16.09 | 12.77 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 100 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.67 | -19 | 8.03 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 101 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.01 | -12.09 | 7.68 | 2.49 | -1.49 |
| 102 | Houston | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.03 | -12.91 | 13.64 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 103 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -14 | 13.19 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 104 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.23 | -17.09 | 8.41 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.64 | 9.44 | 1.47 | -0.47 |