Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.920086+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 26.36 | 25.56 | 14.21 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0-0 | 1 | 26.01 | 19.56 | 13.44 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.72 | 14.88 | 13.03 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 4 | Fresno State | Big West | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.35 | 20.33 | 5.16 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.23 | 29.33 | 10.11 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 6 | Arkansas | Southwest | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.88 | 16.88 | 12.41 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 7 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.67 | 27.12 | 9.4 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 8 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.49 | 11.5 | 12.05 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.36 | 12.5 | 10.88 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.97 | 6 | 14.3 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 11 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.79 | 17.44 | 14.01 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 12 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 20.79 | 9.14 | 9.57 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.75 | 19.56 | 13.19 | 8.16 | -1.16 |
| 14 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 16.5 | 9.98 | 8.73 | -0.73 |
| 15 | Houston | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.24 | 40.12 | 10.92 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.22 | 7.5 | 11.39 | 6.84 | 1.16 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.18 | 16 | 10.63 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 18 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.08 | 15 | 10.39 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 19 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20 | 22.11 | 7.99 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 20 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.85 | 14.44 | 12.31 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 21 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.72 | 10.67 | 9.6 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 11.75 | 13.13 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 23 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 10.88 | 13.12 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.34 | 8.67 | 7.26 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.24 | 12.12 | 9.28 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 26 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 18.34 | 6.2 | 3.22 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 27 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.25 | 1.62 | 12.64 | 4.31 | 1.69 |
| 28 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.05 | 2.62 | 9.68 | 4.44 | 1.56 |
| 29 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 19.33 | 10.84 | 7.85 | -1.85 |
| 30 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 17.72 | 1.11 | 5.36 | 4.72 | 2.28 |
| 31 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 11.78 | 10.79 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 32 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 7.33 | 10.8 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 33 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 16.93 | 3.44 | 6.39 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 34 | Duke | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 2.22 | 12.64 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 35 | Georgia | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.26 | 9.38 | 11.97 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 36 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.87 | 9.8 | 0.64 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 37 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.62 | 1.78 | 13.87 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 38 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.59 | 3.11 | 12.85 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 39 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 2.25 | 12.43 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 40 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.34 | 3.67 | 9.89 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 41 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.21 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 42 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.16 | 4.11 | 7.84 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 43 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.15 | 2.38 | 10.88 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15.09 | 10.89 | 11.9 | 6.58 | -1.58 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.63 | -1.78 | 9.95 | 4.13 | 1.87 |
| 46 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.58 | 3.56 | 14.17 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 47 | Texas | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.44 | 1.29 | 15.32 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 48 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.38 | 3.38 | 10.1 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 49 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 13.88 | -0.78 | 11.87 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 50 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.7 | 8.62 | 15.21 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 51 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.37 | 1.22 | 9.19 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.29 | -1 | 7.21 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 53 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 3 | 13.63 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 54 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 7.12 | 8.78 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 55 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.83 | 6.67 | 7.76 | 6.32 | -2.32 |
| 56 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.81 | -0.11 | 9.89 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 57 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.62 | 10.84 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 58 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 1.5 | 10.91 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 1.38 | 11.69 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 60 | San José State | Big West | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12 | 1.25 | 8.37 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 61 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.4 | -3.22 | 7.9 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 62 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.3 | 0.33 | 7.52 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 63 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -5.12 | 11.96 | 2.98 | 1.02 |
| 64 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 10.19 | -0.6 | 14.59 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 65 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.07 | -0.33 | 12.89 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 66 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 9.65 | -11.33 | 11.49 | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.6 | -0.67 | 8.32 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 68 | UNLV | Big West | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.56 | -6.75 | 7.77 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.85 | -3.89 | 11.64 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 70 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.83 | -4.33 | 12.48 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 71 | TCU | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.58 | -8.22 | 12.58 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.51 | -6.56 | 11.88 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 73 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.46 | -5.78 | 9.79 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 74 | Maryland | ACC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.08 | 0.44 | 13.73 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 75 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.91 | -2.11 | 13.6 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 76 | LSU | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 6.77 | 1.88 | 16.5 | 4.35 | -2.35 |
| 77 | Utah State | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.43 | -16.25 | 12.17 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 78 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-4-2 | 0.25 | 5.95 | -6.62 | 10.04 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -8.22 | 11.94 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 80 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -10 | 14.66 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 81 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -13.11 | 12.42 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 82 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -11.11 | 7.68 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 83 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.57 | -15.6 | 7.31 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 84 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -11.62 | 12.83 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -13.38 | 8.61 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.3 | -8.11 | 15.38 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 87 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -10.78 | 9.46 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 88 | SMU | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.04 | -27.62 | 7.65 | 0.72 | 1.28 |
| 89 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -19.56 | 15.16 | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| 90 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -9.1 | 10.21 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 91 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 1.42 | -4.75 | 12.58 | 2.95 | -1.95 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 1.02 | -8.5 | 14.05 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 93 | Rice | Southwest | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 1 | -8.56 | 12.29 | 2.62 | -1.62 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.74 | -12 | 10.43 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 95 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.61 | -14.62 | 15.95 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 96 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -14.33 | 6.35 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -15 | 8.73 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 98 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.48 | -12.33 | 9.73 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -10.1 | 12.55 | 2.86 | -1.86 |
| 100 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.27 | -16 | 6.61 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -23.56 | 12.3 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 102 | Pacific | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.21 | -22.3 | 13.7 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.21 | -14.25 | 12.58 | 2.03 | -2.03 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.44 | -19.6 | 11.85 | 1.36 | -1.36 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.54 | -24.67 | 8.19 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 106 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.75 | -26.89 | 14.74 | 0.33 | -0.33 |