Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.746894+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.69 | 16.5 | 16.66 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.18 | 18.71 | 13.84 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 3 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 25.86 | 12.33 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 4 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 27.25 | 9.43 | 7.21 | 0.79 |
| 5 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.22 | 19 | 9.03 | 6 | 1 |
| 6 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.01 | 29.57 | 6.3 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.97 | 29.75 | 9.8 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 8 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.67 | 17 | 13.25 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 9 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 19.5 | 9.78 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.41 | 17.43 | 11.78 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 11 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.2 | 26.67 | 12.52 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 12 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.01 | 15.57 | 9.98 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.67 | 13 | 8.71 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 14 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.62 | 8.12 | 7.88 | 5.39 | 1.61 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.6 | 19.5 | 10.47 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 16 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.46 | 18 | 3.7 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 17 | NC State | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.33 | 21.71 | 4.93 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 18 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.27 | 27.29 | 3.45 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 19 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.27 | 15.14 | 5.96 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 20 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 20.9 | 15.43 | 5.98 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 21 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.81 | 13 | 7.85 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 22 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.66 | 14.57 | 2.64 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 23 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.45 | 11.86 | 1.96 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 24 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20 | 14.57 | -1.05 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 25 | Clemson | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 13.57 | 10.24 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 26 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.39 | 6.43 | 11.86 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 27 | Houston | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.3 | 20.33 | 11.76 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 28 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 10 | 8.62 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.17 | 13.43 | 15.05 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 30 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.11 | 12.43 | 6.87 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 31 | Fresno State | Big West | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.04 | 19.71 | 5.04 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 32 | Florida | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.02 | 21.14 | 4.57 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 33 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18 | 15.14 | 5.13 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 34 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.91 | 4.57 | 10.23 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 17.22 | 10.62 | 9.47 | 6.44 | -2.44 |
| 36 | LSU | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 6.67 | 10.28 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 37 | Duke | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.14 | 0.43 | 4.84 | 3.56 | 1.44 |
| 38 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.05 | 9.12 | 8.44 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 39 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.69 | 13.29 | 12.2 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 40 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.66 | 5.29 | 17.73 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 41 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.48 | 4.43 | 17.25 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 42 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.36 | 9.86 | 11.42 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 43 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.36 | 18.29 | 9.76 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 44 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 3.43 | 12.12 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 45 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.28 | 4.14 | 7.37 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 46 | California | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.24 | 4.14 | 9.08 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 47 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.11 | 5.43 | 4.47 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 48 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.81 | 0.57 | 14.37 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.52 | 5.43 | 14.9 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 50 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.09 | -3.38 | 10.56 | 3.38 | 1.62 |
| 51 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.96 | -0.71 | 13.76 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 52 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 6.62 | 6.93 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 53 | Maryland | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.84 | -2.14 | 17.61 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 54 | TCU | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.49 | -1.71 | 12.68 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 55 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.42 | -0.57 | 8.08 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 56 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 11.81 | -5.88 | 1.34 | 2.37 | 2.63 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.76 | -4.57 | 11.1 | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| 58 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.61 | -7.57 | 10.96 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 59 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.48 | 1.25 | 4.36 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 60 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.44 | -1.29 | 16.73 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 61 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.26 | -0.33 | 9.56 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 62 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.78 | 0.43 | 19.28 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 63 | UNLV | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -7.67 | 8.38 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 64 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.63 | 0.86 | -0.85 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 65 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.29 | -1.14 | 12.24 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 66 | San José State | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.21 | 1 | 10.55 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 67 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.85 | -2 | 5.77 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 68 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.8 | -6.14 | 15.58 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 69 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.48 | -0.62 | 10.34 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 70 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.32 | -9 | 16.09 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 71 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.31 | -10.14 | 13.74 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| 72 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.31 | -6.57 | 9.05 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 73 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.79 | -0.88 | 5.56 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.68 | -19.29 | 11.28 | 0.86 | 2.14 |
| 75 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.6 | -8 | 3.88 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 76 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 7.59 | 2 | 9.54 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 77 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.2 | -6.25 | 12.87 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 78 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.68 | -2.57 | 15.88 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.6 | -2.86 | 9.32 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 80 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.9 | -11.43 | 14.58 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 81 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -7.5 | 9.48 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 82 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.26 | -8.29 | 16.75 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 83 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.05 | -9.43 | 16.66 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 84 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.99 | -9.71 | 13.29 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 85 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.44 | -15.57 | 8.06 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 86 | Utah State | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.43 | -18 | 11.55 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 87 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.36 | -17.12 | 12.64 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 88 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.08 | -10.33 | 16.35 | 1.84 | -0.84 |
| 89 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -21.67 | 16.29 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 90 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.5 | -14.86 | 12.94 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.21 | -13.14 | 16.05 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 92 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.09 | -11.14 | 16.43 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 93 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 1.01 | -9 | 15.68 | 2.55 | -1.55 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.95 | -18.29 | 17.6 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 95 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -13.71 | 18.35 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 96 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.91 | -17.43 | 6.11 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 97 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.64 | -19.86 | 17.23 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 98 | Long Beach State | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.62 | -25.43 | 7.72 | 0.34 | 0.66 |
| 99 | Pacific | Big West | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -14.25 | 5.06 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 100 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.07 | -29.25 | 13.5 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 101 | Rice | Southwest | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.26 | -14.33 | 14.09 | 1.11 | -1.11 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.55 | -21.38 | 13 | 0.86 | -0.86 |
| 103 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.6 | -22 | 14.19 | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| 104 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.72 | -27.14 | 12.79 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 105 | Kansas | Big 8 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.82 | -28.43 | 14.85 | 0.51 | -0.51 |