Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.581155+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 28.11 | 10.67 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 36.09 | 8.56 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 19.09 | 8.24 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 4 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.49 | 30.1 | 12.3 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.49 | 27.3 | 12.29 | 9.39 | -0.39 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.95 | 14.91 | 12.31 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.74 | 17.2 | 11.82 | 8.96 | -0.96 |
| 8 | San José State | PCAA | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.1 | 17.91 | 5.69 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.4 | 20.64 | 12.16 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 10 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 17 | 14.7 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 15 | 10.69 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 12 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.55 | 13.82 | 9.44 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.53 | 9.55 | 13.75 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 14 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.45 | 12 | 8.84 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 15 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 22.1 | 8.95 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.28 | 15.36 | 10 | 9.03 | -1.03 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 11.3 | 10.72 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.89 | 9.36 | 6.96 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 19 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 11.75 | 10.83 | 9.03 | -0.03 |
| 20 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.01 | 10.75 | 10.84 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 8.09 | 13.69 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 22 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.63 | 8.64 | 12.51 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 23 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.52 | 6.09 | 13.4 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.29 | 9 | 14.5 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 25 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.25 | 5.36 | 12.13 | 6.88 | 1.12 |
| 26 | Alabama | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.05 | 6.9 | 14.18 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 27 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.01 | 4.55 | 11.22 | 6.86 | 1.14 |
| 28 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 4.8 | 11.83 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 29 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.46 | 10.5 | 8.14 | 7.72 | -0.72 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.94 | 14.09 | 12.07 | 9.3 | -2.3 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 16.26 | 13.9 | 14.46 | 8.49 | -2.49 |
| 32 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.93 | 6.82 | 8.26 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 33 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 6.6 | 12.06 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 34 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.27 | 3.91 | 14.07 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 35 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.23 | 1.91 | 8.8 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 36 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.9 | 0.91 | 9.59 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 37 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.86 | 1.45 | 7.94 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.84 | 4.45 | 9.42 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 39 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.74 | 2.64 | 11.7 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 40 | Texas | Southwest | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.56 | 1.3 | 13.57 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 41 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.53 | 10.91 | 10.81 | 8.51 | -2.51 |
| 42 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.67 | 7.36 | 6.55 | 7.79 | -1.79 |
| 43 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.76 | 0.55 | 9.31 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.68 | 0.18 | 12.07 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 45 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-4-2 | 0.4 | 12.66 | 4.3 | 10.34 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 46 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 6 | 7.05 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.56 | -1.9 | 8.3 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 48 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.11 | -0.45 | 8.95 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 49 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.93 | 6.45 | 11.32 | 7.5 | -2.5 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.92 | 1.73 | 7.62 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 51 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.91 | -0.64 | 7.69 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 52 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.58 | 0.91 | 8.33 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 53 | TCU | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.47 | 3.18 | 11.21 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 54 | Duke | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.38 | 5.27 | 7.92 | 6.87 | -1.87 |
| 55 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.34 | -4.09 | 12.46 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 56 | Missouri | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.14 | 1.55 | 13.25 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 57 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.83 | 0.64 | 12.25 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 58 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 10.56 | 4 | 2.73 | 5.94 | -1.94 |
| 59 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.98 | -0.55 | 12.7 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 60 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -4.3 | 7.92 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 61 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 9.61 | -7.33 | 10.09 | 4.02 | 1.98 |
| 62 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.6 | 4 | 1.4 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 63 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.46 | -3.36 | 15.94 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 64 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.34 | -6.8 | 6.11 | 2.96 | 2.04 |
| 65 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -2 | 8.07 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.97 | -3.09 | 9.24 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 67 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -5 | 12.49 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 68 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.45 | -9.18 | 12.15 | 3.07 | 1.93 |
| 69 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.38 | -9.18 | 10.33 | 3.26 | 1.74 |
| 70 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -3.42 | 7.02 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 71 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -5.92 | 11.93 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 72 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.55 | -6.7 | 12.96 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 73 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.04 | -2.64 | 7.88 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 74 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.75 | -2.8 | 15.1 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 75 | Maryland | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -9.73 | 15.41 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 76 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.58 | -5.09 | 6.65 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 77 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.18 | 12.7 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 78 | NC State | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.18 | 10.89 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 79 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -7.09 | 8.75 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 80 | Houston | Southwest | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.47 | -3.2 | 12.71 | 4.26 | -1.26 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -7.27 | 5.66 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 82 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.22 | -6.27 | 2.47 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 83 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.51 | -5 | 12.02 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 84 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.21 | -7.27 | 11.31 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 85 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.19 | -8 | 12.54 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 86 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -11.8 | 14.59 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 87 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.67 | -12.09 | 7.64 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 88 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -7.82 | 11.33 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 89 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -8.82 | 11.71 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 90 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.35 | -8.82 | 10.37 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.84 | -17.82 | 10.41 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 92 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.8 | -20.18 | 12.48 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 93 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 3.01 | -6.2 | 10.22 | 3.34 | -1.34 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.42 | -12.91 | 12.42 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 95 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -14.3 | 5.77 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 96 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.3 | -8.82 | 15.2 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 97 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -16.6 | 11.2 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -18.82 | 6.22 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 99 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -22.18 | 14.7 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 100 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.09 | -11 | 12.95 | 2.87 | -1.87 |
| 101 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.03 | -13.09 | 9.76 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -23.91 | 10.83 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.49 | -21.7 | 11.8 | 1.36 | -1.36 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.62 | -26 | 11.33 | 0.7 | -0.7 |