Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.414472+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-0-0 | 1 | 28.02 | 22.5 | 15.27 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.93 | 9.33 | 18.17 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.9 | 32 | 12.96 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 4 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-0-1 | 0.67 | 27.68 | 14 | 17.08 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 5 | Arkansas | Southwest | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.07 | 23 | 10.34 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 6 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.02 | 22 | 10.41 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 7 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.98 | 20.33 | 11.03 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 8 | NC State | ACC | 3-0-1 | 0.75 | 26.97 | 11 | 13.81 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 9 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.84 | 50.67 | 8.01 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 10 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-0-1 | 0.67 | 26.81 | 11 | 12.41 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 11 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-0-1 | 0.75 | 26.46 | 7 | 12.33 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 12 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 22.33 | 7.28 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.06 | 16.5 | 7.25 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 14 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-0-1 | 0.67 | 25.43 | 17 | 4.58 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 15 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 13 | 5 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 3-0-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 33 | 0.49 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-0-0 | 1 | 24.55 | 7.33 | 3.56 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 18 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-0-0 | 1 | 24.16 | 17.33 | -1.63 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 19 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-0-0 | 1 | 23.43 | 34.67 | -7.67 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 20 | Maryland | ACC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 21.04 | 6.5 | 13.89 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 21 | 28.67 | 17.4 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 22 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.85 | 15.5 | 13.21 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 23 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.64 | 5 | 17.29 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 24 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.62 | 14.25 | 11.54 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 25 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 20.59 | 18 | 17.61 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 26 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.23 | 3.75 | 16.32 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 27 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.85 | 8 | 9.92 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 28 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 17.5 | 4.56 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 29 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 13 | 6.38 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 2-1-1 | 0.5 | 19.3 | 11 | 21.34 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 31 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 3.25 | 9.85 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 32 | SMU | Southwest | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.05 | 7.33 | 19.5 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 33 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 9.5 | 4.22 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 34 | UNLV | PCAA | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.89 | 11 | 2.99 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 35 | TCU | Southwest | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.71 | 6.67 | 10.57 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 36 | Duke | ACC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.54 | 2.25 | 7.9 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 37 | Clemson | ACC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.29 | 7 | 18.19 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 38 | Georgia | SEC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.03 | 8.67 | 11.34 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.99 | 4.67 | 17.93 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 40 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.78 | 2 | 14.44 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 13.67 | 8.36 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 42 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 9.33 | 8.29 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 43 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 17.42 | 1.75 | -4 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 12.33 | 7.94 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 45 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 11 | 6.1 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 46 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-1-1 | 0.5 | 16.91 | 6.5 | 6.73 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16.47 | 3.67 | 7.2 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 48 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16.18 | 6.33 | -1.73 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 49 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 15.87 | -4.25 | 4.34 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 50 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.6 | 8.6 | 5.08 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 51 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 14.28 | -1 | 4.16 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 52 | LSU | SEC | 1-1-0 | 0.5 | 14.19 | 4.5 | 15.54 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 53 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 3.25 | 8.57 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 54 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 5.5 | 12.63 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 55 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 1 | 8.94 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 56 | San José State | PCAA | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 0.75 | 15.93 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 57 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 5.25 | 5.54 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 58 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.08 | -6.5 | 22.38 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.73 | -2.5 | 11.62 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 60 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-1-1 | 0.33 | 11.39 | -3.33 | 2.83 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 61 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.38 | -4.25 | 8.47 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 62 | Texas | Southwest | 1-1-0 | 0.5 | 11.37 | -4.5 | 19.74 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 63 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.01 | -12.25 | 15.85 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| 64 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -0.75 | 7.51 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -10 | 12.63 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 66 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -7.25 | 11.28 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 67 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 1-2-1 | 0.25 | 9.99 | 1.25 | 21.46 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 68 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -7 | 9.56 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 69 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 9.25 | 8.67 | 16.45 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 70 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.94 | -5 | 11.39 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 1-2-1 | 0.25 | 8.92 | 0.75 | 16.02 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 72 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.9 | -1.67 | 11.54 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 73 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.6 | -2.67 | 22.21 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 74 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.42 | -5.33 | 13.74 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 75 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 7.32 | 5.75 | -0.22 | 2.45 | -1.45 |
| 76 | California | Pac-10 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -5.67 | 8.39 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 77 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.7 | -14.33 | 17.75 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 78 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -8 | 11.58 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 79 | Houston | Southwest | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -9.33 | 16.6 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 80 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.59 | -10 | 6.21 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 81 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.58 | -6.67 | 7.86 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 82 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -12.33 | 21.35 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 83 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -12.33 | 8.94 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 84 | Florida | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.15 | -1 | 16.05 | 1.87 | -0.87 |
| 85 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.66 | -1.75 | 12.75 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 86 | Rice | Southwest | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.12 | -17.67 | -1.21 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 87 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.02 | -3.5 | 10.47 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 88 | Virginia | ACC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.97 | -5.25 | 14.58 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 89 | Toledo | Mid-American | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.61 | -6.5 | 9.34 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 90 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -11.5 | 13.83 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4 | -9 | 5.21 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.71 | -15 | 10.97 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 93 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.51 | -12.8 | -1.68 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 94 | Colorado | Big 8 | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.74 | -6 | 16.85 | 1.31 | -1.31 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.79 | -6.5 | 16.02 | 1.43 | -1.43 |
| 96 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.84 | -6.75 | 18.75 | 1.28 | -1.28 |
| 97 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.33 | -15.75 | 9.48 | 0.58 | -0.58 |
| 98 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.51 | -21 | 6.17 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| 99 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.58 | -18.75 | 15.34 | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| 100 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.74 | -24.4 | 9.77 | 0.23 | -0.23 |
| 101 | Utah State | PCAA | 0-3-0 | 0 | -2.77 | -23 | 13.89 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-3-0 | 0 | -2.82 | -18.67 | 24.74 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| 103 | Utah | Western Athletic | 0-2-0 | 0 | -2.85 | -32.5 | 10.07 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-3-0 | 0 | -2.85 | -21.33 | 21.36 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| 105 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 0-4-0 | 0 | -3.06 | -25.25 | 24.24 | 0.26 | -0.26 |