Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.750849+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 19.75 | 13.28 | 10.79 | 1.21 |
| 2 | Miami | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.82 | 25.17 | 14.2 | 11.45 | -0.45 |
| 3 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.38 | 23.58 | 12.05 | 10.91 | 0.09 |
| 4 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.07 | 23.75 | 10.11 | 10.63 | 0.37 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-2-0 | 0.85 | 21.67 | 20.92 | 11.61 | 11.45 | -0.45 |
| 6 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 11-2-0 | 0.85 | 21.59 | 17.77 | 12.08 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 15.5 | 14.44 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 8 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 16.83 | 13.82 | 10.17 | -0.17 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 20.5 | 11.85 | 11.47 | -1.47 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 21.03 | 16.17 | 13.34 | 10.34 | -1.34 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 20.25 | 10.14 | 9.38 | 0.62 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.83 | 15.42 | 10.93 | 10.36 | -0.36 |
| 13 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.77 | 13.25 | 10.89 | 9.7 | 0.3 |
| 14 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.55 | 12.67 | 10.07 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 15 | Fresno State | Big West | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.11 | 18.67 | 5.72 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 16 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.02 | 5.75 | 10.12 | 7.51 | 2.49 |
| 17 | Houston | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 21.25 | 10.74 | 10.34 | -1.34 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 14.33 | 11.54 | 10.19 | -1.19 |
| 19 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 9.33 | 12.21 | 8.14 | 0.86 |
| 20 | Alabama | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 10.75 | 11.49 | 9.3 | -0.3 |
| 21 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 10-3-0 | 0.77 | 18.79 | 13.08 | 7.17 | 9.85 | 0.15 |
| 22 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 12.17 | 8.64 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 23 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 8.33 | 10.39 | 8.06 | 0.94 |
| 24 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.32 | 9.75 | 8.34 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 25 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.24 | 13.42 | 9.25 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 26 | NC State | ACC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.1 | 12.25 | 8.74 | 9.83 | -1.83 |
| 27 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.66 | 10.55 | 6.44 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 28 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 17.49 | 10.77 | 11.37 | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 29 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.41 | 9.17 | 2.49 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 30 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 10.5 | 11.36 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 31 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 16.75 | 1.45 | 8.32 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 3.75 | 13.33 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 33 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.35 | 5.55 | 14.91 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 34 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.92 | 10.09 | 8.3 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 35 | Duke | ACC | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 15.37 | 0 | 8.05 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 36 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 15.12 | 0.67 | 8.23 | 6.25 | 1.75 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4-3 | 0.46 | 15.1 | 7.92 | 10.18 | 9.16 | -3.16 |
| 38 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.62 | 0.64 | 9.67 | 5.68 | 1.32 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 6.92 | 9.44 | 8.48 | -1.48 |
| 40 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 3.33 | 13.54 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 41 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 14.32 | 7.67 | 13.33 | 8.75 | -2.75 |
| 42 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.31 | 10.64 | 11.22 | 8.4 | -2.4 |
| 43 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.25 | 4 | 6.78 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 44 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 13.8 | -2.7 | 8.86 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 45 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.72 | 2.82 | 13.88 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 46 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.45 | 6.55 | 6.5 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 47 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.4 | 3.82 | 9.15 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 48 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.11 | 3.27 | 7.35 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 49 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.93 | 1.91 | 8.46 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 50 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.81 | 2.09 | 6.88 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 4.08 | 11.39 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 52 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 12.54 | -2.73 | 3.28 | 4.36 | 2.64 |
| 53 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 12.47 | 0.17 | 10.85 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 54 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.4 | 2.73 | 13.85 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.2 | -0.09 | 11.29 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 56 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.8 | 1.64 | 10.13 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 57 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.74 | 0.82 | 12.8 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.72 | -7.73 | 11.56 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| 59 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.51 | 2.5 | 12.05 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 60 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.44 | 1.73 | 5.69 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.31 | 0.36 | 10.36 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.28 | 0.55 | 8.81 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.96 | -0.18 | 10.64 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.71 | -0.36 | 8.88 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.13 | -4 | 14.75 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -6.73 | 14.13 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.56 | -5.73 | 10.05 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 8.49 | 2 | 14.13 | 6.13 | -3.13 |
| 69 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.38 | -7.55 | 10.03 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.16 | -3.09 | 15.14 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 71 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.73 | -4.91 | 12.98 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 72 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.08 | -8.45 | 8.25 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 73 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.71 | -5.82 | 13.12 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 74 | Texas | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -4.73 | 10.25 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 75 | San José State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -1.5 | 8.97 | 5.61 | -1.61 |
| 76 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -7.27 | 11.49 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 77 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 6.34 | 0.55 | 9.61 | 5.7 | -2.7 |
| 78 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.21 | -10 | 10.73 | 2.94 | 1.06 |
| 79 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.96 | -12.45 | 8.92 | 2.24 | 1.76 |
| 80 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.95 | -13.36 | 9.76 | 2.48 | 1.52 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.86 | -16.27 | 10.89 | 1.18 | 2.82 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.74 | -15.18 | 7.22 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 83 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.09 | -8.73 | 14.03 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 84 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.9 | -4 | 13.15 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.52 | -4.82 | 6.28 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.52 | -6.82 | 12.54 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 87 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -8 | 13.99 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 88 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -8.09 | 13.4 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -16.36 | 13.07 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 90 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.73 | -16.18 | 7.16 | 2 | 1 |
| 91 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.57 | -4.64 | 10.13 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 92 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -15.33 | 8.61 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.38 | -14.36 | 12.13 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.28 | -15.82 | 10.44 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 95 | Pacific | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -13.64 | 5.99 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.17 | -29 | 11.78 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.18 | 12.75 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.55 | 14.06 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 99 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.19 | -15.82 | 15.82 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.3 | -18.73 | 7.65 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 101 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -18.91 | 12.42 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 102 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -27.91 | 12.73 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.29 | -17.64 | 11.51 | 1.52 | -1.52 |
| 104 | Rice | Southwest | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.31 | -17.55 | 12.66 | 1.51 | -1.51 |
| 105 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.57 | -25.18 | 11.91 | 1.02 | -1.02 |