Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.416684+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 27.22 | 11.65 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 19.78 | 12.14 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 3 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-0-1 | 0.89 | 25.52 | 19.56 | 11.61 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.33 | 18.56 | 10.86 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.45 | 40.22 | 11.18 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.46 | 22.11 | 8.4 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.96 | 29.33 | 4.51 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 8 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.86 | 12.5 | 8.53 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 9 | Fresno State | PCAA | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.65 | 17.33 | 4.94 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.91 | 16 | 12.11 | 8.79 | -0.79 |
| 11 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.75 | 20.22 | 13.55 | 8.01 | -1.01 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 14.1 | 11.16 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 13 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 10.56 | 13.27 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.06 | 8.38 | 18.15 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20 | 11.44 | 11.69 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 16 | San José State | PCAA | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.97 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 17 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.88 | 12.89 | 9.51 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 18 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.87 | 14.11 | 9.8 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 19 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.19 | 8.88 | 12.15 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 3.75 | 14.95 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 18.79 | 6.9 | 6.17 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 22 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.63 | 6.78 | 9.42 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 23 | NC State | ACC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.58 | 3.11 | 11.58 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 24 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 13.56 | 14.3 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 25 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.92 | 13.4 | 8.38 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.7 | 16.11 | 10.62 | 7.64 | -1.64 |
| 27 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 10.56 | 11.71 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 28 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.24 | 12 | 5.05 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 29 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 7.44 | 10.95 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 7.56 | 9.69 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 31 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 6 | 11.47 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 32 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 16.8 | 14.33 | 14.21 | 7.09 | -2.09 |
| 33 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.63 | 4.22 | 9.68 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 34 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.91 | 5.89 | 11.18 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 35 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.7 | 9 | 8.5 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 36 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.16 | 5 | 11.02 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 37 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.14 | 2.88 | 8.72 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 38 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.06 | 0.89 | 12.51 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 39 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15 | 9 | 13.01 | 6.53 | -1.53 |
| 40 | Florida | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.85 | 5.89 | 15.49 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 41 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.76 | -1.67 | 12.94 | 4.14 | 1.86 |
| 42 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.64 | 2.5 | 6.41 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 43 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.45 | -1.33 | 8.69 | 4.18 | 1.82 |
| 44 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 4.78 | 12.9 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 45 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.2 | 4.44 | 10.2 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 46 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.07 | 1.9 | 5.53 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 47 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.06 | 2.89 | 11.24 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 48 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.86 | 10.75 | 15.67 | 6.08 | -2.08 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.47 | 0 | 8.87 | 5 | 1 |
| 50 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.45 | 0.8 | 3.25 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 51 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.32 | 3 | 4.46 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 52 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 13.2 | 5.56 | 12.22 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 53 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.09 | -3.75 | 11.94 | 3.27 | 1.73 |
| 54 | SMU | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.99 | -0.22 | 12.53 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.92 | 3.67 | 13.78 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 56 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.42 | -1 | 10.98 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.45 | -5.33 | 12.41 | 3.38 | 1.62 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.42 | 6 | 7.68 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.39 | -3.67 | 9.26 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 60 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.29 | 2.11 | 13.38 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 61 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 2.22 | 6.76 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 62 | Texas | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.37 | -3.38 | 12.78 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 63 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -6.5 | 14.04 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 64 | UNLV | PCAA | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.2 | 0.67 | 6.14 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -5.5 | 9.77 | 3.18 | 1.82 |
| 66 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.46 | -8.9 | 9.39 | 2.71 | 2.29 |
| 67 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.37 | -2 | 13.96 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.01 | -2.33 | 10.16 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.49 | -5.22 | 7.63 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 70 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.35 | -4.89 | 7.04 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 71 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.28 | -7 | 9.51 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 72 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.02 | -1.12 | 11.36 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 73 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.44 | -6.67 | 15.59 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 74 | TCU | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -2.67 | 8.01 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 75 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -3.89 | 4.83 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 76 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -6.44 | 10.22 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 77 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.92 | -2.3 | 9.85 | 4.52 | -1.52 |
| 78 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 5.92 | 0 | 13 | 4.5 | -2.5 |
| 79 | Virginia | ACC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7.22 | 10.94 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 80 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -9.78 | 14.66 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 81 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.67 | -4.2 | 12.36 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 82 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.66 | -14.89 | 17.78 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| 83 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -12.22 | 15.26 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 84 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -9.44 | 9.94 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 85 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -9.56 | 8.8 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 86 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -10.78 | 7.12 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 87 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.98 | -6.9 | 3.86 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 88 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.66 | -4.67 | 8.9 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 89 | Rice | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -18 | 8.75 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 90 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -12.11 | 14 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 91 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.85 | -16.56 | 13.74 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 92 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -14.89 | 7.22 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 93 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -18 | 12.6 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 94 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.73 | -9.5 | 10.31 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 95 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.65 | -9.4 | 12.51 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 96 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.27 | -8.73 | 6.78 | 3.28 | -1.28 |
| 97 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.26 | -15.6 | 11.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 98 | Houston | Southwest | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.47 | -12.67 | 15.16 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.35 | -14.56 | 13.44 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 100 | Utah | Western Athletic | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -19.75 | 16.48 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 101 | California | Pac-10 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.89 | 15.51 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 102 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -18.22 | 12.31 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 103 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -19.11 | 8.92 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.17 | -21.1 | 9.58 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 105 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.12 | -14.1 | 8.65 | 1.85 | -1.85 |