Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.747623+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-0-0 | 1 | 26.01 | 19 | 14.18 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.68 | 21 | 12.13 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 3 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 29.7 | 9.54 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 4 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.95 | 29.56 | 7.3 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 5 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.79 | 18.89 | 8.24 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 6 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.21 | 20.78 | 12.7 | 7.95 | 0.05 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.1 | 28.1 | 9.6 | 9.04 | -0.04 |
| 8 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.97 | 23.89 | 10.91 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.77 | 19.33 | 10.65 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 10 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.66 | 26.88 | 9.9 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.61 | 26.33 | 8.58 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 12 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.86 | 14.88 | 7.98 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 13 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.74 | 13.67 | 6.42 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 14 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 20.53 | 14.38 | 0.71 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 15 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.32 | 19.11 | 10.26 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 16 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 10.44 | 11.18 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 17 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.83 | 15 | 9.24 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 18 | Houston | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.78 | 25.12 | 10.97 | 7.12 | -1.12 |
| 19 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.76 | 13.2 | 5.97 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.73 | 17.11 | 12.43 | 7.96 | -1.96 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.56 | 14.22 | 7.96 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 22 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.54 | 11.56 | 7.87 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 16.5 | 10.45 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 24 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.45 | 4.2 | 8.8 | 5.92 | 2.08 |
| 25 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.27 | 8.56 | 8.42 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 26 | Fresno State | Big West | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.22 | 19.33 | 4.4 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 27 | LSU | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 6.5 | 13.16 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 28 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.09 | 13.11 | 8.66 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 29 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 12 | 8.75 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.58 | 4.44 | 5.75 | 5.71 | 1.29 |
| 31 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.63 | 11.11 | 13.11 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 32 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 10.89 | 10.89 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 33 | NC State | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 14.56 | 7.18 | 7.96 | -1.96 |
| 34 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 11.22 | 9.42 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 35 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 11.78 | 5.35 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 36 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.35 | 17.25 | 9.76 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3-2 | 0.5 | 16.02 | 9.9 | 10.37 | 7.59 | -2.59 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 5.38 | 13.36 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 39 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 15.75 | -0.2 | 10 | 4.95 | 2.05 |
| 40 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.21 | 3.33 | 9.87 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.74 | 4.11 | 16.59 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 42 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.7 | 3.44 | 16.1 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 43 | Duke | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.64 | -0.67 | 7.07 | 4.37 | 1.63 |
| 44 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.62 | 6.11 | 13.19 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 45 | Florida | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.56 | 12.11 | 7.44 | 7.61 | -2.61 |
| 46 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.41 | 6.67 | 9.74 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 47 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.3 | -2.78 | 11.23 | 3.79 | 2.21 |
| 48 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.98 | 2 | 13.74 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.9 | 4.44 | 8.93 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 50 | California | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.98 | 0 | 10.99 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 51 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.98 | 0.33 | 10.72 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 52 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.94 | 4.11 | 14.09 | 5.79 | -1.79 |
| 53 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 12.54 | -5.78 | 9.79 | 2.93 | 2.07 |
| 54 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.36 | -2.11 | 14.46 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 55 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 3.9 | 4.25 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 1.6 | 6.12 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 11.66 | -3.8 | 2.67 | 3.61 | 2.39 |
| 58 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.03 | 2.56 | 9.06 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 59 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.77 | 1 | 11.25 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 60 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 10.33 | 3.56 | 15.06 | 5.41 | -2.41 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.98 | -3.88 | 9.09 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 62 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.56 | -0.44 | 8.99 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 63 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.38 | -0.89 | 9.54 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 64 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.33 | -2.33 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 65 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.07 | 0 | 10.68 | 5 | -1 |
| 66 | TCU | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.75 | -5.89 | 12.54 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -5.67 | 10.19 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 68 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -5.67 | 12.66 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 69 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.53 | 3.44 | 9.17 | 5.53 | -2.53 |
| 70 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.4 | -6.44 | 10.44 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 71 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.11 | -12.56 | 11.11 | 1.42 | 2.58 |
| 72 | Utah State | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.85 | -12.89 | 9.62 | 2.13 | 1.87 |
| 73 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.84 | -4 | 16.58 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 74 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.45 | -5.5 | 13.81 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 75 | Texas | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.19 | -6.75 | 10.61 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 76 | UNLV | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.7 | -9.88 | 7.78 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 77 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.63 | -9.78 | 6.25 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 78 | San José State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 6.19 | -1.5 | 9.73 | 4.67 | -1.67 |
| 79 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -5.67 | 11.77 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 80 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -4.11 | 4.79 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 81 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-5-2 | 0.22 | 5.44 | -3.89 | 10.82 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.1 | -20.33 | 8.56 | 1.12 | 1.88 |
| 83 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.17 | -8.38 | 16.16 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 84 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -7.62 | 13.47 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 85 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.77 | -13.89 | 15.68 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 86 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -11.62 | 15.91 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 87 | Temple | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -17.75 | 13.48 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 88 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -9.11 | 15.43 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 89 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -14.9 | 11.01 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 90 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.84 | -7.9 | 15.16 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -15.22 | 16.06 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 92 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.71 | -18 | 9.45 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 93 | Long Beach State | Big West | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.56 | -17.78 | 9.03 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 94 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.62 | -13.88 | 15.32 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 95 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.38 | -19.33 | 13.59 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 96 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.78 | 15.99 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 97 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.18 | -18.33 | 16.83 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 98 | Pacific | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.09 | -15.1 | 6.76 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 99 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.03 | -22.22 | 8.31 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 100 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.22 | -25.56 | 13.71 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 101 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.55 | -34.1 | 14.91 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 102 | Rice | Southwest | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.4 | -17 | 16.61 | 1.18 | -1.18 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-8-1 | 0 | -2.42 | -19 | 12.3 | 1.17 | -1.17 |
| 104 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.47 | -19.89 | 13.38 | 0.65 | -0.65 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.62 | -25.11 | 11.45 | 0.92 | -0.92 |