Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.581878+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 25.55 | 12.19 | 10.47 | 0.53 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.97 | 36.09 | 8.22 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.55 | 19.09 | 8.51 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 4 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.59 | 28.64 | 12.5 | 10.4 | -0.4 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.56 | 26.36 | 12.68 | 10.33 | -0.33 |
| 6 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.89 | 16.55 | 12.19 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 7 | LSU | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.8 | 14.91 | 12.11 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 8 | San José State | PCAA | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22 | 17.91 | 5.77 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.28 | 20.64 | 12.52 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 10 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.78 | 15 | 10.98 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 11 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.69 | 13 | 9.71 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.52 | 10.91 | 10.79 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.46 | 14.25 | 9.29 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 14 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.4 | 9.55 | 13.47 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.29 | 12 | 8.98 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.75 | 9.36 | 6.73 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 19.33 | 13.27 | 15.54 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 10.75 | 10.73 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 19 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.91 | 19.73 | 10.46 | 10.22 | -2.22 |
| 20 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.9 | 11.75 | 10.23 | 9.03 | -0.03 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.71 | 9.45 | 13.07 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.61 | 8.09 | 13.1 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 23 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.54 | 7 | 10.41 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 24 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.52 | 8.64 | 12.2 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 25 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 5.25 | 11.04 | 7.46 | 1.54 |
| 26 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 6.09 | 12.79 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 27 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.91 | 4.55 | 11.04 | 6.86 | 1.14 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.74 | 14.09 | 11.63 | 9.3 | -2.3 |
| 29 | Alabama | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 5.36 | 15.12 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 30 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.11 | 8 | 9.95 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 31 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 6.82 | 8.19 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 32 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.2 | 6 | 11.47 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 33 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.19 | 3.91 | 13.75 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 34 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 1.91 | 8.66 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 35 | Florida | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.94 | 11.36 | 15.15 | 8.79 | -2.79 |
| 36 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.84 | 0.91 | 9.47 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 37 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.8 | 1.45 | 7.52 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.75 | 4.45 | 9.36 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 39 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.72 | 2.64 | 11.76 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 40 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.43 | 10.91 | 11.01 | 8.51 | -2.51 |
| 41 | Fresno State | PCAA | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.62 | 7.36 | 6.35 | 7.79 | -1.79 |
| 42 | Texas | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.14 | 0.55 | 14.09 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 43 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.72 | 0.18 | 12.07 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 44 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.7 | 0.55 | 9.88 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 45 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-4-3 | 0.36 | 12.57 | 3.91 | 10.79 | 6.65 | -2.65 |
| 46 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.95 | -0.45 | 8.63 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 47 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.85 | 6.45 | 11.68 | 7.5 | -2.5 |
| 48 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.84 | 3.91 | 3.46 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 49 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.8 | -0.64 | 8.03 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.77 | 1.73 | 7.25 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 51 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.6 | 0.91 | 8.29 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 52 | Duke | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.37 | 5.27 | 7.9 | 6.87 | -1.87 |
| 53 | TCU | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.37 | 3.18 | 11.4 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 54 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.31 | -4.09 | 12.35 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.31 | -2.36 | 8.67 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 56 | Missouri | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.12 | 1.55 | 13.05 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 57 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.71 | 4.91 | 1.69 | 6.88 | -1.88 |
| 58 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.69 | 0.64 | 12.07 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 59 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.61 | -5.55 | 6.64 | 3.76 | 2.24 |
| 60 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.52 | 3.17 | 9.13 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 61 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10 | -0.55 | 12.7 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 62 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 9.59 | -7.33 | 9.9 | 4.02 | 1.98 |
| 63 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.38 | -3.36 | 15.59 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 64 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.1 | -2 | 7.7 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.94 | -3.09 | 8.9 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 66 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.87 | -5 | 12.11 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 67 | UNLV | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -4.18 | 8.43 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 68 | Houston | Southwest | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.68 | -0.73 | 11.58 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 69 | Utah State | PCAA | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.44 | -9.18 | 11.88 | 3.07 | 1.93 |
| 70 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.31 | -9.18 | 10.01 | 3.26 | 1.74 |
| 71 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.09 | -3.42 | 6.98 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 72 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.05 | -5.92 | 11.8 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 73 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.96 | -2.64 | 7.73 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 74 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.74 | -6.27 | 13.54 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 75 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.66 | -2.55 | 14.24 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 76 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -5.09 | 6.87 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 77 | Maryland | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -9.73 | 15.31 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 78 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -8.18 | 12.63 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 79 | NC State | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -8.18 | 10.78 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 80 | Pacific | PCAA | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -7.09 | 8.86 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.23 | -7.27 | 5.82 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 82 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.15 | -6.27 | 2.41 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 83 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.42 | -5 | 11.71 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 84 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.14 | -7.27 | 11.12 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 85 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.13 | -8 | 12.34 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 86 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5 | -10.73 | 14.37 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 87 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -12.09 | 7.39 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 88 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -7.82 | 11.86 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 89 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -8.82 | 11.19 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 90 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -8.82 | 10.42 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.79 | -17.82 | 10.32 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 92 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.76 | -20.18 | 12.4 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.49 | -12.91 | 12.32 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 94 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.45 | -6.91 | 10.99 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 95 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.35 | -8.82 | 14.7 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 96 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.27 | 5.86 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 97 | Rice | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -17.27 | 10.84 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -18.82 | 6.26 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 99 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -22.18 | 15.05 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.04 | -13.09 | 9.29 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-11-0 | 0.08 | -0.1 | -10.42 | 13.42 | 3.28 | -2.28 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -23.91 | 10.56 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.47 | -21.36 | 12.16 | 1.58 | -1.58 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.6 | -26 | 11.16 | 0.7 | -0.7 |