Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.416300+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.81 | 15.88 | 13.3 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 2 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 27.25 | 10.81 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 17.88 | 12.32 | 6.92 | 1.08 |
| 4 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.68 | 22 | 11.37 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.5 | 35.62 | 12.7 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.86 | 18.22 | 10.79 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.28 | 22.25 | 8.08 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.11 | 16.38 | 8.38 | 7 | 0 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.03 | 12.5 | 9.09 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.77 | 27.38 | 3.59 | 7.72 | -0.72 |
| 11 | NC State | ACC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.44 | 4 | 12.92 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 12 | Fresno State | PCAA | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.31 | 15.88 | 4.04 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.46 | 20.75 | 14.47 | 7.12 | -1.12 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 13.33 | 12.25 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 15 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 15.88 | 14.12 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 16 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.82 | 15 | 8.79 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 17 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 18.62 | 10.92 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 18 | San José State | PCAA | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.61 | 9.67 | 9.4 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 19 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 11.25 | 12.86 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 20 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 12.75 | 9.77 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.27 | 9 | 17.04 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 22 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 3.75 | 15.72 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 9.38 | 10.95 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 10 | 9.96 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 25 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.69 | 6 | 9.76 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 26 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.69 | 6.78 | 9.58 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 27 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.46 | 6.89 | 7.95 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 28 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.42 | 9.14 | 12.19 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 29 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.14 | 7.5 | 11.81 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 30 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.95 | 4.5 | 12.65 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 31 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.24 | 4.29 | 8.09 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 32 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 12.56 | 5.78 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 33 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.43 | 10.5 | 12.82 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 34 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 10 | 9.96 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 35 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.06 | 8 | 11.21 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 36 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 4.5 | 12.6 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 37 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.9 | 14 | 14.66 | 6.34 | -2.34 |
| 38 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 5.62 | 11.75 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 39 | SMU | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 3.75 | 12.5 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 40 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 6.12 | 9.49 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 41 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.63 | 2.44 | 4.06 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 42 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.26 | 1.67 | 3.97 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 43 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.08 | 9.62 | 10.14 | 5.99 | -1.99 |
| 44 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.92 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.81 | 1.5 | 9.95 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 46 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.58 | -1.33 | 7.82 | 4.18 | 1.82 |
| 47 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.42 | 4.38 | 11.25 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.95 | 2.33 | 12.21 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 49 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.86 | 2.71 | 8.7 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 50 | Florida | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 5.12 | 15.77 | 5.25 | -1.25 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.17 | -4.62 | 14.02 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 52 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.1 | -3.75 | 11.98 | 3.27 | 1.73 |
| 53 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 4.5 | 13.87 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 54 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 7 | 8.02 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 55 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 2.62 | 12.46 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 56 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 3 | 7.05 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 57 | UNLV | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 4.38 | 4.84 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 58 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.11 | -2.22 | 13.32 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 59 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.97 | 7.71 | 15.7 | 5.06 | -2.06 |
| 60 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.92 | -1.33 | 8.69 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 61 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 11.39 | 2.62 | 14.79 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 62 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -6.88 | 12.79 | 2.74 | 1.26 |
| 63 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10 | -4.38 | 6.71 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 64 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.68 | -6.25 | 8.52 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 65 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.98 | -4.38 | 14.82 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 66 | Texas | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.61 | -6.71 | 14.69 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 67 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.51 | -6.44 | 9.32 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 68 | TCU | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.23 | -0.25 | 7.66 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 69 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.01 | -10 | 8.58 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 70 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.74 | -3.38 | 15.51 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 71 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 7.73 | 2.12 | 12.49 | 4.39 | -2.39 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -5.12 | 11.08 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 73 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.31 | -3.25 | 4.54 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 74 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.14 | -5.88 | 11.6 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 75 | Duke | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -8.12 | 9.15 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 76 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.86 | -6.75 | 5.33 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 77 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -1.78 | 8.59 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 78 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.6 | -11.25 | 6.38 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| 79 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -3.89 | 12.36 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 80 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -6.89 | 4.67 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 81 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -14.89 | 17.86 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| 82 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -5.57 | 13.78 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 83 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.68 | -2.62 | 8.15 | 3.42 | -1.42 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -8.62 | 9.87 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 85 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -11.62 | 13.62 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 86 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -11.88 | 14.2 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 87 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -10.62 | 10.71 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 88 | Utah State | PCAA | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -11.12 | 9.67 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -14.25 | 14.26 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 90 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12.12 | 8.49 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 91 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -14.25 | 6.98 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 92 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -15.62 | 12.8 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 93 | Rice | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -18 | 8.66 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 94 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -7.33 | 10.14 | 3.15 | -1.15 |
| 95 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -7.2 | 5.08 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 96 | Houston | Southwest | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.79 | -11.75 | 16.17 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 97 | California | Pac-10 | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.64 | -14 | 14.76 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -14.88 | 13.57 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 99 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.42 | -13.56 | 14.04 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 100 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.27 | -17.75 | 9.92 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 101 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.18 | -18.22 | 12.84 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 102 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -18.11 | 11.86 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.16 | -21.1 | 9.58 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 104 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.07 | -12.56 | 9.82 | 1.83 | -1.83 |
| 105 | Utah | Western Athletic | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -24 | 16.14 | 0.99 | -0.99 |