Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.748330+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 21.1 | 13.51 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 20.7 | 11.99 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 3 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.99 | 27.09 | 8.79 | 10.06 | 0.94 |
| 4 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.62 | 17.5 | 8.52 | 8.57 | 1.43 |
| 5 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.6 | 23.25 | 11.58 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.55 | 24.33 | 11.11 | 10.87 | 0.13 |
| 7 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.03 | 28.44 | 11.39 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 8 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.99 | 24.2 | 10.49 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.94 | 24.7 | 10.14 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 10 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.47 | 17.09 | 13.44 | 9.23 | -0.23 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.03 | 16.27 | 11.06 | 9.55 | -0.55 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.81 | 16.18 | 10.31 | 9.5 | -0.5 |
| 13 | Houston | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.81 | 22.6 | 11.43 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.79 | 16.91 | 12.67 | 9.55 | -1.55 |
| 15 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.35 | 15.83 | 6.24 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.28 | 19.2 | 8.99 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 17 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.06 | 11.09 | 7.39 | 8.29 | 0.71 |
| 18 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.98 | 12.2 | 8.62 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 19 | Fresno State | Big West | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.94 | 19.91 | 4.19 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.71 | 4.45 | 8.93 | 6.59 | 2.41 |
| 21 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.63 | 12.56 | 9.59 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 22 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.8 | 14.64 | 10.39 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 23 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 10 | 12.03 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 24 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.65 | 10.6 | 0.97 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 25 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 11.73 | 10.74 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 26 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.93 | 10.55 | 6.69 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 27 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.72 | 12.45 | 9.11 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.72 | 12.91 | 8.94 | 9.22 | -2.22 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 30 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.61 | 7.1 | 10.46 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 31 | LSU | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.39 | 2.8 | 13.07 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 32 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.23 | 2.91 | 6.99 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 33 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.94 | 1.45 | 7.99 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3-3 | 0.5 | 16.92 | 9 | 9.98 | 8.78 | -2.78 |
| 35 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.17 | 10.09 | 8.71 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 36 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.78 | 5.1 | 16.53 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.77 | 13.4 | 10.26 | 8.1 | -2.1 |
| 38 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.71 | 9 | 12.98 | 8.54 | -2.54 |
| 39 | Duke | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 15.56 | 0 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 40 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.53 | 5.6 | 14.25 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 41 | Florida | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 8.26 | -2.26 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.81 | 0.64 | 9.81 | 5.68 | 1.32 |
| 43 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.46 | 4 | 6.79 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 6.64 | 11.16 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 45 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.07 | 2.82 | 14.88 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 46 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.01 | -2.7 | 9.01 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 47 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 0.55 | 10.67 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 48 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.63 | 6.55 | 5.97 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 49 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.6 | 3.82 | 9.98 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 50 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.35 | 3.27 | 8.27 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.02 | 2.09 | 7.1 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 52 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.01 | 1.91 | 8.14 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 53 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.76 | -2.73 | 3.67 | 4.36 | 2.64 |
| 54 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.06 | -7.5 | 11.69 | 3 | 3 |
| 55 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.65 | 2.73 | 14.21 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 56 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.55 | 3.18 | 12.17 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 57 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.36 | -0.09 | 11.24 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 58 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.12 | -0.1 | 8.17 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 59 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.97 | 1.64 | 11.1 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 60 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.95 | 0.82 | 12.79 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 61 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.58 | 1.73 | 5.59 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.45 | 0.55 | 9.18 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 63 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.39 | 0.36 | 10.46 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 64 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -5.3 | 9.2 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -4 | 15.03 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 66 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -5.73 | 10.07 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 8.65 | 2 | 14.64 | 6.13 | -3.13 |
| 68 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.24 | -3.09 | 15.78 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 69 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -2.9 | 11.89 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 70 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.92 | -4.91 | 13.77 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 71 | Texas | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.76 | -4.8 | 10.97 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 7.75 | 2.7 | 9.01 | 5.86 | -2.86 |
| 73 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -8.1 | 14.82 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 74 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -8.45 | 8.45 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 75 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.64 | -7.27 | 12.23 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 76 | San José State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 6.61 | -1.5 | 8.88 | 5.61 | -1.61 |
| 77 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -13.36 | 9.25 | 2.48 | 1.52 |
| 78 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.01 | -16.27 | 11.4 | 1.18 | 2.82 |
| 79 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.79 | -15.18 | 7.65 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 80 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.33 | -6.8 | 12.97 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 81 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -6.8 | 14.45 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 82 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -7.2 | 15.1 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 83 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.24 | -4.8 | 6.21 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 84 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.09 | -8.73 | 14.38 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 85 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.9 | -4 | 13.54 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 86 | Temple | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -12.7 | 11.51 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 87 | UNLV | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.65 | -13.8 | 8.69 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 88 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -8 | 14.28 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -16.36 | 14.28 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 90 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.84 | -16.64 | 8.97 | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| 91 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.8 | -16.18 | 6.67 | 2 | 1 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.66 | -4.64 | 10.32 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.44 | -14.36 | 12.78 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.32 | -15.82 | 10.78 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 95 | Pacific | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -13.64 | 5.99 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.2 | -29 | 12.41 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | -13.3 | 14.57 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.08 | -15.2 | 14.19 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 99 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.18 | -15.82 | 16.42 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.3 | -18.73 | 7.42 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 101 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.31 | -18.91 | 12.93 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -27.91 | 12.83 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | Rice | Southwest | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.29 | -16.2 | 12.77 | 1.51 | -1.51 |
| 104 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.33 | -17.64 | 11.77 | 1.52 | -1.52 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.18 | 11.72 | 1.02 | -1.02 |