Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.415519+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 26.3 | 11.5 | 15.23 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 2 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 22.83 | 9.8 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 28.57 | 8.54 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.24 | 25 | 7.11 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.21 | 10.5 | 10.33 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.09 | 21.29 | 7.02 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 23.97 | 31.83 | 0.3 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 8 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.67 | 24 | 14.78 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.53 | 31 | 12.85 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 10 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.26 | 27.17 | 10.38 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 11 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.58 | 11.67 | 11.78 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 12 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 13.83 | 10.2 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 15.17 | 10.01 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.43 | 7.6 | 17.51 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 15 | SMU | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 6.17 | 12.14 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 15.33 | 7.58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.9 | 10.17 | 10.68 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 10.17 | 8.18 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.42 | 7.43 | 3.05 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 20 | Fresno State | PCAA | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.29 | 17.33 | 2.83 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 21 | NC State | ACC | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 19.68 | 1.17 | 13.53 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.51 | 9.43 | 11.43 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 23 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 11.86 | 8.38 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 24 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.27 | 5.14 | 10.73 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 25 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.12 | 12.33 | 11.69 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 26 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.96 | 7.43 | 8.94 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 27 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.87 | 6.67 | 15.84 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 28 | San José State | PCAA | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.78 | 2.86 | 11.95 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 7.17 | 12.83 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 30 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 2.17 | 16.1 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 31 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 6.67 | 12.72 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 32 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 4.5 | 10.48 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 33 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 5.33 | 11.72 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 34 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.99 | 6.14 | 9.65 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 35 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.79 | 15.67 | 16.08 | 5.09 | -2.09 |
| 36 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.74 | 4 | 7.71 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 1.17 | 13.81 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.43 | 7.5 | 13.98 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 39 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.42 | 2.14 | 3.63 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 40 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 5.5 | 3.88 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 41 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.08 | 3.5 | 3.37 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 42 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.95 | 5.5 | 14.16 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 43 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.83 | 10.62 | 6.53 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 44 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.69 | 6.5 | 11.02 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 45 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.54 | 9.86 | 11.78 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 46 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 9.14 | 8.41 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 47 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.74 | 2.29 | 13.3 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 48 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 7.57 | 6.81 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 49 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.43 | 4.2 | 5.67 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 50 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.13 | -3.17 | 8.66 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 51 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.01 | -0.2 | 9.33 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 52 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 13.89 | -1.5 | 13.62 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 53 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 4.83 | 15.78 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 54 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 3.5 | 14.71 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 55 | UNLV | PCAA | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 5.83 | 7.23 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 56 | Maryland | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 2.5 | 11.05 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 57 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 5.83 | 3.35 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 58 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.93 | -5.57 | 13.78 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 59 | Florida | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.85 | 5.71 | 15.62 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 60 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.45 | -1.43 | 0.27 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -1.83 | 5.21 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 10.36 | 1 | 14.16 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 63 | Duke | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -4.83 | 8.77 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 64 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -6.17 | 12.18 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 65 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -3.17 | 2.83 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 66 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.47 | 5.83 | 16.93 | 4.08 | -2.08 |
| 67 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.04 | -8.14 | 20.39 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 68 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.47 | -5.14 | 11.43 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 69 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -9.43 | 11.91 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| 70 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -4.14 | 2.01 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 71 | Colorado | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.31 | 1.5 | 13.92 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 72 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.09 | -11.14 | 10.12 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 73 | Texas | Southwest | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.84 | -9.6 | 14.95 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 74 | TCU | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.04 | -1.17 | 7.4 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.84 | -2.17 | 9.29 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 76 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -3.33 | 6.24 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 77 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -6.33 | 14.78 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 78 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -5.5 | 13.52 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 79 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -7 | 12.41 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 80 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -8.67 | 14.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 81 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -11.17 | 12.01 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 82 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.51 | -3.86 | 15.54 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 83 | Rice | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -13 | 5.11 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 84 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -10.83 | 5.99 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 85 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -5.29 | 9.74 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 86 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -16.71 | 19.34 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 87 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.39 | -5.25 | 10.1 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -6.38 | 1.76 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 89 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.67 | -2.83 | 13.95 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 90 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.72 | -5.67 | 16.66 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 91 | Houston | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.17 | -10.17 | 17.19 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 92 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.04 | -10.83 | 12.24 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -12.5 | 17.52 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 94 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -12.17 | 11.53 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 95 | California | Pac-10 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -12.83 | 13.79 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 96 | Utah State | PCAA | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -13.17 | 8.7 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 97 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -15.33 | 12.79 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -17 | 16.35 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 99 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.97 | -12.43 | 14.22 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 100 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.67 | -18.14 | 14.37 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.45 | -17.75 | 8.38 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 102 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.28 | -15.14 | 11.55 | 1.19 | -1.19 |
| 103 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.53 | -20.43 | 12.56 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 104 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.56 | -22.43 | 10.25 | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| 105 | Utah | Western Athletic | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.57 | -20.6 | 14.23 | 0.99 | -0.99 |