Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.920429+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 25.4 | 12.84 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 22.9 | 12.85 | 9.15 | 0.85 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.38 | 15 | 11.93 | 7.49 | 1.51 |
| 4 | Fresno State | Big West | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.19 | 22.3 | 4.63 | 8.8 | 1.2 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.2 | 30.1 | 9.85 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 6 | Miami | FBS Independents | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.97 | 26.44 | 10.48 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 7 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.85 | 16 | 11.8 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 8 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.79 | 10.62 | 14.73 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 12.67 | 11.59 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 10 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.28 | 19.7 | 14.1 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 11 | Houston | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.91 | 39.89 | 11.41 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 12 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.83 | 17.44 | 14.67 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 13 | Virginia | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.71 | 7.45 | 12.17 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 14 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 16.5 | 10.39 | 8.73 | -0.73 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.33 | 12.11 | 13.5 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 16 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.24 | 8.67 | 13.6 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 17 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.22 | 10.5 | 10.49 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 20.7 | 7.28 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 19 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.13 | 13.1 | 11.71 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.12 | 16 | 10.6 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 21 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.38 | 4.78 | 11.79 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 22 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.29 | 9.67 | 12.03 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 23 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.15 | 5.44 | 9.73 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 24 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 18.51 | 2.2 | 6.12 | 5.47 | 2.53 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.25 | 19.7 | 9.44 | 8.72 | -1.72 |
| 26 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.22 | 12.6 | 10.79 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 27 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-2-2 | 0.6 | 17.89 | 3.7 | 7.45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.89 | 5.38 | 10.75 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 29 | Duke | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.42 | 2.9 | 13.17 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.42 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 31 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 9.11 | 12.24 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 32 | Florida | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 10 | 9.95 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 33 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.67 | 5.09 | 4.37 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 34 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 4.33 | 11 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 35 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 12.54 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 36 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.32 | 4.7 | 8.02 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 37 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.2 | 2.56 | 9.83 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 38 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.82 | 11.6 | 11.37 | 7.42 | -1.42 |
| 39 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.7 | 6.9 | 13.64 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 40 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.66 | 9.4 | 10.42 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.35 | 4.5 | 11.97 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.3 | 0.1 | 10.23 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 43 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.2 | 3.78 | 8.95 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 15.07 | 9.22 | 14.52 | 6.83 | -1.83 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 14.48 | -1.78 | 10.09 | 4.13 | 1.87 |
| 46 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 9.67 | 7.91 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 47 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.3 | 5 | 2.91 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 48 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.14 | 4.56 | 10.93 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 49 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.07 | 2.1 | 13.13 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.9 | 7.07 | 7.07 | -2.07 |
| 51 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.9 | 3.56 | 10.09 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 52 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.88 | 0.8 | 8.18 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 53 | San José State | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.8 | 4 | 8.69 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 54 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.69 | 6.78 | 3.34 | 6 | -1 |
| 55 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.68 | 1.8 | 10.26 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 56 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 2.1 | 7.52 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 57 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.98 | 4.18 | 14.12 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.21 | 1.38 | 11.36 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.63 | -2.44 | 7.61 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 60 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.29 | 1.67 | 14.75 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 61 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.27 | -0.1 | 8.4 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 62 | Texas | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.85 | -3.62 | 16.14 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 63 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -2.1 | 10.59 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 64 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -4.1 | 8.6 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 65 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.03 | -0.33 | 12.9 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -5.1 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.65 | -0.7 | 8.68 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 68 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.59 | -7.67 | 12.84 | 2.74 | 1.26 |
| 69 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.09 | -13.9 | 12.02 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 70 | Maryland | ACC | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 8.05 | 0.4 | 14.12 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 71 | UNLV | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.94 | -10.22 | 6.16 | 2.48 | 1.52 |
| 72 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.94 | -4.9 | 13 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 73 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -8.3 | 13.45 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 74 | California | Pac-10 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.55 | -7.8 | 14.02 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 75 | TCU | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -10.4 | 13.14 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 76 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.12 | -11.6 | 11.47 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 77 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.84 | -3.7 | 13.9 | 4 | -1 |
| 78 | Utah State | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.38 | -17.33 | 12.6 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| 79 | LSU | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 5.3 | -0.11 | 17.54 | 4.48 | -2.48 |
| 80 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-5-2 | 0.22 | 5.16 | -6 | 11.28 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 81 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -9.4 | 11.92 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 82 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.74 | -13.7 | 9.84 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 83 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -15.82 | 7.7 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 84 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.81 | -3.44 | 12.85 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 85 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.14 | -9.56 | 14.31 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 86 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.05 | -9.6 | 10.48 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 87 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -13.44 | 13.16 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 88 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.93 | -8.1 | 14.46 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 89 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.88 | -14.22 | 9.32 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.76 | -13.3 | 8.06 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 91 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.7 | 9.19 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 92 | SMU | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.3 | -30.44 | 9.26 | 0.63 | 1.37 |
| 93 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -19 | 14.26 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 94 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -13 | 10.44 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 95 | Rice | Southwest | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.96 | -8.56 | 11.86 | 2.62 | -1.62 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.8 | -8 | 13.62 | 2.44 | -1.44 |
| 97 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.37 | -13.8 | 7.54 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 98 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.27 | -11.8 | 10.55 | 1.88 | -0.88 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.21 | -9.36 | 11.87 | 3.39 | -2.39 |
| 100 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -21.5 | 10.04 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 101 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.02 | -16.7 | 7.83 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 102 | Pacific | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.4 | -21 | 14.64 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 103 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.27 | -16.11 | 11.23 | 2.03 | -2.03 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.35 | -18 | 10.85 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.62 | -26.2 | 10.26 | 0.85 | -0.85 |
| 106 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.68 | -24.9 | 15.09 | 0.53 | -0.53 |