Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.747979+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.85 | 22.44 | 13.25 | 8.27 | 0.73 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 21 | 12.02 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 3 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 27.6 | 7.62 | 9.11 | 0.89 |
| 4 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 17.5 | 8.38 | 8.57 | 1.43 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.36 | 26.18 | 10.63 | 9.97 | 0.03 |
| 6 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.36 | 24.82 | 10.29 | 9.77 | 0.23 |
| 7 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.26 | 19.7 | 12.42 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 8 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.03 | 24.2 | 10.32 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.02 | 24.7 | 10.29 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.71 | 18.3 | 9.71 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 11 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.59 | 26.88 | 9.93 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 12 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.95 | 16 | 7.37 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 13 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 20.65 | 13.33 | 0.86 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.59 | 19 | 10.52 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 15 | Houston | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.53 | 25 | 11.79 | 8.06 | -1.06 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.47 | 18.3 | 12.88 | 8.98 | -1.98 |
| 17 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 15.9 | 9.61 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 18 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.11 | 16.64 | 5.55 | 8.94 | 0.06 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.94 | 19 | 9.37 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.76 | 4.45 | 8.9 | 6.59 | 2.41 |
| 21 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.74 | 11.5 | 6.97 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 12.56 | 9.9 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.7 | 7.67 | 12.05 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 24 | Fresno State | Big West | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.58 | 19.1 | 4.41 | 8.89 | -0.89 |
| 25 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.25 | 8.56 | 8.53 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 26 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.95 | 5.1 | 6.06 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 27 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.18 | 10.9 | 12.52 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 28 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.05 | 8.7 | 12.09 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 11.8 | 8.96 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 30 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.6 | 10.2 | 8.1 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 31 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 16.11 | 9.82 | 7.54 | -1.54 |
| 32 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.04 | 9.2 | 9.37 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 33 | NC State | ACC | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.03 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 34 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.95 | 1.45 | 8.05 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3-3 | 0.45 | 15.91 | 9 | 10.14 | 8.1 | -3.1 |
| 36 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.79 | 5.1 | 16.51 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.66 | 8.4 | 11.63 | 7.08 | -1.08 |
| 38 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.53 | 9.4 | 10.01 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 39 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.36 | 3.2 | 15.38 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 40 | Florida | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 11.4 | 8.22 | 8.26 | -2.26 |
| 41 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 8.9 | 6.98 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 42 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.73 | 4.4 | 8.54 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 43 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.73 | 6.3 | 14.66 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 44 | Duke | ACC | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.67 | -0.6 | 8.63 | 4.88 | 1.12 |
| 45 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.57 | 4.22 | 14.45 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 46 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.01 | -2.7 | 9.11 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 47 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.92 | 0.6 | 9.79 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 48 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 4.8 | 12.87 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.02 | 2.09 | 7.16 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 50 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 0.1 | 11.28 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 51 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 4.2 | 11.03 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 52 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.79 | -2.73 | 4.07 | 4.36 | 2.64 |
| 53 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.3 | 13.76 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 54 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.27 | 0 | 6.67 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 55 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.26 | 3.3 | 8.19 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.24 | -7.5 | 12.25 | 3 | 3 |
| 57 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 1.3 | 9.44 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 58 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.46 | -0.1 | 11.37 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 59 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.26 | 0.2 | 8.28 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 60 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.6 | 1.73 | 4.74 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -4.3 | 15.14 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.46 | 0.55 | 9.62 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 63 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.93 | -4.2 | 9.21 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 64 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.28 | -0.1 | 12.91 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 65 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 8.85 | 2.2 | 15.58 | 5.62 | -2.62 |
| 66 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.77 | -5.1 | 13.17 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 67 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.69 | -0.6 | 11.38 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 68 | Texas | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.54 | -5 | 10.38 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 69 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.4 | -6.44 | 9.98 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 70 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.16 | -2.9 | 11.62 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 71 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 7.98 | -8.6 | 7.54 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.81 | 2.7 | 8.96 | 5.86 | -2.86 |
| 73 | TCU | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.67 | -6.2 | 11.73 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 74 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.04 | -13.4 | 10.32 | 1.41 | 2.59 |
| 75 | Utah State | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.95 | -13.7 | 9.14 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 76 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.52 | -4.5 | 16.45 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -5.44 | 13.67 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -9.44 | 15.07 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 79 | UNLV | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.67 | 8.69 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 80 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -13.56 | 12.94 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 81 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -4.8 | 6.04 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 82 | San José State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.69 | -5.45 | 9.18 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 83 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.48 | -14.3 | 7.38 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 84 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.47 | -19 | 9.82 | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| 85 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.45 | -15.5 | 8.21 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| 86 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-6-2 | 0.2 | 4.4 | -4.2 | 9.55 | 3.74 | -1.74 |
| 87 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.42 | -8.11 | 15.1 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 88 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.28 | -9.56 | 14.42 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 89 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -13.4 | 16.07 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 90 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.91 | -7.9 | 14.41 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.75 | -15.3 | 12.84 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 92 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.74 | -10.9 | 16.19 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 93 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.35 | -15.82 | 10.89 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -18.8 | 15.98 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.31 | -30.91 | 13.38 | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| 96 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.37 | -14.22 | 15.16 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.08 | -15.2 | 14.5 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 98 | Pacific | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.08 | -15.1 | 6.64 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 99 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -16.8 | 16.45 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 100 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -17.2 | 12.96 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.14 | -20.5 | 7.96 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.36 | -26.9 | 13.79 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-9-1 | 0 | -2.33 | -17.7 | 11.19 | 1.36 | -1.36 |
| 104 | Rice | Southwest | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.35 | -16.22 | 15.46 | 1.34 | -1.34 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.55 | -23.5 | 11.13 | 1.03 | -1.03 |