Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.415916+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.92 | 22.43 | 11.82 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.86 | 16.29 | 12.56 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 12.43 | 12.47 | 5.63 | 1.37 |
| 4 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 28.57 | 8.89 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.3 | 31.43 | 2.81 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.25 | 32 | 13.8 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 7 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.93 | 25.57 | 12.88 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.71 | 16.12 | 10.16 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 9 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.38 | 24.29 | 9.97 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.34 | 10.83 | 17.68 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.88 | 20 | 6.85 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 12 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.77 | 14.29 | 8.89 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 13 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.62 | 15.57 | 7.75 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 14 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.57 | 13.71 | 8.08 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 15 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.03 | 16.71 | 4.19 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 16 | NC State | ACC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.02 | 4.43 | 13.83 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 12.38 | 12.01 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 18 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.24 | 11.14 | 16.62 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 19 | San José State | PCAA | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 6.12 | 11.77 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 20 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 12.12 | 7.48 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 21 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 6 | 10.49 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 22 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 8.57 | 12.39 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.61 | 9.29 | 13.15 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 24 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.43 | 9.14 | 11.97 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 25 | Clemson | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.43 | 9.57 | 10.14 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 26 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 3.29 | 16.15 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.27 | 18.57 | 13.82 | 6.09 | -2.09 |
| 28 | SMU | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.1 | 4.86 | 11.09 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 29 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.05 | 5.29 | 11.98 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 30 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.85 | 2.88 | 5.57 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 31 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.7 | 7.38 | 7.89 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.59 | 7.5 | 7.11 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 33 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.55 | 11.57 | 11.46 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 34 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 17.38 | 3.62 | 2.87 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 35 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.32 | 4.86 | 11.95 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 36 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.87 | 6.71 | 2.46 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 37 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.68 | 2.71 | 12.73 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 38 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.24 | 10 | 10.68 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 39 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.97 | 1.67 | 9.01 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 40 | Temple | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 6.12 | 8.74 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 41 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.69 | 10.62 | 5.76 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 42 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.28 | 7.14 | 12.6 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 43 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 7.86 | 13.16 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 44 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.83 | 5.43 | 12.56 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 45 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.64 | 9.14 | 7.12 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 46 | Maryland | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.39 | 3.29 | 11.62 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.79 | 1 | 2.46 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 48 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.26 | 3.29 | 13.86 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 49 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.01 | 0.43 | 4.63 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 50 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.73 | -1.57 | 10.97 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 51 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 1.38 | 12.9 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 52 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 3 | 7.85 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 53 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.41 | -3.71 | 12.98 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 54 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1.33 | 9.58 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.22 | 1 | 12.68 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.02 | -4.43 | 11.29 | 2.74 | 1.26 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.01 | -5.57 | 14.17 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 58 | Florida | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.88 | 5.71 | 14.93 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 59 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.67 | -0.71 | 13.77 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 60 | Colorado | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.23 | 2.71 | 15.14 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 61 | UNLV | PCAA | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.16 | 4.86 | 7.08 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 62 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -6.5 | 16.47 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 63 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -7.5 | 15.69 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 64 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -4.12 | 9.34 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.95 | -6.25 | 11.5 | 2.41 | 1.59 |
| 66 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.61 | 5.83 | 16.54 | 4.08 | -2.08 |
| 67 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.11 | -1 | 4.06 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.69 | -3.43 | 11.82 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 69 | Duke | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.49 | -5.29 | 9.22 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 70 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 8.46 | 2.57 | 11.73 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -4.14 | 4.5 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 72 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.32 | -7.43 | 10.33 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.01 | -0.75 | 8.28 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 74 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.96 | -6.71 | 3.53 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 75 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.74 | -2.62 | 12.46 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 76 | Wichita State | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.08 | -4.25 | 2.95 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 77 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.78 | -11.75 | 9.88 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| 78 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.68 | -2.86 | 10.4 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 79 | TCU | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.68 | -2.57 | 8.7 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 80 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.41 | -5.57 | 14.18 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 81 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.39 | -4.43 | 15.24 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 82 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.06 | -8.29 | 12.61 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 83 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.06 | -6.29 | 13.72 | 2 | 0 |
| 84 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5 | -9.29 | 12.86 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 85 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.91 | -8 | 7.27 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 86 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.9 | -7.14 | 11.63 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 87 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.82 | -10.86 | 11.77 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 88 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.68 | -8.86 | 9.91 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 89 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.55 | -10.86 | 4.87 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 90 | Utah State | PCAA | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.5 | -11.14 | 9.28 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 91 | Rice | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.36 | -16.14 | 6.98 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 92 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -19 | 20.06 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 93 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.42 | -7.33 | 9.78 | 3.15 | -1.15 |
| 94 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -6.89 | 3.29 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 95 | Houston | Southwest | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.35 | -11.14 | 17.45 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 96 | California | Pac-10 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.18 | -13.43 | 15.81 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1 | -16.86 | 15.56 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 98 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -18 | 13.71 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 99 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.71 | -12.62 | 14.54 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 100 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.34 | -20.25 | 12.89 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -19.22 | 8.44 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 102 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.15 | -13.62 | 9.95 | 1.55 | -1.55 |
| 103 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.5 | -20.43 | 12.21 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 104 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.52 | -21.38 | 11.57 | 0.51 | -0.51 |
| 105 | Utah | Western Athletic | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.72 | -24.67 | 16.17 | 0.89 | -0.89 |