Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.580436+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.4 | 32.71 | 13.98 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 31.44 | 10.95 | 8.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 42.56 | 7.12 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 4 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.94 | 20.11 | 8.6 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 5 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.85 | 30 | 14.67 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 23.23 | 15.44 | 14.57 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 7 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.01 | 22 | 11.4 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.87 | 17.5 | 12.94 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.79 | 17.33 | 11.71 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.1 | 12.89 | 8.55 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 11 | San José State | PCAA | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 21.84 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 11.78 | 14.04 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 11.11 | 13.65 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 12.44 | 12.21 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 15 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.01 | 8.44 | 13.05 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 16 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.63 | 5.89 | 12.22 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.57 | 6.89 | 11.22 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 18 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.48 | 8.3 | 7.02 | 7.01 | 0.99 |
| 19 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.41 | 11.56 | 7.93 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 20 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.37 | 13.89 | 11.16 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 21 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.31 | 6.67 | 14.49 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 22 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.2 | 12.44 | 6.21 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 23 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 22.25 | 6.67 | 7.49 | -1.49 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 10.12 | 9.79 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 25 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.03 | 9.1 | 11.93 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 26 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 17.22 | 12.66 | 7.99 | -1.99 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 11.3 | 9.79 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 9.33 | 13.37 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 9.89 | 11.51 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 6.22 | 13.26 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 31 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 7.11 | 9.96 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 32 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 4.78 | 11.37 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 33 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.33 | 4.44 | 7.22 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 16.05 | 4.67 | 13.4 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 35 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.81 | 2.11 | 7.61 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 36 | Florida | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15.76 | 14 | 16.46 | 7.66 | -2.66 |
| 37 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.71 | 5.22 | 11.1 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 4.9 | 10.47 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 39 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.77 | 9.56 | 10.54 | 6.85 | -1.85 |
| 40 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.72 | 10.78 | 10.48 | 7.08 | -2.08 |
| 41 | TCU | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.36 | 6.22 | 9.75 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 42 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 14.34 | 5 | 9.45 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 43 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.24 | 2.78 | 13.2 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 44 | Fresno State | PCAA | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.99 | 6.78 | 7.15 | 6.21 | -1.21 |
| 45 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.91 | 7 | 6.12 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 46 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.41 | 2.22 | 8.23 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 47 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.1 | 0.67 | 8.61 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 48 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.06 | 0.89 | 7.44 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.01 | 0.44 | 10.48 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 50 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.17 | -2.67 | 13.72 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 51 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.98 | 5.11 | 2.41 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.69 | -2.56 | 8.37 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 53 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.69 | -1.89 | 8.29 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 54 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -0.9 | 15.33 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 55 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.32 | 5 | 7.99 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 56 | Texas | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -1 | 13.35 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 57 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.01 | 1 | 13.9 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 58 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -1.4 | 4.07 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 59 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -5.1 | 11.81 | 3.49 | 1.51 |
| 60 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -9.7 | 12.32 | 2.86 | 2.14 |
| 61 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.49 | -9.7 | 10.4 | 2.77 | 2.23 |
| 62 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.47 | -5.88 | 6.14 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.06 | -1.67 | 8.47 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.82 | -7.56 | 16.31 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 65 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -6.22 | 13.85 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 66 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.66 | -2.78 | 4.58 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 67 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.26 | 3.11 | 3.75 | 5.25 | -2.25 |
| 68 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -4 | 8.97 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.68 | -3.78 | 13.36 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 70 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.36 | -4.33 | 9.1 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.95 | -11.12 | 14.81 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | UNLV | PCAA | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.68 | -9 | 8.92 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.35 | -3.78 | 11.35 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.26 | -4.56 | 10.74 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 75 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -6.78 | 14.42 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 76 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -7.11 | 11.31 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 77 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -8.89 | 12.39 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 78 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7.78 | 9.91 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 79 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -8.56 | 14.86 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 80 | California | Pac-10 | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 5.81 | -2.75 | 15.74 | 3.45 | -1.45 |
| 81 | NC State | ACC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -9.89 | 11.22 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 82 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8.11 | 11.11 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 83 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -8.89 | 8.83 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 84 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.55 | -9.8 | 6.88 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 85 | Utah State | PCAA | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -12 | 13.03 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 86 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.33 | 9.07 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 87 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -7.89 | 3.4 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 88 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -10.8 | 14.58 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 89 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.57 | -18.2 | 11.07 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.15 | -8 | 14.05 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 91 | Houston | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -7.75 | 14.21 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 92 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.81 | -3.89 | 10.32 | 3.55 | -1.55 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.82 | -18.78 | 16.31 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 94 | Rice | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -18.11 | 11.97 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 95 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.63 | -17.78 | 5.54 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 96 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.61 | -22.56 | 12.92 | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| 97 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.69 | -9.33 | 14.11 | 2.5 | -1.5 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -11.11 | 13.96 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.48 | -17.22 | 14.05 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.46 | -12.56 | 10.71 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 101 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.89 | 7.57 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -24.33 | 10.11 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.38 | -18.38 | 11.97 | 1.12 | -1.12 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-8-1 | 0 | -2.69 | -27 | 12.08 | 0.62 | -0.62 |