Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.749035+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 20.36 | 12.63 | 10.01 | 0.99 |
| 2 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.89 | 27.09 | 8.89 | 10.06 | 0.94 |
| 3 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.7 | 25.64 | 13.61 | 10.46 | -0.46 |
| 4 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.54 | 17.64 | 14.2 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 5 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 23.25 | 11.74 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.4 | 24.33 | 10.92 | 10.87 | 0.13 |
| 7 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.28 | 25.18 | 11.33 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.08 | 22.91 | 10.67 | 10.64 | -0.64 |
| 9 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.76 | 15.73 | 10.45 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 10 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.26 | 17.09 | 13.28 | 9.23 | -0.23 |
| 11 | Houston | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.04 | 23.36 | 10.53 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 16.27 | 10.9 | 9.55 | -0.55 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.72 | 16.18 | 10.27 | 9.5 | -0.5 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.72 | 16.91 | 12.84 | 9.55 | -1.55 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.66 | 17.73 | 9.58 | 8.27 | 0.73 |
| 16 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.41 | 12.64 | 9.6 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 17 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.27 | 15.83 | 6.35 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 18 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.97 | 11.09 | 7.36 | 8.29 | 0.71 |
| 19 | Fresno State | Big West | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.95 | 19.91 | 4.74 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.69 | 4.45 | 9.44 | 6.59 | 2.41 |
| 21 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 18.87 | 10.09 | 1.12 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 22 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.76 | 8.33 | 11.09 | 8.06 | 0.94 |
| 23 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.59 | 10 | 11.96 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 24 | Alabama | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 11.64 | 11.21 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 25 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.55 | 11.73 | 10.94 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 26 | LSU | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.26 | 5.27 | 12.78 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 27 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.22 | 12.64 | 8.32 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 28 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.85 | 10.55 | 6.67 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 29 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.66 | 12.45 | 9.17 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.6 | 12.91 | 8.54 | 9.22 | -2.22 |
| 31 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.26 | 11.42 | 11.19 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 32 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.12 | 2.91 | 7.36 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 33 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.93 | 1.45 | 8.53 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3-3 | 0.5 | 16.84 | 9 | 9.72 | 8.78 | -2.78 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 5.55 | 15.29 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.09 | 10.09 | 8.53 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.69 | 9 | 13.19 | 8.54 | -2.54 |
| 38 | Duke | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 15.51 | 0 | 8.09 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.75 | 0.64 | 9.73 | 5.68 | 1.32 |
| 40 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.68 | 3.33 | 13.75 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 41 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 10.64 | 11.3 | 8.4 | -2.4 |
| 42 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.38 | 4 | 6.83 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 43 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 13.95 | -2.7 | 9.12 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 44 | Florida | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.93 | 7.18 | 9.22 | 7.78 | -1.78 |
| 45 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.91 | 0.55 | 10.63 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 46 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.88 | 2.82 | 14.22 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 47 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 3.82 | 9.68 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 48 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.56 | 6.55 | 6.43 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 49 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.28 | 3.27 | 7.85 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 50 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.04 | 1.91 | 8.44 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.95 | 2.09 | 7.12 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 52 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 4.08 | 11.47 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 53 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.67 | -2.73 | 3.49 | 4.36 | 2.64 |
| 54 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.51 | 2.73 | 13.95 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.31 | -0.09 | 11.39 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 56 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.93 | 1.64 | 10.5 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.85 | -7.73 | 11.93 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| 58 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.82 | 0.82 | 12.65 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 59 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.65 | 2.5 | 12.59 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 60 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.54 | 1.73 | 5.76 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.42 | 0.36 | 10.58 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.39 | 0.55 | 9.05 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.04 | -0.18 | 10.54 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.86 | -0.36 | 9.23 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -4 | 14.81 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.8 | -6.73 | 14.07 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.66 | -5.73 | 10.35 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 8.58 | 2 | 14.4 | 6.13 | -3.13 |
| 69 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.46 | -7.55 | 10.09 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.25 | -3.09 | 15.5 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 71 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.82 | -4.91 | 13.47 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 72 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -8.45 | 8.49 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 73 | Texas | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -4.73 | 10.87 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 74 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -5.82 | 13.4 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 75 | San José State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -1.5 | 8.98 | 5.61 | -1.61 |
| 76 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -7.27 | 12.08 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 77 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 6.41 | 0.55 | 9.79 | 5.7 | -2.7 |
| 78 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.27 | -10 | 10.84 | 2.94 | 1.06 |
| 79 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.02 | -12.45 | 8.98 | 2.24 | 1.76 |
| 80 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.01 | -13.36 | 9.9 | 2.48 | 1.52 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.94 | -16.27 | 11.32 | 1.18 | 2.82 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.82 | -15.18 | 7.73 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 83 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.14 | -8.73 | 14.27 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 84 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.95 | -4 | 13.34 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.59 | -4.82 | 6.7 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -6.82 | 12.52 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 87 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.51 | -8 | 14.22 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 88 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -8.09 | 13.69 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -16.36 | 13.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 90 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.77 | -16.18 | 7.23 | 2 | 1 |
| 91 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.61 | -4.64 | 10.38 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 92 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -15.33 | 8.74 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.41 | -14.36 | 12.64 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.31 | -15.82 | 10.71 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 95 | Pacific | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -13.64 | 6.03 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.19 | -29 | 12.17 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.18 | 13.32 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.55 | 13.93 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 99 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -15.82 | 16.1 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.3 | -18.73 | 7.8 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 101 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -18.91 | 13.03 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -27.91 | 12.91 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.32 | -17.64 | 11.69 | 1.52 | -1.52 |
| 104 | Rice | Southwest | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.34 | -17.55 | 13.17 | 1.51 | -1.51 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.18 | 12.22 | 1.02 | -1.02 |