Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.579678+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.84 | 28 | 15.25 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 26.45 | 17.43 | 15.29 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.08 | 29.86 | 11.38 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.6 | 23 | 10.04 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 5 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 20.43 | 9.8 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.04 | 43.29 | 5.2 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 7 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.12 | 26.14 | 13.8 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 8 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.58 | 22.14 | 11.58 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.38 | 11.71 | 13.16 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 10 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.21 | 15 | 15.37 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 11 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.1 | 7 | 13.8 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.65 | 14.14 | 6.94 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 13 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.6 | 7.14 | 15.25 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 14 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.6 | 13.71 | 12.02 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 15 | San José State | PCAA | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.52 | 16.75 | 4.37 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 11.62 | 13.66 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 17 | Florida | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.65 | 23.14 | 14.87 | 6.66 | -1.66 |
| 18 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 10.62 | 11.01 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 19 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 9.57 | 14.15 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.83 | 12.14 | 12.77 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 21 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.55 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.45 | 7.43 | 13 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 23 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.25 | 4.5 | 7.77 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 7.57 | 11.3 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 25 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 18.57 | 6.91 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 26 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18 | 8 | 9.13 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 27 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 10.29 | 6.65 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 28 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.91 | 5 | 11.15 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 29 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.5 | 1 | 15.07 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 30 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.47 | 6.57 | 6.88 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 31 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.34 | 3.71 | 6.99 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 32 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.04 | 4.29 | 4.21 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 33 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.79 | 1.71 | 14.21 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.13 | 9.62 | 10.06 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 35 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 16.12 | 17.43 | 14.24 | 6.24 | -2.24 |
| 36 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 7.75 | 9.39 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 37 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.73 | 12.57 | 13.08 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 38 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.34 | 12.71 | 11.78 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 39 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.31 | 8.71 | 11.92 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.17 | 5.57 | 13.32 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 41 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.78 | 10 | 6.73 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 42 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.71 | 1.38 | 6.49 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 4.43 | 11.81 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.43 | 2.14 | 13.4 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 45 | TCU | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.37 | 4.14 | 10.66 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 46 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.3 | 2.14 | 10.93 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 47 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.04 | 2.14 | 10.87 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 48 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.85 | 4.43 | 5.39 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 49 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.94 | 5 | 8.51 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.58 | 8 | 2.38 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 51 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.56 | -3.14 | 14.17 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.25 | -3.29 | 14.04 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 53 | Maryland | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.95 | -7.14 | 16.49 | 2.17 | 1.83 |
| 54 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.76 | -0.5 | 14.23 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 55 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.75 | -0.33 | 15.06 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 56 | Virginia | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.2 | -0.62 | 12.11 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 57 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11 | -1.25 | 9.95 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 58 | Fresno State | PCAA | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.84 | 3.14 | 6.61 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 59 | Duke | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.64 | 2 | 7.17 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 60 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.38 | -1.5 | 4.08 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 61 | Long Beach State | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -1.5 | 3.27 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.24 | 0.43 | 9.17 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 63 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -8 | 8.1 | 2.49 | 1.51 |
| 64 | Cal State Fullerton | PCAA | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.52 | -15.88 | 15.02 | 1.43 | 2.57 |
| 65 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.2 | -2.14 | 11.74 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 66 | NC State | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.9 | -3.71 | 15.44 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 67 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.7 | -2.14 | 6.12 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.57 | -5.14 | 13.92 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 69 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.42 | -7 | 12.43 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 70 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.36 | -7.71 | 15.08 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 71 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -9.43 | 12.01 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 72 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.18 | -5.29 | 8.24 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.15 | -0.62 | 9.38 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 74 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 7.7 | 5 | 2.62 | 4.36 | -2.36 |
| 75 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -7.88 | 4.95 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 76 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.62 | -10.14 | 6.29 | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| 77 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 7.41 | 1.14 | 10.52 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 78 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.14 | -6.5 | 8.93 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 79 | Pacific | PCAA | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.8 | -6.88 | 6.8 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 80 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.35 | -4.57 | 12.9 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 81 | UNLV | PCAA | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -8.33 | 7.16 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 82 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.21 | -5.71 | 9.79 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.88 | -7.29 | 11.49 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 84 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.69 | -15.43 | 15.17 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 85 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.62 | -16.86 | 15.41 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 86 | Utah State | PCAA | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.3 | -16.71 | 12.76 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 87 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.17 | -18.86 | 11.36 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 88 | New Mexico State | PCAA | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.12 | -15.29 | 5.22 | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 89 | Akron | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -9.62 | 5.24 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 90 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12.38 | 15.64 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 91 | Rice | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -17.38 | 10.5 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 92 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -22.75 | 14.6 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 93 | California | Pac-10 | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.69 | -5.14 | 17.6 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 94 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.19 | -9.29 | 14.86 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 95 | Houston | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.18 | -9 | 13.79 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 96 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -14.86 | 15.7 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 97 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.46 | -9.29 | 14.66 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 98 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.23 | -11.57 | 9.46 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -14.29 | 14.94 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 100 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.12 | -13.43 | 14.52 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 101 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.12 | -12.14 | 3.27 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.73 | -22.57 | 9.61 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.03 | -11.67 | 9.92 | 1.44 | -1.44 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.73 | -27.71 | 12.5 | 0.48 | -0.48 |