Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.746474+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.91 | 16.5 | 16.79 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 2 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 26.67 | 11.75 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 17.17 | 11.78 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 25 | 9.81 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 5 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 21.33 | 7.45 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 6 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 27.83 | 6.16 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 7 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 24.88 | 22.17 | 5.91 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.96 | 27.57 | 12.06 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 9 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.21 | 19.67 | 13.11 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 10 | Miami | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 22.05 | 21.2 | 14.22 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 11 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.01 | 13.29 | 9.62 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.68 | 19.83 | 10.01 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 13 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.33 | 11.17 | 10.62 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.32 | 17.8 | 10.58 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.31 | 17.67 | 8.21 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 16 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.21 | 15.29 | 4.57 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 12.67 | 9.04 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 18 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 17 | 8.14 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 19 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 8 | 10.94 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 20 | Houston | Southwest | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.11 | 25.4 | 9.81 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 21 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.88 | 7.43 | 5.65 | 4.58 | 1.42 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.87 | 26.33 | 4.15 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 23 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.64 | 11.86 | 1.01 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 24 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.57 | 15.67 | 4.58 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 25 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.51 | 19.83 | 3.4 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 26 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.43 | 16.5 | 2.24 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 27 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.43 | 5.5 | 7.96 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.33 | 24.17 | 1.5 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 29 | Alabama | SEC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.04 | 14.6 | 5.61 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 30 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.98 | 15.83 | -0.21 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 31 | Duke | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.41 | 2.17 | 3.54 | 3.27 | 1.73 |
| 32 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.15 | 15.33 | -3.55 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 33 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.48 | 16 | 13.03 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 34 | Fresno State | Big West | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.22 | 19.71 | 5.7 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.22 | 9.67 | 16.2 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 36 | Florida | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 21.14 | 3.84 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 37 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.13 | 5.67 | 16.14 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 38 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.1 | 14.43 | 6.43 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 39 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.98 | 12.33 | 10.92 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 40 | LSU | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 6.67 | 10.83 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 41 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 5.67 | 10.8 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 42 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 6 | 9.28 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 43 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 9.67 | 4.44 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 44 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.33 | 11.5 | 12.89 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-2-2 | 0.43 | 15.54 | 8.71 | 8.31 | 5.32 | -2.32 |
| 46 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.59 | 9 | 4.66 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.67 | 13.67 | 10.29 | 4.63 | -1.63 |
| 48 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 13.6 | -7.67 | 9.16 | 1.57 | 2.43 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.6 | 6.33 | 15.45 | 4.11 | -1.11 |
| 50 | California | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 2 | 10.41 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 51 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.02 | 8.67 | -3.15 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 52 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.91 | -4.29 | 11.49 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 53 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | -1.5 | 16.89 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 54 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | -0.33 | 9.53 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 55 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.23 | -1.67 | 17.28 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 56 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.2 | -0.17 | 7.13 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.15 | -6.86 | 3.23 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 58 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.93 | -2.17 | 14.79 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 59 | Maryland | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -4.17 | 15.75 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 60 | TCU | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -3.67 | 12.68 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 61 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -5.83 | 17.48 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 62 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -5.83 | 9.43 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 63 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.16 | 0.29 | 12.37 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -7.83 | 14.03 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 65 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.98 | -5.33 | 10.69 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 66 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -7.17 | 7.98 | 2 | 1 |
| 67 | UNLV | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.58 | -7.67 | 8.53 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 68 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.49 | -12 | 9.45 | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| 69 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.2 | -0.43 | 6.41 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 70 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.64 | -2.17 | 10.59 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 71 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.59 | 2.83 | 12.55 | 3.64 | -1.64 |
| 72 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.96 | -0.5 | 18.11 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 73 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 7.84 | -8.67 | 13.79 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 74 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7 | -3 | 16.16 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 75 | San José State | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.89 | 0.43 | 12.03 | 3.56 | -1.56 |
| 76 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -4.17 | 10.84 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 77 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -4.67 | 11.45 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 78 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6 | -11.67 | 15.96 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 79 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -9.17 | 5.9 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 80 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -7.5 | 9.09 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 81 | Utah State | Big West | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -20.17 | 11.8 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 82 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.11 | -10.5 | 1.57 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 83 | Akron | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.06 | -6.71 | 6.24 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 84 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5 | -10.14 | 13.58 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 85 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -9.43 | 17.35 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 86 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.11 | -4.17 | 15.44 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 87 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -22.6 | 17.16 | 0.28 | 0.72 |
| 88 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -10.33 | 16.64 | 1.84 | -0.84 |
| 89 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.16 | -9.83 | 15.25 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 90 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.73 | -6.86 | 14.75 | 2.53 | -1.53 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -20.33 | 20.46 | 1 | 0 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -16.83 | 5.53 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 93 | Long Beach State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.11 | -23 | 8.76 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | Pacific | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.03 | -15 | 6.38 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 95 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.85 | -20.14 | 16.31 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.6 | -28.14 | 13.17 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 97 | Rice | Southwest | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.31 | -14.4 | 14.96 | 0.99 | -0.99 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.34 | -14 | 19.18 | 1.21 | -1.21 |
| 99 | Tennessee | SEC | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.59 | -18.17 | 20.52 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 100 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-5-1 | 0 | -2.6 | -20.83 | 15.82 | 0.79 | -0.79 |
| 101 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.63 | -24.17 | 11.82 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.66 | -22.57 | 15.32 | 0.77 | -0.77 |
| 103 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.7 | -22.17 | 18.44 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.75 | -23.67 | 18.46 | 0.59 | -0.59 |
| 105 | Kansas | Big 8 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.88 | -28.5 | 16.44 | 0.45 | -0.45 |