Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.579220+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.42 | 25.5 | 17.5 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 26.62 | 17.43 | 15.09 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.49 | 26 | 13.1 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 4 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26 | 16.17 | 12.52 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 25.92 | 21.67 | 10.77 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 16.83 | 8.4 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 47.5 | 2.9 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 8 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.99 | 26.14 | 12.16 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.27 | 21.83 | 13.2 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 10 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.07 | 13 | 12.56 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 11 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 7.5 | 13.95 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.55 | 15.8 | 14.7 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.49 | 13.67 | 12.71 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 14 | San José State | PCAA | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.04 | 15.71 | 3.71 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 15 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.52 | 16.67 | 3.91 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 16 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.37 | 9.83 | 4.16 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.34 | 2.83 | 14.52 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.11 | 7.33 | 3.35 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.8 | 23.14 | 15.26 | 6.66 | -1.66 |
| 20 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.23 | 9.57 | 14.38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.07 | 12.86 | 13.41 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 22 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.01 | 12.14 | 13.49 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 23 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.39 | 21 | 12.91 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 24 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.3 | 8 | 10.67 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 25 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.2 | 8.14 | 8.45 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 15.17 | 10.7 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 10.5 | 13.54 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 28 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.84 | 8.17 | 13.55 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 8.33 | 13.38 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 30 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 6.5 | 14.62 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 31 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 10.83 | 10.69 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 32 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.4 | 5 | 5.14 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 33 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 18 | 6.93 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 34 | Arkansas | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 5.17 | 10.76 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 35 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.3 | 4.29 | 6.71 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 36 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 12 | 6.23 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 2 | 15.33 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 38 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 5.5 | 9.44 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 39 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 5.33 | 7.66 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 40 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.86 | -1 | 18.31 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.48 | 8.67 | 8.99 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.36 | -3.17 | 15.27 | 2.49 | 1.51 |
| 43 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.25 | 7.57 | 11.12 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 44 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.93 | 4.43 | 11.63 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 45 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.92 | 2.43 | 14.5 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 46 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 14.69 | 9.5 | 2.05 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 47 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.48 | 2.14 | 13.61 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.29 | 3.86 | 10.28 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 49 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 11.33 | 11.02 | 4.93 | -1.93 |
| 50 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.38 | 0.29 | 10.54 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 51 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 3.83 | 6.53 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 52 | Duke | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 2.5 | 7.26 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 53 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.17 | 8.27 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 54 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.3 | -1 | 4.5 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 55 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 2.17 | 10.36 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 56 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.19 | -0.29 | 3.63 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 57 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 2 | 5.17 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 58 | TCU | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12 | 0.83 | 11.19 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 59 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.79 | -0.33 | 16.25 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 60 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.23 | -6 | 6.65 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 61 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -2 | 12.27 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 62 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -4.33 | 15.16 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 63 | Maryland | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -8.5 | 18.42 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 64 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -5.83 | 9.81 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 65 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.25 | -2.71 | 10.78 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 66 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.92 | 8 | 1.59 | 4.12 | -2.12 |
| 67 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.91 | 3.67 | 8.88 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 68 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.71 | -7 | 13.83 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 69 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.65 | -2.14 | 6.93 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 70 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -6.57 | 7.15 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 71 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.69 | -18.29 | 14.04 | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| 72 | UNLV | PCAA | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -5.2 | 3.97 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 73 | NC State | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.55 | -4.67 | 13.85 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 74 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -6.17 | 11.86 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 75 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -5.33 | 11.91 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 76 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6 | -6.5 | 13.94 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 77 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -11.83 | 13.99 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 78 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -8.17 | 7.48 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 79 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -11.67 | 12.7 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 80 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -13.5 | 9.72 | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| 81 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -18.17 | 14.04 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 82 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.49 | -12 | 5.42 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 83 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -4.71 | 11.4 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 84 | Akron | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.89 | -8 | 5.71 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 85 | Pacific | PCAA | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.84 | -8 | 5.3 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 86 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.47 | -21 | 15.36 | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| 87 | Rice | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.38 | -18 | 8.18 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 88 | California | Pac-10 | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.99 | -2 | 17.51 | 2.71 | -1.71 |
| 89 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.15 | -6.83 | 15.24 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 90 | Houston | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.87 | -10 | 13.89 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 91 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.34 | -7.67 | 14.57 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.05 | -12 | 16.86 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 93 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.03 | -10.17 | 10.91 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -11.17 | 7.98 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 95 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -21 | 7.39 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 96 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -13.5 | 1.21 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.4 | -24.33 | 13.58 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 98 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.4 | -24 | 10.55 | 0.28 | 0.72 |
| 99 | Utah State | PCAA | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.25 | -20.33 | 13.47 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 100 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.09 | -15.57 | 16.97 | 1.69 | -0.69 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.91 | -13.43 | 15.24 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 102 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.03 | -11.67 | 9.36 | 1.44 | -1.44 |
| 103 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-5-1 | 0 | -2.49 | -17.83 | 16.93 | 0.77 | -0.77 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.58 | -23.5 | 10.84 | 0.61 | -0.61 |